Montie muses on the way to the polling station:

“I worry how Mr Cameron will interpret a large Tory vote. I remember him rejecting an in/out vote only a few years ago. He now insists he’s deadly serious about renegotiating Britain’s membership but there’s not much evidence that he’s building EU-wide alliances in support of a different kind of Europe. I don’t know anyone who thinks he’ll ever campaign for an “out” vote. Will he get many concessions from other heads of government if they know he’ll stay in the European club regardless?

…I’ll also think about why Ukip can win lots of votes from disillusioned Labour voters and Tories can’t. I’ll regret that the Eurosceptic right is so divided. A Tory-Ukip pact wouldn’t work; it would frighten too many in middle Britain. Yet Mr Cameron has to find a way to appeal to Ukip voters, the angry, working-class casualties of the globalisation experiment, the benefits of which are not equally distributed.”