August 15th, 2014

THE CHOICE: Tories Draw Level With Labour

At the end of July Labour launched their summer offensive, drawing up the battle lines for next year with the catchy slogan: “The Choice: The Labour Future, The Tory Threat”. Well, after three weeks of shadow cabinet speeches up and down the country outlining “the choice” faced by voters, the people have spoken. YouGov’s poll for the Sun today sees the Tories draw level with Labour for the first time in three months, both parties on 35%. This confirms yesterday’s Ipsos Mori poll which also had both parties level. Labour are telling voters what “the choice” is, and the voters are making it…


101 Comments

  1. 1
    Anonymous says:

    What about the ICM poll on Monday that gave Labour a 7 point lead.

  2. 2
    Rob Roy says:

    If ever there was a reason for voting yes……………………

  3. 3
    Liar.Politicians says:

    Level pegging in people’s hatred for them?!!

  4. 4
    hmmmm says:

    Best response today is yours!!!

    Most polls are giving Labour quite large leads…

  5. 5
    Mad,mozzie Medievalist says:

    When we have the caliphate installed here, you won’t need to worry about this odd thing you people call democracy.

  6. 6
    Anonymous says:

    One swallow doesn’t make a summer. UKIP will sink the Tory Toffs and it serves them right for their lies

  7. 7
    Sh!tshoveller says:

    You cant read much into this. The change in polling survey results are still well within polling survey margin for error.
    The Lib-Dem knife was stuck well and truly into Conservative ribs by their reneging on their coalition promises and blocking constituency boundary reform. And that in my opinion will prove decisive next May, sad to say.

  8. 8
    BBC says:

    We need to try harder for our Labour friends

  9. 9
    Tony says:

    So, Labour remain static at around 35%, and the Tories gain a few points. Doesn’t that point to voters deserting UKIP and the Lib Dems?

  10. 10
    R. Youshore says:

    Most Eastern Europeans would, wouldn’t they.

  11. 11
    Grauniad says:

    We’re here to help you

  12. 12
    RED ED - SON OF BROWN says:

    Vote Ukip !!

  13. 13
    Rickytshirt says:

    It’s ICM. That’s all you need to know.

  14. 14
    The (Anything But) Independent says:

    Us too!

  15. 15
    Max says:

    That a good graph to overlay them two, looks like a nob

  16. 16
    someone says:

    Oh what, democracy like a PM taking a country to war on the basis of ZioCon lies against the will of the people?

  17. 17
    Raving Loon says:

    The Tories will win because:

    A) The economy isn’t in the hole anymore
    B) Ed looks like someone you would bully at school

  18. 18
    REALITY CHECK says:

    Nigel ‘No MPs’ Farage.

    http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

  19. 19
    Winston says:

    Don’t panic
    UKIP will help Labour romp to victory

  20. 20
    Voodoo Ray says:

    what about Lord Ashcrofts more substantial and more relevant polling in the marginals?

    Predicting some UKIP and Labour gains, handing Labour the govt?

    picking on one poll because you like it and proclaiming it the truth is a bit dim, and you are not dim guido.

  21. 21
    Joe Public says:

    And UKIP will overtake the both of them.

    Vote UKIP.

  22. 22
    Daily Male says:

    Foreign Aid. The taxing of poor people in rich countries to give to rich people of poor countries

  23. 23
    Tony says:

    I wonder how many UKIP bods will soon call for Proportional Representation?

  24. 24

    The Tories are Labour clones. Look at the borrowing stats to verify.

    Vote UKIP :-D

  25. 25
    Ma­­qb­oul says:

    The choice is between the lesser of two weevils.

  26. 26
    Vote LibLabCon for Unlimited Immigration says:

    Oh really?

  27. 27
    VoteEdGetBalls says:

    Yawn. Labour’s lead is around 3 percentage points and has been for some time. Individual polls are normally subject to a variation of +/- 3% so the Yougov poll and the ICM poll quoted in this thread are both consistent with a small Labour lead.

    The real question is how resilient this lead is. 3% ain’t much and could easily evaporate in the heat of a general election campaign when voters have to decide who they want to run the country, not who they feel understands their problems best. Also, no party has ever won an election with low scores on credibilty both of leader and economic competence, which is where Labour are right now.

    But those Tory ratings are staying stubbornly low despite the economic recovery.

    Fascinating stuff. Don’t think Clegg will need to clear out his Deputy PM’s room before the election.

  28. 28
    oy vey says:

    What about the part of the graph that shows a slim Tory lead at around the 29th July?

  29. 29
    Becky says:

    What a pair of f_cking c_ck faces!

  30. 30
    Bloody flies says:

    LabCon the difference is zero, it’s something the people in the country already know.

  31. 31
    Vote LibLabCon for Unlimited Immigration says:

    The idiot has even put Ed on the right and Dave on the left…. oh hang on!

  32. 32
    Bloomers in rain-soaked Bongo Bongo Land says:

    Don’t be daft

  33. 33
    Ma­­qb­oul says:

    Cameron is doing that. Don’t blame the honest voter following the courage of his convictions.

    Vote UKIP :)

  34. 34
    BBC Panorama Labour luvvies says:

    That’s all in hand. We’ve got a mash-up on UKIP lined up as we could see that some of our dim-witted tribe were moving away from the Party. (We’ll keep quiet about the Muslim jihadists on Oxford Street though.)

  35. 35

    The British have their heritage, the Royal Family envied by the world and Cara Delevingne.

    What more could a world power wish for?

    Vote UKIP :-D

  36. 36
    Anonymous says:

    Turn the light out when you leave.

  37. 37
    Tower Hamlets Printing Inc. says:

    And us!

  38. 38
    Becky says:

    What f_cking economic recovery is that then? Pop along down here and you’ll see that a Whitehall Excel spreadsheet is a another f_cking hand job of fantasy.
    All three of the clubs for weirdos, pervs and crooks you call political parties are f_cking you over and loving it you dozy c_nt.

  39. 39
    R. Youshore says:

    How’s the weather in Cloud Cuckoo Land ? Cloudy ?

  40. 40
    Ee by gum says:

    Agreed. these UKIP loons may just aswell vote for Miliband, cos that’s what they’ll get and my guess is UKIP will be chuffed to bits at letting in the socialists again

  41. 41
    nell. says:

    proof of the pudding as they say ……we shall know who is right in 2015

    but I for one can’t believe that poor militwit and his alarming economically illiterate friend edballs can swing enough of the vote to get into no10 and no11 in 2015

  42. 42
    The British media are cunts says:

    35% will still give Labour a majority at Westminster. Labour need to go below 30% to be out of power. Above that and they will probably end up the largest party.

    40+ Scottish MP’s and a biased voting system and the corruption of postal voting in London and Birmingham will make sure Red Ed is Pm next year.

  43. 43
    Joe Public says:

    World power? We haven’t been one of those since the ’80s. Even if it was tongue in cheek.

  44. 44
    Bloomers in rain-soaked Bongo Bongo Land says:

    Don’t be daft

  45. 45

    Vote UKIP :-D
    :-D Vote UKIP
    UKIP :-D Vote
    Vote UKIP :-D
    :-D Vote UKIP
    UKIP :-D Vote
    Vote UKIP :-D
    :-D Vote UKIP
    UKIP :-D Vote
    Vote UKIP :-D

  46. 46
    Anonymous says:

    How the votes were shared at last weeks local elections, if you think UKIP are falling back look at these not at the media wishfull thinking propaganda

    Epping Forest District – Broadley Common, Epping Upland and Nazeing:

    C 155, Ukip 122, Green 23, Lib Dem 7. (May 2011 – C 585, Green 69, Lib Dem 43).

    C hold. Swing 15.5 per cent C to Green.

    Huntingdonshire District – Warboys and Bury:

    C 619 ,Ukip 560, Lib Dem 78, Lab 72. (May 2014 – C 864, Ukip 576, Lab 172, Lib Dem 138).

    C hold. Swing 6 per cent C to Ukip.

    Malvern Hills District – Wells:

    C 317, Lib Dem 227, Ukip 158, Ind 76, Lab 71. (May 2011 – Two seats C 822, 784, Green 491, 386).

    C hold.

    Stroud District – Valley:

    Green 291, Lab 230, Ukip 76, C 67, Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts 16. (May 2011 – Green 417, Lab 279,C 190).

    Green hold. Swing 3.3 per cent Green to Lab.

    Worthing Borough – Castle:

    Ukip 568, C485, Lib Dem 242, Lab 197, Green 49. (May 2014 – C 702, Ukip 653, Lib Dem 414, Lab 324, Green 88).

    Ukip gain from Lib Dem. Swing 5.1 per cent Lib Dem to Ukip.

  47. 47
    nell. says:

    Have said it before and its worth saying again michaelfoot and kinnochio had substantial double figure polling leads when they were opposition leaders just before an election and neither of them won. edmiliband is a ‘far more personable’ character than either of those but it seems unlikely that he can win from this position

  48. 48

    “…tongue in cheek” will do very nicely. :-)

    Vote UKIP :-D

  49. 49
    The British media are cunts says:

    The % voting is not really relevant. Labour have 40 Scottish MP’s and a large hardcore in the north that ALWAYS vote Labour. Add in the corruption in London and Birmingham that return large numbers of Labour MP’s and it’s just about impossible for him to lose next year.

    The Tories however, need 40% or more and that isn’t going to happen. Gaydo can post all the crap he likes, facts are Red Ed is going to be PM next year.

  50. 50
  51. 51
    Fred the pensioner says:

    But the best outcome will be the total annihilation of the traitorous Libdem perverts for good.

  52. 52
    Joe Public says:

    Cloud Cuckoo land? That’s where Spoon face and Militwat live. They won’t get in, unless they get help from the Chief Cockroach again.

  53. 53
    Vlad the Loudhailer says:

    Becky your prose is exquisite and your sentiment correct.

  54. 54

    I would not invite him to a bacon sarnie eating party…

  55. 55
    Fred the pensioner says:

    Did Boris give them a temporary trading licence

  56. 56
    nell. says:

    +100

  57. 57
    David Alexrod's secret Fag says:

    Precisely, by calling it “The Choice” we made uk politics look like a straight either/or.
    Trivialising theLibDem and UKIP vote and force sheep to choose Red or Blue. We can afford a draw.

    Every village/town/city has more than one.

  58. 58
    bergen says:

    Sad but true.

  59. 59
    Fred the pensioner says:

    Living all those years in rain-soaked Bongo Bongo Land eventually leads to rusting of the brain.

    Back in the day, we had lots of chaps fresh out of Oxbridge keen to join the Colonial Service and rush off to the rain-soaked and malaria ridden Colonies, doing their bit for Queen and country and all that bollox. Most of them only lasted a few years. Couldn’t take it you see. Brain rust and local gut rot beer saw them off quite regularly, or if not the beer that dreadful local brewed “gin” which tasted more like aviation spirit.

  60. 60
    Greased-up Poll says:

    Talk about a load of twaddle. Do the MSM think people are so fickle as to change their Political allegiances multiple times over the space of a few months? Don’t tell me – Labour 35%, Tories 35%, Libdem 30%, UKIP -15%. You’re still ignoring UKIP. The people of the UK don’t dance to the MSM political tune. It’s time that SOME got that through their thick skull’s.

  61. 61

    Which one will support the Caliphate?

  62. 62

    Unemployment is falling so there are less labour voters

  63. 63
    English Nationalist-I'm bad, but Plaid and the SNP aren't says:

    Don’t let the door hit you in the arse on the way out. PS. Enjoy the EU and your ‘renewed influence’ that you’ll have there. I’m sure you’ll make waves as big as Slovakia does…Enjoy.

  64. 64

    It doesn’t show a lead, should have gone to specsavers

  65. 65
    One, 2, miss a few, 99, 100! says:

    They’re not eligible to vote in a GE, so these polls are erroneous at best. It still seems the MSM are managing to obfuscate the difference between liking our new European Friends and not wanting to be in the EU. I’m not surprised though, as most of them are W**kers.

  66. 66
    The two Muppets says:

    Not forgetting all the other deadbeats in the Shadow Cabinet .
    The bottom feeders of Parliament .

  67. 67
    Jasmine A-B says:

    The press must be silenced!

  68. 68
    Preserved Killick says:

    I have just quoted you for the amusement of others on the Aubrey-Maturin Appreciation Society page on facebook.

  69. 69
    One, 2, miss a few, 99, 100! says:

    You mean “call for an actual ‘Representative’ form of Government”? It’s terrible I know. Not only listening to people, but implementing their will proportionally. I know you ‘divide and conquer’ twerps like FPTP, but don’t spiel on about Local MP’s when you’re defending it. Just look at Labour and the Libdem leadership. NONE are local to the areas they represent (in fact, I’d even question the amount of time/times they’ve even gone back to them).

  70. 70
    rick says:

    Agreed. Going to war against the expressed will of the majority of you population is not a democracy in a form worth keeping.

  71. 71
    LibLabConSham says:

    No! Keep voting for us.

  72. 72
    Labour says:

    Wheel out the “class war” battle bus again. It’s all we’ve got left!

  73. 73
    BBC Comedy Department says:

    We’ll do our best as well, we have Marcus ready for another hilarious 10-part diatribe about UKIP.

  74. 74
    One, 2, miss a few, 99, 100! says:

    LOL, and what’s the alternative? Vote Conservative and have a feigned Referendum on the EU, with Cameron campaigning on the side of the EU? (all the while being ignored by them). The LibLabCon’s have given-away our Country’s Sovereignty without a vote. If you are willing to ignore a huge swathe of the Electorate’s views, can you please tell me why we should listen to you?

  75. 75
    One, 2, miss a few, 99, 100! says:

    +∞

    Leave the LibLabCon’s to their own delusional devices. They’ve had the MSM behind them for the last 3 years and UKIP have still pressed on. If people want real change, then voting for the SOSDD Political Parties isn’t the way to do it.

    Vote UKIP :)

  76. 76
    Hear All See All says:

    Rumoured that Blackpool folk not enamoured their lab mp lives in Brighton.

  77. 77
    Hear All See All says:

    Cons & Lab take winnable seats from UKIP.

  78. 78
    Anonymous says:

    Not that acromegalic cnut

  79. 79
    Gary Bloke says:

    It doesn’t look like a nobleman. You mean a ‘knob’.

  80. 80
    Shooty* says:

    both

  81. 81
    Shooty* says:

    Ed will welcome and encourage it.
    Dave will passively let it happen.

  82. 82
    The labour party says:

    If we get in forget your choice as we’ll make it for you !

  83. 83
    Dangerous Brian says:

    Extremely succinct and sadly true.

  84. 84
    Alexsandr says:

    look at the UGOV report, and you can see how skewed the figures are bu Scotland.
    Remove scotland and its different.
    why dont journos read the whole report?

  85. 85
    Vote UKIP says:

    There was a vote. Most of us were just to young to get involved.

  86. 86

    We can call it The Clear-off-ances

  87. 87

    I thought plan A was to make “in situ” MPs look too good to vote against. This, on the premise, that keeping UKIP out at any price including not the Labour Party is the price to keep their licence fee income secure. Not to mention the upper echelons in luxurious self-enjoyment pulling strings.

  88. 88

    White man’s grave. And, no Cholmondley, we are not flying you home because you don’t feel well. Didn’t you read the small print when you got the job? We expressly said that HMG still follows the “Little corner of a foreign field” principle. I know there are bodies lying in the street that no one wants to pick up let alone bury. And, no, I don’t know of a field anywhere that you can just pole up and chuck a dead Ebola victim in. What’s that? You want your mummy? Well, you know, there’s not a lot of Air transport going to Liberia at the moment. Have you considered a rowing boat? Lost at sea? Oh come on Captain Oates, pop out for “some time”, play the white man. What futile gesture? HMG will pay your funeral expenses. No, sorry, even the bloody vultures are going down with plague. Look Cholmondley, your running up quite a bill on this ‘phone call. Be a good a chap and haemorrhage somewhere off the premises. Austerity, you know. Can’t get the local cleaners, what.

  89. 89
    carlo gambino says:

    Ay yes, Cam The Sham and Junckers – 2 votes against, 26 for.

    There’s our ‘seat at the table’ right there.

    Big table.

    Lots of seats.

  90. 90

    It were for cheap booze and fags. That never turned up.

  91. 91

    “Look, Cleggy, when you said you had got “the Final Solution” for the unemployed I didn’t agree to that! For fuck’s sake, put that tin of Zyklon B away. Tell everyone it was Marrberg fever.”

  92. 92

    well i do nell….believe it .

    Put a red rosettee on a flying pig and the sheeple proletariat in the majority if regions including inner london will vote for it .

    plus the guaranteed scottish labour mp contingent after the rejection of independence …..ergo … a Labour majority and impending Armageddon …!

  93. 93
    Anonymous says:

    The trouble with these discussions of polls is that everyone forgets that labour melted this country down with ludicrous policies from economy to immigration to war and put every part of life in jeopardy. Tories did not get a majority mostly due to the usual old time labour voters and unions. Hence ,coalition. Bur what has been done still had to be done. We all knew that and also that it would be painful. All thanks to loony labour. Do people really appreciate that the same labour front bench that created the austerity could get rid of it? Milliband is as big a fool as balls. Harmon is a non entity,as is the twee yvette. What we really need is a conservative majority,but not necessarily with Cameron as the pm!!

  94. 94
    Harpee says:

    Helllllp!

  95. 95
    Gerry Mander says:

    Millibellend can’t win, he makes Pob look like Magnus Pike…..

  96. 96
    Labour's Blackpool Council says:

  97. 97
    Labour's Blackpool Council says:

  98. 98
    Labour's Coventry City Council says:

  99. 99
    Anonymous says:

    listen carefully to Cameron’s BBC TV interview this morning note the number of times he stresses his leadership. Me thinks there is a plot afoot to move him from No10.

  100. 100
    Anonymous says:

    Somebody tell that dolt Ian Duncan Smith that the last time some people said Work is Freedom it was written above the entrances to Buchenwald and Aushwitz.

    What a TWAT!

  101. 101
    Anonymous says:

    Hmmm….not sure I mentioned what system prefer actually.


Seen Elsewhere

Stop May Pact | Times
Wake Up Call For Capitalists | CapX
Guido’s Column | Sun
Dave Hoaxer High on Coke and Weed | Sun
Let’s Help the Kurds Fight | Boris
Split the Left | Tim Montgomerie
Liz Kendall For Leader | Indy
Bashir Booted Out By Respect | Respect
Americans Try Haggis | Guardian
Page 3 and the Art of the Self-Pity Statement | Guardian
Steven Woolfe For UKIP Leader? | Asa Bennett


Find out more about PLMR AD-MS


George Galloway says of his former Respect candidate the UKIP MEP turned Tory, Amjad Bashir…

“Clearly Bashir does not have any real political principles or commitment, only naked opportunism and self-interest. He represents the revolving door principle in politics. The Tories are welcome to him because he will cause them embarrassment. Fortunately Respect was able to act before he did it to us.”


Tip off Guido
Web Guido's Archives

Subscribe me to:






RSS


AddThis Feed Button
Archive


Labels
Guido Reads
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 1,716 other followers