June 5th, 2014

Final Survation Newark Poll Predicts Comfortable Tory Win

The polls have closed in Newark and Survation have released the results of their final poll in the constituency:

The results are expected between 2am and 3am…


207 Comments

  1. 1
    Ed Millibaconbuttie says:

    Vote UKIP get labour

  2. 2
    The British media are cunts says:

    See, Tory voters need to shut the fuck up about immigration and the EU. So long as they keep giving the elites their vote nothing will change.

  3. 3
    Keith Prometheus Chegwinus III says:

    Vote labour get Miiliband & Balls

  4. 4
    UKRAP says:

    not true!!

    It’s an msm smear!

    Nigel is a true man of the people type ex-stockbroker.

  5. 5
    The British media are cunts says:

    Good, the Tories have betrayed the English. They might win Newark but they will be blown away next year.

  6. 6
    Beeboid says:

    Its a terrible night for te conservatives

  7. 7
    Mycroft says:

    3 day old poll, all prior to mini-me going to ground.

    Stupid poll to announce at this moment, to be digested only by morons.

  8. 8
    CHRIST ON A NIKE! says:

    don’t forget Harriet Harmonster

  9. 9
    Col Ripper of Braintree says:

    Newarkers! has now entered the lexicon of the English language

    Scum of the lowest order, mentally subnormal traitors

    I hope that the EU send all the scum from sangatte to live there with open sewers and a mosque as eye catching features, a yardie drop in centre, Abduls grooming parlour and taxi service, syphilis infected apes and compulsory bumsex for all men

  10. 10
    Mycroft says:

    Ignore it, it was taken on the 2nd and 3rd… a long time ago in politics.

  11. 11
    Mycroft says:

    Wait for the exit polls, this not one.

  12. 12
    Abdul Krim's bum boi says:

    mmmmmmm mmmmmmm bumsex, lovely! and my name Abdul, too

  13. 13
    Valeria Victrix says:

    It’s similar to the Ashcroft poll, which had some dodgy weighting IIRC. Where are the exit polls?

    Shouldn’t be surprised if Generic wins, given all the effort put in, but if UKIP gets more than 20% there will be a lot of Tory marginals lost next year.

  14. 14

    UKIP have won it with 33% beating the Conservatives into second place.

  15. 15
    Anonymous says:

    It’s staggering how retard the general public are. There seems no limit to how awful labour or the conservatives have to be, they will just keep voting for them.

    There should be some basic political competence test before you get to vote, you should have to prove you have some idea of your party policy and that you’re not voting simply because it’s what the rest of your brain dead family has done for decades.

    Either that or take party affiliations off the ballot. If you did that you’d probably have an even split between all the candidates because not one has a fucking clue who they’re voting for.

  16. 16
    Please no says:

    Is Diana Abbott on with Brillo tonight?

  17. 17
    Anonymous says:

    If UKIP have come second, that is a fabulous result and everyone should shout it from the rooftops. Whatever happens, I will never vote Tory again and I don’ t know why I ever did vote for them. I’d rather have needles stuck in my eyes before I voted Lib/Lab. I will stick to UKIP through everything that will be flung at them and me. God bless ‘em.

  18. 18
    Witty Moniker says:

    So, another landslide earthquake stunning etc victory for UKIP … Oh, hang on…

  19. 19
    Max says:

    Keep going this is a marathon not a sprint. The marginal Tory mp’s will start to excert pressure on the leadership when they realise their seats are in danger next year. I hope

  20. 20
    Witty Moniker says:

    So, no referendum but five years of Miliband and Balls? Coming right up!

  21. 21
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    to who? oh yes Labour and Liberal of course!

  22. 22
    Mycroft says:

    Dodgy everything…

  23. 23
    Anonymous says:

    Comment No.2. You are so right. Let any Tory come up to me and start whingeing. I am practising what to say to them and it won’t be very pretty.

  24. 24
    Mrs Thatcher says:

    Vote Tory – get a punch in the throat

  25. 25
    EeeYepBlowing Whistles says:

    the issue of pa3dophiles who have been in power and who remain in power – and who have been granted [unlawfully] immunity from prosecution – is going to dominate the public opinion for the next 11 months.

    That is the subject that affects every man and woman and how their children must be protected from – predominantely filthy evil men.

  26. 26
    sh177y Moniker says:

    Nothing to do with UKIP or it’s voters, if we get Liebour back in 2015, blame the people who vote for them.

  27. 27
    Anonymous says:

    If they ever give a referendum it will be timed to make sure UKIP loose. A referendum would be the worst thing possible for UKIP, it would kill them off then the country is well and truly doomed. 20 years of gradually building up a party for it to be destroyed in an instant.

  28. 28
    a non says:

    Last months poll Guido?
    Strange the figures are identical to those of Survation from Mon-Tuesday?

  29. 29
    InOutplease says:

    Where’s the earthquake then Nige?

  30. 30
    Mrs Thatcher says:

    Good – then the tories can decide whether they want to keep one-term bumsex dave or become conservatives again.

  31. 31
  32. 32
    pass the third says:

    croydon. piss. 2 p.
    pull the p in .
    pull the c in.

    a pocketful of gold coins.

    almost human. almost god later. do the planets have a say?
    plan et

  33. 33
    Andy says:

    Percentage-wise the Labour vote has stagnated. The LibDem vote has collapsed and I doubt they went to UKIP therefore they most have gone to Labour, and a significant chunk of the Labour vote from 2010 (along with a slightly lower percentage from the tories) has gone to UKIP. Disturbing result for Labour.

  34. 34
    UKRAP'S MUM says:

    Will you please leave your todger alone and find a friend to play with instead.

  35. 35
  36. 36
    Don't see it says:

    What is witty about your moniker?

  37. 37
    Dr Death says:

    20,000 Romanian BEEEG ISSUUUEE sellers on their way to Newark…..

  38. 38
    Past or present says:

    Is this an exit poll from today or one prepared earlier?

  39. 39
    EeeYepBlowing Whistles says:

    It’s all gone rather silent on the hacking trial of recent … how odd – not.

  40. 40
    Andy says:

    Increasing the UKIP share from 3% to 27% , beating Labour to second place (HM Opposition, with eyes on election 2015 should be pushing the unpopular tories not dropping from second to third with less than a year to go). Pretty earthquake.

  41. 41
    Anonymous says:

    So, nothing new just the same tired old nonsense.

    Cameron isn’t going to do a referendum, he’s going to get some meaningless “concession” and call it a renegotiation which means a referendum isn’t necessary.
    Labour under Beaker is doing pathetically badly for the stage of the GE cycle we are currently at.

  42. 42
    EeeYepBlowing Whistles says:

    As they say ‘We are not prepared’ / in singular ‘I am not prepared’ … it a bit like the vast majority of county court civil judgments – all pre-prepared!!!

  43. 43
    right thumb first says:

    skavorski crystals rule the roost.

    master of the house is dunster house.

  44. 44
    twat says:

    oh you are so thick!

    it is NOT A TORY GOVERNMENT!!! It is a COALITION with the Liberals FFS!

    The Liberals have been harvesting dissolusioned former Labour voting immigrant voters for years.

  45. 45
    rick says:

    Could not agree more. Tories have made it clear they are pro-EU and have no intention quitting. They are not going to sell off the extreme-left BBC – and that mass immigration from the third world and Eastern Europe is good for us. If knowing all this, voters still continue to support the Tories, then they have absolutely no right to complain.

  46. 46
    Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

    Fuck u fraud Farage…get back to the euro gravy train you fuckhole

  47. 47
    Parliamentarian says:

    After 60 years of three party politics we now have a fourth dimension.UKIP
    A pretty seismic event in our modern political history only a fool would downplay.

  48. 48
    Look on the bright side says:

    At least Liebour let us have generous benefits when immigrants take our jobs.

  49. 49
    Planet Reality says:

    Shit result for Ukip.

  50. 50
    Ewe Tories stink says:

    Baa. Baaa. I am quite happy for David Cameron to allow 75 million Turkish members of the religion of peace the right to come and live here.

  51. 51
    Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

    awww diddums

    The hardworking people of Newark can see through the lies and deceit of the EU troughing UKIP cu’nts

  52. 52
    Bye Bye UKIP says:

  53. 53
    gramma says:

    What’s Guido got against Bus Pass Elvis?
    If you are going to place old figures at least show the whole shebang.

  54. 54
    me speak no japanese says:

    muddle eastern girls have lng hair.

    shaved head.com

    who is imran khan?
    he does have a daddy.

  55. 55
    Parliamentarian says:

    A vote for the Cons will be(has always been) all the pro EU elements in the party need to claim to have a mandate to carry on sucking Brussels cock.

  56. 56
    Milibandwagon says:

    Vote UKIP get me, me, me, me, me!

  57. 57
    Socialism is theft says:

    It was not the Liberals but Dave who went to Turkey and said he would fight to bring them into the EU. And that means letting them come to Britain if they wish.

  58. 58
    urdu is back to front says:

    right eye is lazy.

  59. 59
    Ukip Anthem says:

  60. 60
    The Green Fairy says:

    But what about the important question: Will the Monster Raving Loonies beat the LimpDums?

  61. 61
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    So a Tory stronghold, in other words?

  62. 62
    rick says:

    If that poll turns out to be accurate, then yes, a 20K Romanian invasion would be sweet justice.

  63. 63
    Socialism is theft says:

    Fuck Dave and all the cowards who voted for him and his bunch of traitors.

  64. 64
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Lab have won it. There’s a reason they brought me over and paid me millions.

  65. 65
    Fishy says:

    Why TF would 24% of people want to vote Labour?

  66. 66
    carlo gambino says:

    ‘I will stick to UKIP through everything that will be flung at them and me. God bless ‘em. ‘

    ============================

    A single issue pressure group whose other ‘policies’ amount to…

    ‘things we heard people complain about down the pub’.

    I mean rescinding the hand-gun ban ffs.

    ‘Ah Mr Duggan good morning and how can we help you sir. Ah you’re looking for a machine pistol. Well, sir, we have some tasty new Mac 10 spray ‘n’ prays just in, 600 rounds a minute. You’ll take three; very good. Now if you’re looking for something with punch I’ve got Desert Eagles on the top shelf, .45 cal., punch a hole in an engine block sir. You’ll take six. Very good that’ll be £1900 on account and give my regards to your uncle.’

    ‘Our 2010 manifesto was drivel’.
    Nigel Farage.

    And their 2015 manifesto ain’t going to be any better.

    Vote UKIP.

  67. 67
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    …which is just how I like it. The dumber the better, I always say.

  68. 68
    Anonymous says:

    You do know bumsex dave is committed to keeping us in the EU?.
    Ukip is the only party that wants out.

  69. 69
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    You know, not even I ever thought of putting Abbott on Brillo. That’s brilliant. Simply brilliant. And we’ll make money off the porn residuals, after the election is over.

  70. 70
    joolz says:

    so the question is how close will they be, remember its 25000 majority over UKIP.

    If its with 5000 then UKIP will really put the willies up the cons

  71. 71
    How can we ever repay you liblabconers says:

    Well, thanks to you liblabcon scum, the English will be a minority in their own country by mid-century.

    So you can shove your fake concern for England up your treasonous arse.

  72. 72
    Parliamentarian says:

    In the fast paced fast food 24 hour rolling news world I’m sure they are impatient to see UKIP win/lose early on so they can move on to licking the same arse.
    These pundits know deep down though that turning over large majorities is a big ask for any party and failing to do so in one single election is no measure of anything.

  73. 73
    Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

    looooool bunch of traitors

    Fraud Farage and his EU troughers are the traitors

    They will do and say anything to get Labour into power

    Look at those blustering fools, you think they are going to get a MEP equivalent massive paypacket and vast expenses pot in civvie street?

    They are a bunch of conmen

  74. 74
    See You Next May says:

  75. 75
    Col Ripper of Braintree says:

    All female Tory voters should be anally raped by Pakistani taxi drivers in front of their menfolk, their daughters sold into sex slavery in Arab countries same for their sons, the men gelded and shackled and flayed alive in a barell of brine and left to hang upside down in a vat of boiling pitch and pig excrement

  76. 76
    Col Ripper of Braintree says:

    Dot say that, you will make Chris Bryant hard

  77. 77
    Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

    hahahahahahahaha

    You’re not a UKIP MEP are you?

    Face it, the people of Newark are hard working, self reliant, and sensible….they can see through UKIP falsehoods.

    I accept though that one by- election defeat does not diminish the threat posed to a EU referendum by the Labour party’s UKIP proxies

  78. 78
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    They’ll see through UKIP and vote for us, the LibLabCon liars and deceivers, then?

  79. 79
    David Camerspoonface says:

    The only way is bumsex!

  80. 80
    Ed Milimong says:

    These strikes are wrrrroooooooooonnng!

  81. 81
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Dave?

    Is that you, Dave?

  82. 82
    Camermong says:

    Vote Tory, Get Fucked

  83. 83
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    …and don’t forget the bumsex. That was a big sales feature, too.

  84. 84
    DAVID WAXWORK says:

    WE’RE ALRIGHT!!!!

    WE’RE ALRIGHT!!!!!

  85. 85
    The People says:

    We judge on intention, not background

    now fuck off Trotsky

  86. 86
    We call it the spectator, Doogging to you says:

    Who is Isabel Hardman screwing at the BBC then to get on one show or the other every bloody day.

  87. 87
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Keep that to yourself. Bad for business, you know.

  88. 88
    Keep your nose out Barry says:

    And WTF does a half cast Kenyan now living in America know about the Scotch?

  89. 89
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    …and don’t forget the bumsex. I didn’t fly all the way over here to leave that on the table.

  90. 90
    Vote Tory, kiss your country goodbye says:

    You fucking retard, Cameron is pro-EU.

  91. 91
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Shhhhhhh, somebody might start thinking they’re LibLabCon, and then I’ll be out of a job!

  92. 92
    Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

    A shit result for UKIP is an even shitter result for non-moslems in the UK.

  93. 93
    SIZE 15 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

    Don’t panic just yet ,with luck there will be a yes result in the scotch referendum,any labour majority would instantly evaporate when it came into force .
    To be realistic a majority of 16,000 is very difficult to overcome for UKIP in one election.

  94. 94
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Preach it, my faithful LibLabCon brother!

  95. 95
    Barry O says:

    I know Idi Amin was the King of the Scots.

  96. 96
    Ex Tory voter says:

    Listen up Tory Boy after the Europhiles in your party got rid of Thatcher they signed up to every horse shit EU agreement going.
    THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY ARE STUFFED WITH EUROPHILES THEY LOVE THE FUCKING EU.

  97. 97
    Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

    UKIP will either overturn a 16,000 majority or come 2nd.

    The Tories are shrinking.

    Unlike the moslems.

  98. 98
    holland park says:

    what are you conscious of?

  99. 99
    cheche says:

    jimmy

  100. 100
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Have you got a song for the 3rd place Tories on May 22?

  101. 101
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    First or second, UKIP win.

  102. 102
    mustard pink says:

    are you lime green?

  103. 103
    Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

    It’s a Tory government – it’s not a Conservative one.

  104. 104
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    He knows that his socialist friends in the Labour Party get 50 safe seats from Scotchland

  105. 105
    joolz says:

    there you go, 16000 was the majority over liebour, its 25000+ over UKIP

  106. 106
    UKIP the voice of reason says:

    Ha ha ha labour in 3rd place, so much for the new Milliband leadership eh? Smells a bit that this poll comes out with exactly the same % as the Ashcroft poll last week when national polls put the Tories far lower in vote share. My guess is that UKIP will top 30% and come a close 2nd.

  107. 107
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    You won’t know the half of it, after we get our postal vote arranged, ahh, efficiently.

  108. 108
    Anonymous says:

    Steady on, the result’s not for hours yet. You’ll do yourself an injury.

  109. 109
    Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

    Allah U Ahkbar

    Cameron’s new slogan

  110. 110
    Ed Milimong says:

    These results are wrrrrrrooooooooonnnng!

  111. 111
    Mycroft says:

    678 people in that poll, 678… on Monday and Tuesday… we wait… hoping.

  112. 112
    Gary Elsby Stoke says:

    IN 65%

    OUT 35%

  113. 113
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    …she’s a bit old for Jimmy, isn’t she?

  114. 114
    Hung Parliament? Hang 'em all! says:

    And that’s Survation, who always put UKIP comfortably higher than the other pollers.

  115. 115
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    I taught him plenty about Scotch.

    Now I’m teaching the rest of you LibLabCon skeezixes.

  116. 116
    Anonymous says:

    Len McCluskey.

  117. 117
    Angry middle-aged man says:

    Whereas Labour and LibDems are anti-EU, can’t wait to have an EU referendum, sell off the BBC, and halt mass immigration?

  118. 118
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    marginally third and and exceptionally good mid-term result for them when they are in government.

    Given that they were ahead of Labour in England and that lots of urban Labour type areas had local elections and Labour harvesting the postal vote, you’ll find they are cock-a-hoop

  119. 119
    Anon says:

    I don’t think UKIP ever wanted to win this one but do well enough to scare the Tories. A clue would be selecting Roger Helmer.

    Better to start taking names next May.

    UKIP will gain 50 seats plus………why? Once Farage is included in the debates he will wipe the floor with the others and gain a huge chunk of the floating voter.

    Labour nor Tory will not be able to form a government thus another election will have to be called just like in 1974.

  120. 120
    Angry middle-aged man says:

    Vote Labour or LibDem, get double-fucked – and charged for it!

  121. 121
    Bumsex Dave says:

    Got any lube?.

  122. 122
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    The national polls are utter bollocks as usual. Fabricated for all manner of reasons.

    Ashcroft’s last poll showed the Conservatives on 25% ffs! so 11% less than in the GE, 5% less than major in 1997 and about what they polled in the Euros (mid-term with low-turnout and UKIP protesters etc.).

  123. 123
    Anonymous says:

  124. 124
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    Dream on. UKIP won’t have a single MP after the GE

  125. 125
    Anon says:

    LOL

  126. 126
    luxor says:

    Don’t UKIP members get bored of posting contradictory messages? Many of you posted you would win Newark. Then it was the polls were biased. Now its coming second is a great victory. You seem to have some numerous homophobic elements within you, some hate Muslims, others are xenophobic. In short you seem with ordinary everyday politicians without the polish of professional media training.

  127. 127
    Don't rise to it says:

    He’s another Labour Troll. Popular right-wing blogs comments are have is like crawling over them.

  128. 128
    Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

    Don’t like it. Vote UKIP.

    Won’t vote UKIP? Shut the fuck up.

  129. 129
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Abbott spouting shite as usual on Brillo. Why does he have that awful women and the mincing Portillo as representative of the British public. What a bunch of Hunts.

  130. 130
    Anon says:

    Well for me the moment Roger Helmer was announced I knew UKIP didn’t want to win this seat and instead focus on next year.

    The question is how close they get going from 4% to 2??% Tories should be worried very worried.

  131. 131
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Too bad they’re not smart enough to hire guys like me to fly over and show them how it’s done.

  132. 132
    Brillo Watch says:

    A’bbot is useless.

    P’ortillo is good tonight – some real analysis on the S’panish abdication this week.

  133. 133
    Bumsex Dave says:

    Don’t you tory mongs realize i’m a new liebore plant.

  134. 134
    handypara says:

    Isabel Hardman can come on my private show any day!

  135. 135

  136. 136
    Tory's Freedom Prevention Officer says:

    “you seem with ordinary everyday politicians”

    This makes no sense. Move away from the internet and put your hands in the air.

  137. 137
    Fishy says:

    Mini Guido says, ‘Labour sneering that Tories sent in the big guns to fight Newark. Forgetting they sent Miliband, Harman and both Balls. And still expect 3rd’

    In fairness to Labour (I know), Miliband, Harman, Balls and Cooper are hardly big guns.

  138. 138
    Mustafa Al Vote says:

    Most of that will be postal vote no doubt!

  139. 139

  140. 140
    Anon says:

    Party sources suggesting Cons 37%, Ukip 33%, Labour 18%, Lib Dems 2%

  141. 141
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    If I click on that link there better be bumsex, like Dave’s manifesto promised.

  142. 142
    Jezza says:

    We love muzzers, they just don’t like us kuffars for some reason

  143. 143
    Garf says:

    Close at 1 and 2 positions.

    Humiliating for the Libs, which is only right.

  144. 144
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    How can Labour not win the GE with that line-up!

  145. 145
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    You promised not to tell. Where I come from, once you’re bought you’re supposed to stay bought.

    It’s gettin’ so you can’t trust any of these Oxbridge poshboys.

  146. 146
    Who knows says:

    or Anon just posting bullshit.

  147. 147
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    …unless it’s about the bumsex. You’re real fussy about your bumsex.

  148. 148
    Anonymous says:

    Vote Tory. Get Tony.

  149. 149
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Party sources saying if Lab finishes at 18%, I won’t be getting that fat bonus I was expecting.

    Aren’t there some stray sacks of postal votes laying around somewhere we can make use of.

  150. 150
    Anonymous says:

    Good riddance to bad rubbish. If the Tories win 42% of the vote in Newark then they deserve too be nuked from space – it’ll just prove that you can put a blue rosette on a pig in this dump and these fucktards will still vote for it.

  151. 151
    Here is BBC home service says:

    BBC This Week is saying the vote won’t be announced until about 3:00/4:00 am, not staying up for a close call, unless UKIP are winning, which I really don’t think they will. .

  152. 152
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Whatever happens, UKIP will win.

    The fact they are even being considered as contenders is proof enough.

    Sweet.

  153. 153
    Alans Snackbar says:

    We got loads left from Towershamlets….

  154. 154
    Anon says:

    Alex Wickham ‏@WikiGuido 1m

    Oof RT @BBCJLandale: One party’s estimate of votes counted so far in Newark put Con on 38/ UKIP 34/ Lab 18/ Lib Dem 2.

  155. 155
    Trigger says:

    Or sell off Labour, the LibDems, BBC and any/all immigrants.. We have already sold everything else.

  156. 156
    Anon says:

    @WikiGuido 1m

    Oof RT @BBCJLandale: One party’s estimate of votes counted so far in Newark put Con on 38/ UKIP 34/ Lab 18/ Lib Dem 2.

  157. 157
    vote status quo, get change says:

    Have you not been paying attention for the last 40 years?

  158. 158
    Valeria Victrix says:

    A dozen, very possibly. The Conservatives can’t carpetbomb every constituency the way they did Newark, and there are a lot of pissed-off people in Essex, Kent, Cambs and Lincs.

  159. 159

    Clydesdale South (South Lanarkshire) Result:
    LAB – 42.0% (+8.8)
    SNP – 32.9% (-14.0)
    CON – 18.5% (+4.5)
    UKIP – 6.6% (+6.6)

    h/t @britainelects

  160. 160
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    There’s a desperate spurt of optimistic jizz if ever I saw it!

  161. 161
    You crashing bore says:

    who the fuck cares about a council by-election in jocko land?

  162. 162
    handypara says:

    Portillo does occasionally talk sense and provide insight, usually with some humility, whereas Abbott always talks shite in that desperately pseudo-intellectual condescending manner of hers.

  163. 163
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    So my magnificent work has put the combined LabLib vote at 20%.

    Pay me, Miliband. You too, Clegg.

  164. 164
    Calamity Clegg, Chief Cockroach says:

    2% ???

    I’d be happy with that.

  165. 165
    A. Margin says:

    Margin of error?

  166. 166
    Dodgy D. Laws says:

    We don’t. Ignore it.

  167. 167
    Pub Landlord says:

    I always said we would finish a good second in this election Ukip are moving forward. We will eventually gain a parliamentary seat that is inevitable. We have an enormous amount to look forward to. Come on Nige!

  168. 168
    A scot says:

    It suggests a lack of momentum for the snp?

  169. 169
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    I do. I’m having Miliband in No. 10 with those jockos, and getting paid, too.

  170. 170
    Cupid says:

    Say Axe did you write that “were all in this together” style speech milimong did yesterday?
    Utter shite, transparent nonsense, please keep ot up lol.

  171. 171
    BBC says:

    Labour’s retention of their deposit suggests UKIP are under performing.

  172. 172
    handypara says:

    To be fair, Balls was only in Newark to conduct a survey of fish buyers.

  173. 173
    Vague bullshit says:

    “One party’s estimate of votes”

    That’ll be spot on then.
    What Party would that actually be?

  174. 174
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Not the first time I’d imagine…although keep your eyes closed next time, I’ve heard it stings.

  175. 175

    Vote UKIP :-D

  176. 176
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Thank you BBC. You always come through.

    We held the deposit. They handed me bales of cash, and it was worth every bit of it.

  177. 177
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    See comment 157 for answer to this.

  178. 178
    Small-minded little Ingelander says:

    Certainly not us.

  179. 179
    One-Term Cameron says:

    I
    have nothing to offer, but
    Islam,
    Sharia
    and Bumsex

  180. 180
    Cupid says:

    They could win a carnival sideshow mutant competition, but probably never a GE.

  181. 181
    táxpáyér says:

    54% to 40ish% how many of Dave’s Cons lose their seats?

  182. 182
    táxpáyér says:

    Ex metal exchange trader, not stocks.

  183. 183
    Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

    Our plan?

    Bumsex.

    Bumsex at all costs, Bumsex in spite of all terror, Bumsex however long and hard the road may be; for without Bumsex, there is no survival.

  184. 184
    Anonymous says:

    Pay your taxes, get this EU-funded troll.

  185. 185

    Yes – slow down for SNP and a big move against.

    UKIP have come from nowhere to 6.6% – That is not bad at all in Scotland.

  186. 186
    táxpáyér says:

    Dave “oh i forgot to add married gayers to our manifesto oh and a referendum commitment accidentally fell in , but we dont mean it”. Dave?

  187. 187
    Shogun says:

    Come to Japan and call me a small minded little Japaner.

    I’ll spill your guts before you can say “yoko oh-no!”

  188. 188
    Unspeakable Pervert says:

    We shall bumsex in France, we shall bumsex on the seas and oceans, we shall bumsex with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our island (of bumsex), whatever the cost may be. We shall bumsex on the beaches, we shall bumsex on the landing grounds, we shall bumsex in the fields and in the streets, we shall bumsex in the hills; we shall never surrender, until we are exhausted from bumsex.

  189. 189
    táxpáyér says:

    Crumbs they just beat Labour by the look of things.

    How bad is it for them?

  190. 190
    Dr Death says:

    You really are a prize Newark…

  191. 191
  192. 192

    Current Rumoured share…

    
    CON  : 40%
    UKIP : 32%
    LAB  : 18%
    LDEM :  2%
    
    
  193. 193
    Green and Pleasant says:

    I think it will be much closer.

  194. 194
    táxpáyér says:

    If they don’t vote for independence, can we in Engerland have one to be independent of them?

  195. 195
    Green and Pleasant says:

    189’s figures sound much more likely.

  196. 196
    FFS! says:

    no one else is saying that

  197. 197
    Guardian reader says:

    where’s the progressive majority gone?

  198. 198
    Green and Pleasant says:

    +1

  199. 199
  200. 200

    2010 GE Newark:

    Con  : 53.9%
    Lab  : 22.3%
    LDEM : 20.0%
    UKIP :  3.8%
    

    For UKIP win Swing required: 25.1%

    From the Rumoured figures, changes from 2010:

    CON  : 40% (-13.9%)
    UKIP : 32% (+28.2%)
    LAB  : 18% (- 4.3%)
    LDEM :  2% (-18.0%)
    

    Labour loss has very likely gone to UKIP :-)

    Vote UKIP :-D

  201. 201
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    Oh for crying out loud!!!

    Mid-term protests have very little to do with General elections.

    It is about individual constituencies and UKIP were very distant 4th or 5th in all of them. They never even got close and you think they flip over those seats?

    Give your delusion a rest will you.

  202. 202
    Nicky & Vince says:

    It’s not the result it’s the taking part that count and this expeariance will only make our love grow stronger.

  203. 203
    CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

    turnout over 20% down as well. Still I bet that 20 % is dying to vote UKIP next year…..

  204. 204
    Fenton says:

    Whatever happens, it’ll be better than where you live with your white trash thick as sjite knuckle-dragging Essex boy mates with their skanky blue white, hatchet faced, slaggy birds.

  205. 205

    Newark result:

    CON  : 45.0% (- 8.9%) 
    UKIP : 26.0% (+22.2%) 
    LAB  : 17.0% (- 5.2%) 
    LD   :  2.6% (-17.4%)
    

    h/t @britainelects (corrected)

  206. 206

  207. 207
    Fenton says:

    If an ‘immigrant’ with poor English, no contacts and no UK experience can take your job, you must be the thickest twat in the world.


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