June 5th, 2014

Final Survation Newark Poll Predicts Comfortable Tory Win

The polls have closed in Newark and Survation have released the results of their final poll in the constituency:

The results are expected between 2am and 3am…


207 Comments

  1. 1
    Ed Millibaconbuttie says:

    Vote UKIP get labour

    Like

  2. 2
    The British media are cunts says:

    See, Tory voters need to shut the fuck up about immigration and the EU. So long as they keep giving the elites their vote nothing will change.

    Like

    • 45
      rick says:

      Could not agree more. Tories have made it clear they are pro-EU and have no intention quitting. They are not going to sell off the extreme-left BBC – and that mass immigration from the third world and Eastern Europe is good for us. If knowing all this, voters still continue to support the Tories, then they have absolutely no right to complain.

      Liked by 1 person

      • 117
        Angry middle-aged man says:

        Whereas Labour and LibDems are anti-EU, can’t wait to have an EU referendum, sell off the BBC, and halt mass immigration?

        Liked by 1 person

        • 155
          Trigger says:

          Or sell off Labour, the LibDems, BBC and any/all immigrants.. We have already sold everything else.

          Like

  3. 3
    Keith Prometheus Chegwinus III says:

    Vote labour get Miiliband & Balls

    Liked by 1 person

  4. 4
    UKRAP says:

    not true!!

    It’s an msm smear!

    Nigel is a true man of the people type ex-stockbroker.

    Like

  5. 6
    Beeboid says:

    Its a terrible night for te conservatives

    Liked by 1 person

  6. 7
    Mycroft says:

    3 day old poll, all prior to mini-me going to ground.

    Stupid poll to announce at this moment, to be digested only by morons.

    Like

  7. 8
    Col Ripper of Braintree says:

    Newarkers! has now entered the lexicon of the English language

    Scum of the lowest order, mentally subnormal traitors

    I hope that the EU send all the scum from sangatte to live there with open sewers and a mosque as eye catching features, a yardie drop in centre, Abduls grooming parlour and taxi service, syphilis infected apes and compulsory bumsex for all men

    Like

  8. 12
    Abdul Krim's bum boi says:

    mmmmmmm mmmmmmm bumsex, lovely! and my name Abdul, too

    Like

  9. 14

    UKIP have won it with 33% beating the Conservatives into second place.

    Liked by 1 person

    • 19
      Max says:

      Keep going this is a marathon not a sprint. The marginal Tory mp’s will start to excert pressure on the leadership when they realise their seats are in danger next year. I hope

      Like

    • 64
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Lab have won it. There’s a reason they brought me over and paid me millions.

      Liked by 1 person

  10. 15
    Anonymous says:

    It’s staggering how retard the general public are. There seems no limit to how awful labour or the conservatives have to be, they will just keep voting for them.

    There should be some basic political competence test before you get to vote, you should have to prove you have some idea of your party policy and that you’re not voting simply because it’s what the rest of your brain dead family has done for decades.

    Either that or take party affiliations off the ballot. If you did that you’d probably have an even split between all the candidates because not one has a fucking clue who they’re voting for.

    Liked by 1 person

  11. 16
    Please no says:

    Is Diana Abbott on with Brillo tonight?

    Like

    • 69
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      You know, not even I ever thought of putting Abbott on Brillo. That’s brilliant. Simply brilliant. And we’ll make money off the porn residuals, after the election is over.

      Like

  12. 17
    Anonymous says:

    If UKIP have come second, that is a fabulous result and everyone should shout it from the rooftops. Whatever happens, I will never vote Tory again and I don’ t know why I ever did vote for them. I’d rather have needles stuck in my eyes before I voted Lib/Lab. I will stick to UKIP through everything that will be flung at them and me. God bless ‘em.

    Liked by 1 person

    • 20
      Witty Moniker says:

      So, no referendum but five years of Miliband and Balls? Coming right up!

      Like

      • 26
        sh177y Moniker says:

        Nothing to do with UKIP or it’s voters, if we get Liebour back in 2015, blame the people who vote for them.

        Like

      • 27
        Anonymous says:

        If they ever give a referendum it will be timed to make sure UKIP loose. A referendum would be the worst thing possible for UKIP, it would kill them off then the country is well and truly doomed. 20 years of gradually building up a party for it to be destroyed in an instant.

        Like

      • 30
        Mrs Thatcher says:

        Good – then the tories can decide whether they want to keep one-term bumsex dave or become conservatives again.

        Like

      • 41
        Anonymous says:

        So, nothing new just the same tired old nonsense.

        Cameron isn’t going to do a referendum, he’s going to get some meaningless “concession” and call it a renegotiation which means a referendum isn’t necessary.
        Labour under Beaker is doing pathetically badly for the stage of the GE cycle we are currently at.

        Liked by 1 person

        • 51
          Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

          awww diddums

          The hardworking people of Newark can see through the lies and deceit of the EU troughing UKIP cu’nts

          Like

      • 48
        Look on the bright side says:

        At least Liebour let us have generous benefits when immigrants take our jobs.

        Like

        • 207
          Fenton says:

          If an ‘immigrant’ with poor English, no contacts and no UK experience can take your job, you must be the thickest twat in the world.

          Like

    • 49
      Planet Reality says:

      Shit result for Ukip.

      Like

    • 66
      carlo gambino says:

      ‘I will stick to UKIP through everything that will be flung at them and me. God bless ‘em. ‘

      ============================

      A single issue pressure group whose other ‘policies’ amount to…

      ‘things we heard people complain about down the pub’.

      I mean rescinding the hand-gun ban ffs.

      ‘Ah Mr Duggan good morning and how can we help you sir. Ah you’re looking for a machine pistol. Well, sir, we have some tasty new Mac 10 spray ‘n’ prays just in, 600 rounds a minute. You’ll take three; very good. Now if you’re looking for something with punch I’ve got Desert Eagles on the top shelf, .45 cal., punch a hole in an engine block sir. You’ll take six. Very good that’ll be £1900 on account and give my regards to your uncle.’

      ‘Our 2010 manifesto was drivel’.
      Nigel Farage.

      And their 2015 manifesto ain’t going to be any better.

      Vote UKIP.

      Like

      • 81
        Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

        Dave?

        Is that you, Dave?

        Like

      • 186
        táxpáyér says:

        Dave “oh i forgot to add married gayers to our manifesto oh and a referendum commitment accidentally fell in , but we dont mean it”. Dave?

        Like

  13. 18
    Witty Moniker says:

    So, another landslide earthquake stunning etc victory for UKIP … Oh, hang on…

    Like

  14. 23
    Anonymous says:

    Comment No.2. You are so right. Let any Tory come up to me and start whingeing. I am practising what to say to them and it won’t be very pretty.

    Like

    • 44
      twat says:

      oh you are so thick!

      it is NOT A TORY GOVERNMENT!!! It is a COALITION with the Liberals FFS!

      The Liberals have been harvesting dissolusioned former Labour voting immigrant voters for years.

      Like

      • 57
        Socialism is theft says:

        It was not the Liberals but Dave who went to Turkey and said he would fight to bring them into the EU. And that means letting them come to Britain if they wish.

        Like

      • 103
        Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

        It’s a Tory government – it’s not a Conservative one.

        Like

  15. 25
    EeeYepBlowing Whistles says:

    the issue of pa3dophiles who have been in power and who remain in power – and who have been granted [unlawfully] immunity from prosecution – is going to dominate the public opinion for the next 11 months.

    That is the subject that affects every man and woman and how their children must be protected from – predominantely filthy evil men.

    Like

  16. 27
    a non says:

    Last months poll Guido?
    Strange the figures are identical to those of Survation from Mon-Tuesday?

    Like

  17. 29
    InOutplease says:

    Where’s the earthquake then Nige?

    Like

    • 40
      Andy says:

      Increasing the UKIP share from 3% to 27% , beating Labour to second place (HM Opposition, with eyes on election 2015 should be pushing the unpopular tories not dropping from second to third with less than a year to go). Pretty earthquake.

      Like

    • 47
      Parliamentarian says:

      After 60 years of three party politics we now have a fourth dimension.UKIP
      A pretty seismic event in our modern political history only a fool would downplay.

      Like

  18. 33
    Andy says:

    Percentage-wise the Labour vote has stagnated. The LibDem vote has collapsed and I doubt they went to UKIP therefore they most have gone to Labour, and a significant chunk of the Labour vote from 2010 (along with a slightly lower percentage from the tories) has gone to UKIP. Disturbing result for Labour.

    Like

    • 87
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Keep that to yourself. Bad for business, you know.

      Like

      • 170
        Cupid says:

        Say Axe did you write that “were all in this together” style speech milimong did yesterday?
        Utter shite, transparent nonsense, please keep ot up lol.

        Like

  19. 38
    Past or present says:

    Is this an exit poll from today or one prepared earlier?

    Like

    • 42
      EeeYepBlowing Whistles says:

      As they say ‘We are not prepared’ / in singular ‘I am not prepared’ … it a bit like the vast majority of county court civil judgments – all pre-prepared!!!

      Like

  20. 46
    Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

    Fuck u fraud Farage…get back to the euro gravy train you fuckhole

    Like

    • 55
      Parliamentarian says:

      A vote for the Cons will be(has always been) all the pro EU elements in the party need to claim to have a mandate to carry on sucking Brussels cock.

      Like

      • 89
        Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

        …and don’t forget the bumsex. I didn’t fly all the way over here to leave that on the table.

        Like

    • 63
      Socialism is theft says:

      Fuck Dave and all the cowards who voted for him and his bunch of traitors.

      Like

      • 73
        Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

        looooool bunch of traitors

        Fraud Farage and his EU troughers are the traitors

        They will do and say anything to get Labour into power

        Look at those blustering fools, you think they are going to get a MEP equivalent massive paypacket and vast expenses pot in civvie street?

        They are a bunch of conmen

        Like

        • 91
          Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

          Shhhhhhh, somebody might start thinking they’re LibLabCon, and then I’ll be out of a job!

          Like

    • 71
      How can we ever repay you liblabconers says:

      Well, thanks to you liblabcon scum, the English will be a minority in their own country by mid-century.

      So you can shove your fake concern for England up your treasonous arse.

      Like

      • 77
        Vote UKIP/Labour to ensure England stays in the EU says:

        hahahahahahahaha

        You’re not a UKIP MEP are you?

        Face it, the people of Newark are hard working, self reliant, and sensible….they can see through UKIP falsehoods.

        I accept though that one by- election defeat does not diminish the threat posed to a EU referendum by the Labour party’s UKIP proxies

        Like

        • 94
          Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

          Preach it, my faithful LibLabCon brother!

          Like

        • 96
          Ex Tory voter says:

          Listen up Tory Boy after the Europhiles in your party got rid of Thatcher they signed up to every horse shit EU agreement going.
          THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY ARE STUFFED WITH EUROPHILES THEY LOVE THE FUCKING EU.

          Like

        • 108
          Anonymous says:

          Steady on, the result’s not for hours yet. You’ll do yourself an injury.

          Like

        • 109
          Vote Tory, get Sharia says:

          Allah U Ahkbar

          Cameron’s new slogan

          Like

  21. 52
    Bye Bye UKIP says:

    Like

    • 72
      Parliamentarian says:

      In the fast paced fast food 24 hour rolling news world I’m sure they are impatient to see UKIP win/lose early on so they can move on to licking the same arse.
      These pundits know deep down though that turning over large majorities is a big ask for any party and failing to do so in one single election is no measure of anything.

      Like

    • 74
      See You Next May says:

      Like

    • 189
      táxpáyér says:

      Crumbs they just beat Labour by the look of things.

      How bad is it for them?

      Like

  22. 53
    gramma says:

    What’s Guido got against Bus Pass Elvis?
    If you are going to place old figures at least show the whole shebang.

    Like

  23. 59
    Ukip Anthem says:

    Like

    • 100
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Have you got a song for the 3rd place Tories on May 22?

      Like

      • 118
        CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

        marginally third and and exceptionally good mid-term result for them when they are in government.

        Given that they were ahead of Labour in England and that lots of urban Labour type areas had local elections and Labour harvesting the postal vote, you’ll find they are cock-a-hoop

        Like

      • 123
        Anonymous says:

        Like

        • 141
          Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

          If I click on that link there better be bumsex, like Dave’s manifesto promised.

          Like

  24. 60
    The Green Fairy says:

    But what about the important question: Will the Monster Raving Loonies beat the LimpDums?

    Like

  25. 65
    Fishy says:

    Why TF would 24% of people want to vote Labour?

    Like

  26. 70
    joolz says:

    so the question is how close will they be, remember its 25000 majority over UKIP.

    If its with 5000 then UKIP will really put the willies up the cons

    Like

    • 76
      Col Ripper of Braintree says:

      Dot say that, you will make Chris Bryant hard

      Like

    • 93
      SIZE 15 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

      Don’t panic just yet ,with luck there will be a yes result in the scotch referendum,any labour majority would instantly evaporate when it came into force .
      To be realistic a majority of 16,000 is very difficult to overcome for UKIP in one election.

      Like

      • 105
        joolz says:

        there you go, 16000 was the majority over liebour, its 25000+ over UKIP

        Like

      • 107
        Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

        You won’t know the half of it, after we get our postal vote arranged, ahh, efficiently.

        Like

  27. 75
    Col Ripper of Braintree says:

    All female Tory voters should be anally raped by Pakistani taxi drivers in front of their menfolk, their daughters sold into sex slavery in Arab countries same for their sons, the men gelded and shackled and flayed alive in a barell of brine and left to hang upside down in a vat of boiling pitch and pig excrement

    Like

  28. 79
    David Camerspoonface says:

    The only way is bumsex!

    Like

  29. 84
    DAVID WAXWORK says:

    WE’RE ALRIGHT!!!!

    WE’RE ALRIGHT!!!!!

    Like

  30. 86
    We call it the spectator, Doogging to you says:

    Who is Isabel Hardman screwing at the BBC then to get on one show or the other every bloody day.

    Like

  31. 88
    Keep your nose out Barry says:

    And WTF does a half cast Kenyan now living in America know about the Scotch?

    Like

  32. 101
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    First or second, UKIP win.

    Like

  33. 106
    UKIP the voice of reason says:

    Ha ha ha labour in 3rd place, so much for the new Milliband leadership eh? Smells a bit that this poll comes out with exactly the same % as the Ashcroft poll last week when national polls put the Tories far lower in vote share. My guess is that UKIP will top 30% and come a close 2nd.

    Like

    • 110
      Ed Milimong says:

      These results are wrrrrrrooooooooonnnng!

      Like

    • 122
      CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

      The national polls are utter bollocks as usual. Fabricated for all manner of reasons.

      Ashcroft’s last poll showed the Conservatives on 25% ffs! so 11% less than in the GE, 5% less than major in 1997 and about what they polled in the Euros (mid-term with low-turnout and UKIP protesters etc.).

      Like

  34. 112
    Gary Elsby Stoke says:

    IN 65%

    OUT 35%

    Like

  35. 119
    Anon says:

    I don’t think UKIP ever wanted to win this one but do well enough to scare the Tories. A clue would be selecting Roger Helmer.

    Better to start taking names next May.

    UKIP will gain 50 seats plus………why? Once Farage is included in the debates he will wipe the floor with the others and gain a huge chunk of the floating voter.

    Labour nor Tory will not be able to form a government thus another election will have to be called just like in 1974.

    Like

    • 124
      CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

      Dream on. UKIP won’t have a single MP after the GE

      Like

      • 125
        Anon says:

        LOL

        Like

      • 158
        Valeria Victrix says:

        A dozen, very possibly. The Conservatives can’t carpetbomb every constituency the way they did Newark, and there are a lot of pissed-off people in Essex, Kent, Cambs and Lincs.

        Like

        • 201
          CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

          Oh for crying out loud!!!

          Mid-term protests have very little to do with General elections.

          It is about individual constituencies and UKIP were very distant 4th or 5th in all of them. They never even got close and you think they flip over those seats?

          Give your delusion a rest will you.

          Like

  36. 126
    luxor says:

    Don’t UKIP members get bored of posting contradictory messages? Many of you posted you would win Newark. Then it was the polls were biased. Now its coming second is a great victory. You seem to have some numerous homophobic elements within you, some hate Muslims, others are xenophobic. In short you seem with ordinary everyday politicians without the polish of professional media training.

    Like

    • 130
      Anon says:

      Well for me the moment Roger Helmer was announced I knew UKIP didn’t want to win this seat and instead focus on next year.

      The question is how close they get going from 4% to 2??% Tories should be worried very worried.

      Like

    • 131
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Too bad they’re not smart enough to hire guys like me to fly over and show them how it’s done.

      Like

    • 133
      Bumsex Dave says:

      Don’t you tory mongs realize i’m a new liebore plant.

      Like

      • 145
        Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

        You promised not to tell. Where I come from, once you’re bought you’re supposed to stay bought.

        It’s gettin’ so you can’t trust any of these Oxbridge poshboys.

        Like

        • 147
          Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

          …unless it’s about the bumsex. You’re real fussy about your bumsex.

          Like

    • 136
      Tory's Freedom Prevention Officer says:

      “you seem with ordinary everyday politicians”

      This makes no sense. Move away from the internet and put your hands in the air.

      Like

    • 142
      Jezza says:

      We love muzzers, they just don’t like us kuffars for some reason

      Like

  37. 129
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Abbott spouting shite as usual on Brillo. Why does he have that awful women and the mincing Portillo as representative of the British public. What a bunch of Hunts.

    Like

    • 132
      Brillo Watch says:

      A’bbot is useless.

      P’ortillo is good tonight – some real analysis on the S’panish abdication this week.

      Like

      • 162
        handypara says:

        Portillo does occasionally talk sense and provide insight, usually with some humility, whereas Abbott always talks shite in that desperately pseudo-intellectual condescending manner of hers.

        Like

  38. 135

    Like

  39. 137
    Fishy says:

    Mini Guido says, ‘Labour sneering that Tories sent in the big guns to fight Newark. Forgetting they sent Miliband, Harman and both Balls. And still expect 3rd’

    In fairness to Labour (I know), Miliband, Harman, Balls and Cooper are hardly big guns.

    Like

  40. 139

    Like

  41. 140
    Anon says:

    Party sources suggesting Cons 37%, Ukip 33%, Labour 18%, Lib Dems 2%

    Like

    • 143
      Garf says:

      Close at 1 and 2 positions.

      Humiliating for the Libs, which is only right.

      Like

      • 146
        Who knows says:

        or Anon just posting bullshit.

        Like

        • 149
          Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

          Party sources saying if Lab finishes at 18%, I won’t be getting that fat bonus I was expecting.

          Aren’t there some stray sacks of postal votes laying around somewhere we can make use of.

          Like

    • 151
      Here is BBC home service says:

      BBC This Week is saying the vote won’t be announced until about 3:00/4:00 am, not staying up for a close call, unless UKIP are winning, which I really don’t think they will. .

      Like

    • 164
      Calamity Clegg, Chief Cockroach says:

      2% ???

      I’d be happy with that.

      Like

    • 202
      Nicky & Vince says:

      It’s not the result it’s the taking part that count and this expeariance will only make our love grow stronger.

      Like

  42. 152
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Whatever happens, UKIP will win.

    The fact they are even being considered as contenders is proof enough.

    Sweet.

    Like

    • 160
      CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

      There’s a desperate spurt of optimistic jizz if ever I saw it!

      Like

      • 174
        'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

        Not the first time I’d imagine…although keep your eyes closed next time, I’ve heard it stings.

        Like

  43. 154
    Anon says:

    Alex Wickham ‏@WikiGuido 1m

    Oof RT @BBCJLandale: One party’s estimate of votes counted so far in Newark put Con on 38/ UKIP 34/ Lab 18/ Lib Dem 2.

    Like

  44. 156
    Anon says:

    @WikiGuido 1m

    Oof RT @BBCJLandale: One party’s estimate of votes counted so far in Newark put Con on 38/ UKIP 34/ Lab 18/ Lib Dem 2.

    Like

  45. 159

    Clydesdale South (South Lanarkshire) Result:
    LAB – 42.0% (+8.8)
    SNP – 32.9% (-14.0)
    CON – 18.5% (+4.5)
    UKIP – 6.6% (+6.6)

    h/t @britainelects

    Like

  46. 167
    Pub Landlord says:

    I always said we would finish a good second in this election Ukip are moving forward. We will eventually gain a parliamentary seat that is inevitable. We have an enormous amount to look forward to. Come on Nige!

    Like

  47. 171
    BBC says:

    Labour’s retention of their deposit suggests UKIP are under performing.

    Like

    • 176
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Thank you BBC. You always come through.

      We held the deposit. They handed me bales of cash, and it was worth every bit of it.

      Like

  48. 175

    Vote UKIP :-D

    Like

  49. 179
    One-Term Cameron says:

    I
    have nothing to offer, but
    Islam,
    Sharia
    and Bumsex

    Like

    • 183
      Axe, you magnificent cunt says:

      Our plan?

      Bumsex.

      Bumsex at all costs, Bumsex in spite of all terror, Bumsex however long and hard the road may be; for without Bumsex, there is no survival.

      Like

    • 188
      Unspeakable Pervert says:

      We shall bumsex in France, we shall bumsex on the seas and oceans, we shall bumsex with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our island (of bumsex), whatever the cost may be. We shall bumsex on the beaches, we shall bumsex on the landing grounds, we shall bumsex in the fields and in the streets, we shall bumsex in the hills; we shall never surrender, until we are exhausted from bumsex.

      Like

  50. 191
    Anonymous says:

    Like

  51. 192

    Current Rumoured share…

    
    CON  : 40%
    UKIP : 32%
    LAB  : 18%
    LDEM :  2%
    
    

    Like

    • 197
      Guardian reader says:

      where’s the progressive majority gone?

      Like

      • 200

        2010 GE Newark:

        Con  : 53.9%
        Lab  : 22.3%
        LDEM : 20.0%
        UKIP :  3.8%
        

        For UKIP win Swing required: 25.1%

        From the Rumoured figures, changes from 2010:

        CON  : 40% (-13.9%)
        UKIP : 32% (+28.2%)
        LAB  : 18% (- 4.3%)
        LDEM :  2% (-18.0%)
        

        Labour loss has very likely gone to UKIP :-)

        Vote UKIP :-D

        Like

        • 203
          CHRIST ON A BIKE! says:

          turnout over 20% down as well. Still I bet that 20 % is dying to vote UKIP next year…..

          Like

  52. 193
    Green and Pleasant says:

    I think it will be much closer.

    Like

  53. 199

    Verification complete in Newark: Counting has now started.

    h/t: http://www.newark-sherwooddc.public-i.tv/core/portal/newarkbyelection

    Like

  54. 205

    Newark result:

    CON  : 45.0% (- 8.9%) 
    UKIP : 26.0% (+22.2%) 
    LAB  : 17.0% (- 5.2%) 
    LD   :  2.6% (-17.4%)
    

    h/t @britainelects (corrected)

    Like


Seen Elsewhere

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