April 29th, 2014

Lobby Boris Bubble Deflates Embarrassingly Quickly in Newark

Astoundingly incompetent analysis from much of the political media this evening speculating on Boris standing in Newark. Only one problem – the local Tories have already selected their candidate back in November. CCHQ have been on a by-election footing for weeks as Guido reported in The Sun two weeks ago.

Michael Crick on Channel 4 News and the BBC’s Nick Robinson as well as Norman Smith have both been speculating that Boris might stand in Newark.  A little bit of investigative Googling would have revealed Robert Jenrick’s web page on conservatives.com.robert-jenrick

And his Twitter feed:

robert-jenrick

Or the press release

Cllr Stuart Wallace, Chairman of Newark Conservative Association, said:

“The Association wish to express our thanks for the work Patrick has done for Newark and for many of his constituents individually, over the last 13 years, both as a Conservative and as an Independent MP.

“Following Patrick’s earlier decision not to stand again, we selected a superb candidate, Robert Jenrick, who has already been very active locally.

“The Association are united in support for Robert and will be campaigning to ensure that he will be elected as Newark’s next MP.”

Doh!


245 Comments

  1. 1
    Helicopter Money Man says:

    I expect most of the media had to look up Newark on a map to see where it is. To hell with the Westminster bubble and the scum who work in it.

    Like

  2. 2
    ukip.i.am.not says:

    Farage = frit?

    Like

  3. 3
    Jason Campbell says:

    It would display a level of stupidity as yet unsurpassed if the voters of Newark used their vote in protests against Mercer’s actions to vote in Farage who by his own admission isn’t really sure if his expenses are within the law.

    Like

    • 6
      Calimocho says:

      Never underestimate the stupidity of people to believe an Emperor in new clothes does exist

      Like

    • 51
      The paid trolls are out tonight says:

      Ooooo….that’s original …..I’ve just read that on the Guardiann…..is that plagiarism on your behalf or just the onset of alzheimers. Either way, you are pretty stoopid “Jason”.

      Like

    • 71
      Anonymous says:

      Don’t you understand the difference between expenses and allowances ?

      Like

    • 80
      M­a­qboul says:

      These are the same bozos who don’t know the difference between reduced benefits and a tax.

      Like

    • 217

      FFS! MEP’s don’t get expenses which have to be accounted for, they get allowances, which they can spend any way they like. however immoral and unethical you and others might find Nige’s spending patterns, they are perfectly legal. The really dodgy thing is that our MP’s are gradually manoeuvring the UK Parliamentary system to come in line with EU troughing. Changing accountable expenses to unaccountable allowances will be Milibands first move when he gets into No. 10.

      The British People are Better Off Out. The Westminster Elite, not so much.

      Like

  4. 4
    BBC FAIL says:

    UKIP have had a ‘bad’ week what with their highest euro poll ratings so far….

    Like

  5. 5
    Will says:

    By elections throw up strange results and as a general election is due in 2015 select a local candidate and if he wins good, but if not he can try again In a years time whilst spending time canvassing the electorate.

    Like

  6. 9
    More peas, dear? says:

    Europe and sleaze, doesn’t look like they have moved on very far from the Major Government.

    As has been pointed out elsewhere here the two come together nicely in the form of Neil Hamilton who was Tory, was sleazy and is now deputy chair of UKIP.

    Only in this country. Sigh

    Like

    • 18
      Hey round the corner yoo hoo says:

      Somewhere along the line you have to allow the naughty to reform otherwise we would keep people in jail for a lifetime.

      Like

    • 25
      LIbLabCon says:

      Many have dumped UKIP because of Hamiltons,

      Like

      • 73
        Anonymous says:

        Many ?
        Millions have dumped the Establishment lackeys in the old fashioned parties and will vote UKIP on May 22nd chump.

        Like

      • 138
        The Great British Pub says:

        We think millions have dumped the Tories because of Cameron more like.

        Like

    • 104
      Take your sleazy peas and cover them with cheese says:

      “In early July 1997 Sir Gordon Downey published his 900 page report, clearing Ian Greer, Neil Hamilton, and Tim Smith of The Guardian’s original allegations that Ian Greer had paid the two MPs* to table questions.”

      * Ian Hamilton and Tim Smith

      Like

  7. 10
    Martin Bell-End says:

    Nigel Farage should stand for election in Newark.

    Lets see him put his money where his mouth is.

    Or will he be too busy running ukip all on his own?

    Like

    • 50
      Anonymous says:

      Paint a dead cat in the gutter blue and Newark would vote for it.

      Like

      • 101
        Anonymous says:

        put a lump of shit up for election in the north,call it liebour and they’ll vote for it.

        Like

    • 115
      YepBlowing Whistles says:

      here’s one i produced in the previous blog

      64
      YepBlowing Whistles says:
      April 29, 2014 at 8:26 pm
      Maybe that fucking establishment stooge Martin Bell end will stand as the establishment party candidate!
      Reply

      Like

  8. 11
    Kiss my nipsy says:

    I hope Nigel does Stand, it will at least test the water. Bloody Boris is nothing but a distraction.

    Like

  9. 13
    Boss Hogan says:

    So Mercer has committed misconduct in a public office.
    An imprisonable criminal offence.
    When is the trial?

    Like

    • 15
      Podiceps says:

      If everyone who committed misconduct in public office were to be tried, the queue would stretch from here to the moon.

      Like

    • 128
      A little person says:

      He is also guilty of corruption which is even more serious. However since those fucking crooks in the House of Lords got away with it I dont expect to see any criminal charges in the near future.

      Like

    • 142
      The Great British Public says:

      Misconduct in office, where Newark leads, Witney will follow.

      Like

  10. 17
    Second coming says:

    Misled, cheated, lied-to and crapped upon citizen to nigel Farrage….
    Save us.

    Like

  11. 21
    Gideons lying through his fucking teeth says:

    Come on Nige!

    We can’t keep buying bumper stickers…

    Like

  12. 22
    Hey round the corner yoo hoo says:

    They will all be expecting Nigel Farage to try as an MP, don’t Nige, let a local do it, it’ll piss the left off no end, because all they have is it’s buggins parachute next and wouldn’t know where Newark is.

    Like

    • 29
      LIbLabCon says:

      Local is a win.

      Like

      • 49
        Mornington Crescent says:

        Hear, hear. Read this little nark’s profile – he’s never been near Newark in hils little life, poor poppet.

        If UKIP find a good, solid local candidate, it’s theirs to lose.

        Like

        • 218

          At least he’s not out of the usual box. He’s got a solid record in commerce behind him. Being the youngest ever director at Christie’s is a notable achievement. It will be difficult for UKIP to find anyone in the crowd of has-been’s and never-were’s who make up their membership capable of taking him on. Nige will steer well clear of this one.

          Like

  13. 23
    well I never says:

    Prick Robinson never lets facts get in the way of a non- story.

    Like

    • 64
      The British media are cunts says:

      Robinson is an utter wanker.

      Like

      • 77
        Auntie Nepotism says:

        Robinson is on his way out. You can tell by his desperation.

        Like

        • 156
          BBC Standard Response says:

          Fuck off, pleb! We are right, as always, and you are wrong. Simple.

          Like

          • The Dept., of EUSSR Political Correctness and Convenient Truth says:

            Listen to my voice . . .

            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil

            We are your masters . . .

            Listen only to my voice . . .

            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil
            Trust only the Grauniad/BBC Axis of Evil

            Like

  14. 28
    Anonymous says:

    Of course No 10 would never impose a high profile, London-based candidate of their choice. Would they…..?

    Like

    • 171
      Revd., Phoney Fucking £rd Way B£iar, Sanctimonious Shit and £iar, emoting & wiv stupid grin says:

      Hi!!!!

      I’m your new Candidate!!!! – I need the money!!

      Like

  15. 31
    Fruitcake and swivel eyed loony enjoying the utter panic says:

    Farage will stand where UKIP have a strong local base. No representation on Newark town council so highly unlikely.

    Like

  16. 32
    Anonymous says:

    Just another Jenrick MP then?

    Like

  17. 33
    Closing Windows says:

    If Boris is ever the answer probably best to revisit the question

    Like

  18. 34
    nell says:

    Since he has disowned the 2010 manifesto, basically all we have when it comes to UKIP policies for 2015 is Farage’s word. And currently Farage’s word is – he supports gay marriage and he supports “quantity and quality” of immigration.

    The only reason left to vote UKIP now is to get an EU referendum – which is something the Tories promise too, so you might as well vote Conservative.

    Like

    • 38
      Hey round the corner yoo hoo says:

      Nell telling people what to do mmmm.

      Like

      • 106
        Pontius says:

        “might as well vote Conservative”

        Might as well nail your head to a plank of wood and call yourself Jesus.

        Like

    • 48
      John Bellingham says:

      …..and get a cast-iron guarantee?

      Like

    • 57
      ukip.i.am.not says:

      It’s the EU elections coming up not the General election pillock. Where are the LibLabCon policies? you know M.P recall., bonfire of the Quangos. Lords reforms, caste iron guarantees, Gay marriage, control of immigration.
      Nell or whatever your name is today, you were voting UKIP yesterday!!

      Like

    • 67
      C O (Ξ7r1) says:

      The fly in the Conservative ointment: David Cameron is a congenital liar who has been caught out by too many dishonest cast iron guarantees.

      Nigel has not really lied yet – which is one reason the smear merchants are having a hard time getting their claws in.

      So, may as well vote UKIP until the Conservatives get their party back and an honest leader.

      Like

      • 78
        Auntie Nepotism says:

        If you want an honest Conservative Party, VOTE UKIP.

        Like

      • 83
        White rabbit says:

        Success in Politics depends on perfecting the art of delivering the perfect lie.
        Not just to an audience but to oneself. Blair was excellent, as is Cameron.
        I feel a stepchange has been made in British people recognising and rejecting this dark art and preferring the honest politician.

        Like

      • 86
        YepBlowing Whistles says:

        i was going to save this for saturday but thought what TF

        you have to think – when so many journo’s / hack’s from one particular Corporate behemoth ‘become the news themselves’ … there really must be something very, very wrong with the structure of that partiular behemoth and the Executives / Senior Board members and Chairman – who are not on public trial – but hidden away at arms length?

        Like

      • 89
        YepBlowing Whistles says:

        Ruperts pi(l)e of hacks are all on trial – how come they have become the story?

        Like

        • 90
          YepBlowing Whistles says:

          Surely there is summit wrong at the summit [New Scorpion] – that so many of the lessers are up before the beak while them atop are laughing their bollox off?

          Like

      • 92
        YepBlowing Whistles says:

        Arthur Siskind atop Rupe’s Rse – lets be having you Rupe before you pop your fucking cloggs – which can’t fucking happen fast enough you scottish rites bastard deluded mason.

        Like

      • 93
        YepBlowing Whistles says:

        Has Rupe surrounded himself with Israeli firsters or has he allowed himself to be surrounded by Israeli firsters ‘cos he is ‘owned’?

        Like

        • 116
          C O (Ξ7r1) says:

          I think he is in a bit of trouble financially thanks to the divorces.

          He has been royally screwed over by a combo of Blair and the Ch!nese.

          Arresting journalists is one thing, but the extended bail that some have been kept on is a very worrying situation that has occurred in the UK.

          That amounts to an indefinite detention of sorts.

          So why have journo’s been arrested and bailed, but no charges brought or case raised by the CPS against them ? They have just been kept on bail…

          Like

          • YepBlowing Whistles says:

            He has royally screwed over the British Public while hiding behind the labour and tory fronts – i hope he dies a slow and painful death.

            Like

    • 243
      Tom Catesby. says:

      Nell, please believe me…You WILL NOT get a referendum by voting for ANY OTHER party but UKIP.

      Like

  19. 35
    Mornington Crescent says:

    “Conservative MP candidate…”

    Oh, do fuck off, you boring little nonentity. God, he makes a low grade bank clerk look positively scintillating. And a ‘biznizman’, to boot. Yaaawwwnnnn.

    It’s ‘Conservative Parliamentary candidate’, you little prick.

    Like

  20. 36
    UKIP the final solution says:

    Take a gander at that photo of the Tory candidate, just another plastic party droid ready and willing and highly trained to vote when and where he is told and to claim all the expenses he feels he can get away with. Shiny suit and plastic smile and a look that shouts Cameronesque dishonesty. There must be a an underground factory where they build these robots on a production line.

    Like

    • 37
      Tarquin says:

      He seems like a nice boy xx

      Like

    • 39
      Mornington Crescent says:

      :-)

      Like

    • 61
      The British media are cunts says:

      The BBC, the Guardian and most shitty universities.

      Like

    • 102
      Hey, Bob! Have you seen Bob's spanner? says:

      The Tory party: Built by Roberts…

      Like

    • 114
      Vote tory get bell end says:

      Does he look like he’s ever had a real job?

      Straight from his meedja studies course into spaddery, probably.

      Bad as f’kin’ Labour.

      Like

      • 219

        Youngest-ever director at Christie’s. Not a sign of Spaddery.
        “Robert gained a 1st Class degree in History from Cambridge University. He was a Thouron Fellow at the University of Pennsylvania before studying law and qualifying as a Solicitor. Robert practiced commercial law at the international firms, Skadden Arps and Sullivan & Cromwell in the City of London.

        “Growing up in a small business family, manufacturing fires and fireplaces in the Midlands, Robert’s primary interest has been in building and supporting businesses large and small. Robert’s business career has been in the arts and creative industries, latterly as a senior executive and International Managing Director at Christie’s. He was the youngest Director of Christie’s when appointed at 28 and has since been the youngest member of the global executive team.”

        I’m afraid that these facts may cause you a severe attack of cognitive dissonance.

        Like

      • 235
        Tim Yeo-Yo says:

        Senior director at Christies at the age of 32. I’d say that’s a real job in the real world.

        Like

    • 179
      SIZE 14 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

      In about 6 months they will be touting him as a future tory Prime Minister [if the twat wins the seat].

      Like

  21. 41
    YepBlowing Whistles says:

    Crick’s “foaming at the mouth” was unbelievable – that man needs psychiatric help.

    Like

  22. 42
    puzzled and dim says:

    Can you help me with a problem?

    I’m a young socialist and I reasd tghe \guardian lots of times a week.

    My dad says it’s OK to hate every member of UKIP, but that I can’t hate people for their skin colour or religion.

    So is it OK to hate the foreign and coloured UKIP members or should I only hate the white ones?

    Like

    • 47
      LibLabConfused.com says:

      Only hating the white ones because their white is perfectly ok and isn’t racist as only non-whites can be the victims of racism. Joe Brand told me that on the BBC so it must be true.

      Like

    • 65
      Jasmin Beckett says:

      I hate all people who hate people. I cried when I saw people hating other people.
      I want all people haters, including me dead.

      Like

    • 109
      White rabbit says:

      Change your dad.

      Like

    • 118
      The BBC says:

      Report to your nearest gulag for re-education.

      Like

  23. 43
  24. 45
    Hey round the corner yoo hoo says:

    Dear puzzled and dim, when you grow up, you may be allowed only if your good though to vote for whoever, until then, carry on doing you homework and stay away from television as it only brainwashes you into thinking like an ar5ewhole.

    Like

  25. 54
    ukip.i.am.not says:

    Lot of Tory Central Office and Eu trolls on here tonight.

    Like

  26. 55
    Fruitcake and swivel eyed loony enjoying the utter panic says:

    The received wisdom is that Farage must be the first UKIP MP. Wouldn’t be so sure. UKIP voters don’t conform to the norm expected by the MSM. A local lad/lass in a strong UKIP area is just as likely as Nigel.

    Like

    • 85
      Auntie Nepotism says:

      Plenty of opportunities for decent Britons to really give the Establishment a good kicking. It’s going to happen despite the media’s institutional bullying against UKIP.

      Like

      • 180
        SIZE 14 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

        Farage is too pre occupied with the Euro elections he does not need a distraction , there will be time enough.

        Like

  27. 56
    Fabians and paid trolls are Evil says:

    The EU is all about big government and social engineering – the UK does not need to be part of this and no good whatsoever can come from it.

    Even the basic law is different; within the UK you can do anything as long as it is legal. Within much of europe you can do anything that the state has deemed permissable/legal. Do you really want to hand such control to a bunch of unelected bureaucrats.

    ( Bureaucrat =an administrator concerned with procedural correctness at the expense of people’s needs.)

    Like

    • 68
      Anonymous says:

      Any UK Public bodies and services : concerned with procedural correctness at the expense of people’s lives.

      They even make up their own laws: Simon Salem at Canal and River Trust is the best at it.
      So why do you think we are better outside the EU when the mentality of the EU is forged into the infrastructure of the UK?

      Let EU grow as fast as possible. It will self-destruct.

      Since we have no political ability to control even our own, how do you expect them to control the EU.

      Like

      • 103
        Fabians and paid trolls are Evil says:

        Hitler fully understood the problems of Bureaucrats – it is a historic fact that the very first duty of the gestapo was to rid the german civil service of bureaucrats wiith ‘Clerical Tendencies’

        Like

    • 69
      Overton's Arrow says:

      +1

      Also, do people really want to cede fiscal / financial sovereignty to an organisation that hasn’t had its accounts audited / signed off in 19 years?

      Like

      • 98
        Fabians and paid trolls are Evil says:

        Bureaucracies are stuffed, by definition, with bureaucrats of whom some 99% + have reached a perfect ‘score’ on the Peter principal. The only way they can survive within such bureauracies is by adhering to the procedural correctness and the policy.

        This is NOT healthy thing for democracy when those setting policy are unelected.

        I want a government where the M.P’s are directly appointed by the voters and said M.P.’s are scared shitless by the voters intentions. We should only LEND power to the M.P’s and they should be held to account by the voters every 5 years.

        I can see the flaw and that is, of course, the tribal voting patterns of the idiots who always vote labour – allowing the socialist elete to take the piss by enforcing their husbands and kids, such as Blair and Kinnock, upon the labour voting donkeys.

        We could perhaps make a start by way of getting rid of all Sottish and Welsh M.P’s in Westminster. Having cleaned up our own back yard we could then turn our attentions to the EU.

        Like

  28. 58
    The British media are cunts says:

    The only reason the cuuntz in the media want Farage to stand is so they can wank on about UKIP racists whilst they ignore the stench of kiddie fiddling cover ups in Labour and Limp Dims.

    Like

  29. 60
    Nick Robinson BBC star reporter says:

    ..and this breaking news just in..Maria Miller has quit as Culture Minister..

    Like

    • 82
      The British media are cunts says:

      :)

      Like

      • 162
        #Prick.Racist.Robinson says:

        Racist, racist, racist, racists…. Racist, racist racist.
        Racists……..
        Racist racists, racists racist and racists…..
        Racist:- racists, racists and racists
        1. Racists
        2. Racist
        3. Racist racists.
        Racist ?
        Racist (racists – racists – racists)

        Racist / Racists

        Racists@racist.racist.racist.BBC

        #Prick.Racist.Robinson

        Like

  30. 66
    Blogger 1 - Mainstream Media 0 says:

    Nice one Guido, smoking out the “professional journalists” who are too lazy to check their facts and prefer celeb gossip

    Like

  31. 75
    the mystic mould with the appearance of the face of Jesus says:

    I’d have thought Nigel’s views would be well received in Newark, isn’t it an historic English town ? Probably not very enriched as yet.

    Like

  32. 76
    Ockham's Razor says:

    @CO

    Wrote this yesterday but wanted to refine it. Having dinner with friends tonight at short notice so will just send this off without correction or expansion. Now I found the page changed so reposting.

    Have just done an interesting comparison. I started off 1972 and 1975 ICOADS videos running in adjacent tabs and then alternated between them for the duration.

    The differences were for many of the alternations indistinguishable as to volumes and temperatures.

    Now in a sense, that is not remarkable. Had I done that with 1931 and 2013 ICOADS, there would have been vast differences. But running at the same times of the year with years reasonably close, it would have been surprising had there been noticeable changes.

    So where do we see new information? The fixed transmitters and satellites. Why not run a set which only draws from them? It won’t be as visually entertaining but might be instructive in identifying if trends are emerging and compare with just the shipping data (and now land data) to see if, or how, they differ.

    Now thinking seriously about identifying any possibility of anti-selection bias in IPCC/UEA/CRU stats as suggested before. Know this is ballpark to what you have in mind – but there are almost limitless possibilities so it is worth thinking about the best points to start.

    Like

    • 136
      Saying what everybody thought when reading the above says:

      Fucking idiot.

      Like

    • 157
      C O (Ξ7r1) says:

      That ICOADS data vids are really just to get a feel for the data.

      I did post up some yearly averages calculated by global region for SST and land – if you chart that you will see the temperature changes do not really move much during that period – which is in line with what you observed.

      To get to the next step of analysis, monthly averages at ‘fixed’ points in SST are needed in order to allow comparison of SST with Land.

      This grid mapping I am prioritizing ahead of your filtering suggestion as the process will be required alongside filtering to focus on specific measurement sources. I am curious to check along those lines.

      It is quite an interesting challenge figuring out how to do this efficiently: I am looking to use fix differences in latitude whilst preserving area.

      When done, it should be easy to combine the SST and Land datasets into a unified plot and then see how sea and land average temperatures vary. Am expecting the SST to be much more stable compared to land, and for most of the year, warmer on average.

      Agree with you on selection biasing – but that is not what is behind the IPCC / UEA errors.

      UEA wanted to distort in order to maintain and increase funding. That is not scientific.

      IPCC / UN are purely political: They wish to shift the goal posts so as industrialized nations become economically marginalized by attacking their access to energy in order to bias the playing field for developing nations.

      I mentioned in a post earlier that after looking at the CRUTEM data and seeing a biasing in terms of where the land based stations are located, am fairly certain that some of the changes in land temperatures may be caused by urban development changing the thermal properties of large sections of the planet’s surface.

      Urban development would correlate with CO2 increases, but it is the modification of the land not the CO2 that is perhaps having the largest effect on local temperatures, and perhaps, precipitation.

      I mention precipitation as changes in where rain falls is a major problem for man. Knowing that desertification is a positive feedback process, one thing that should be noted is covering large sections of land under buildings and concrete perhaps have resulted in humans inadvertently starting this process in some locations. Again – nothing much to do with CO2, but with a moments thought, fairly big implications for developing nations who wish to develop.

      The SST is useful here in that it provides an invariant of sorts: The surface and thermal properties of the sea can be regarded as a constant compared to land, mainly because the oceans are made of water and have not been built on.

      Looking then for correlations against urban development indices, particularly those close to where the bulk of weather stations are located could be the way to go.

      If this is the case, the real long term solution is not to reduce energy consumption, but certainly to change building practices so more attention is paid to the before and after surface thermal properties of developed areas, and perhaps develop building materials which present thermal properties which mirror natural materials much more closely: Reducing or eliminating CO2 emissions would have no measurable effect.

      Like

      • 182
        Ockham's Razor says:

        Agree on that last point. I took the risk of taking my laptop to my dinner engagement with academics in AU. I played two of the ICOADS set from either extreme of the date range and the first land data video, not the entire length, but enough for them to see where it was going. Put the argument about mirroring building materials’ thermal properties to the local undeveloped land and they saw the connection straight away, as they did the coastal waters effect of shipping data.

        Understand the priorities you set out above and as this progresses, there will be an explosion in the possibilities available to you. This therefore begs the question of where you want to take this. Appreciate you may want to keep some cards up your sleeve but you will already know that there are monumental consequences that could flow from the pursuit of this, some scientific and some political. There is also the issue of how to get to a wider audience with it once it starts to yield important points.

        My thoughts are that not all the points may play to making a video of the data, although the routes of shipping and their sea soundings do the job brilliantly.

        It may be that other forms of demonstration might get the point home more effectively. Maybe a graph or an interactive presentation which will allow some interrogation.

        Whether or not you feel the need to monetise this, the opportunity may present itself anyway at some point. More decisions as to what is the right path to take and whether that accords with the most profitable one or not.

        For now, I am still back with the thought that Britain was the world’s primary quartermaster in 1900. Exactly 100 years later that role had been grasped by China. That alone may have affected the figures, even allowing for the political nature of IPCC et al.

        Like

        • 212
          C O (Ξ7r1) says:

          Am not fixated on the videos – they are just a tool for presenting the data which is available in a way that hopefully allows intuition to more precisely navigate the data sets.

          Consider them to be part of a preliminary review – but the information they show is interesting.

          Am going to put together 1900 through 1931 movies – not for temperature checking as such, but am interested to see if WWI had an impact on shipping.

          Once the SST / Precipitation / CRUTEM data can be tied together and filtered by geographical region (eg. separate data points in remote from urban / city areas) then a lot of possibilities open for sure.

          That relies on the ability to ‘grid’ the data points: Just about got algorithm implemented now for the SST – moving into testing now.

          Will be interesting to see where this goes – would like to test the urban development hypothesis.

          Like

  33. 81
    Betting Man says:

    I hope Farage does stand. I want to lighten kipper wallets.

    Like

    • 168
      Dung says:

      “Betting Man”- Translation: “Standing outside Ladbrokes with empty pockets and a damp roll-up”.

      Good luck with that. No, really.

      Like

  34. 87
    Auntie Nepotism says:

    The lazy Spaniards have just beat The Master Race 4-0.

    Like

    • 238
      Historian says:

      But how many real live born and bred Spaniards were actually in that team? And how many were from the master race in the other?

      Like

  35. 88
    Brother York says:

    Here’s an idea…why not parachute BJ into Malton & Thirsk at next election…perfect…he knows nothing about the area. BJ entering Parliament would be the worst possible thing to happen to the Party…you think we are up sh*the creek at the moment wait until BJ is back on those green benches
    benches.

    Like

  36. 91
    Tory Party Think Tank says:

    Seems to me our David has both of his feet firmly in the dog poo on this one.

    What with the European elections and presidentials in Ukraine I think his best strategy is tin hat and bunker time until June.

    Like

  37. 94
    Anonymous says:

    England need a referendum now to come out of the United Kingdom and that socialist institution, the EU.

    vote ukip now, England for the English, like Scotland for the scots, Ireland for the Irish and Wales for the welsh. Now is that racist?

    Perhaps the rich political elite at westminster, the mainstream media and the bbc could let me know? Some of my family died in the second world war to keep this country free, they needn’t have bothered.

    Like

  38. 99
    'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

    Whatever your opinion of Ukip and Farage, I cannot understand why anyone would vote for the other three.

    How many times do you have to be ripped off to take your custom elsewhere?

    Like

  39. 100
    YepBlowing Whistles says:

    fuck rupert and his stringpullers of Israel – both of them.

    YepBlowing Whistles says:
    April 29, 2014 at 9:36 pm

    Ruperts pi(l)e of hacks are all on trial – how come they have become the story?
    Reply

    89
    YepBlowing Whistles says:
    April 29, 2014 at 9:38 pm

    Surely there is summit wrong at the summit [New Scorpion] – that so many of the lessers are up before the beak while them atop are laughing their bollox off?
    Reply

    91
    YepBlowing Whistles says:
    April 29, 2014 at 9:41 pm

    Arthur Siskind atop Rupe’s Rse – lets be having you Rupe before you pop your fucking cloggs – which can’t fucking happen fast enough you scottish rites bastard deluded mason.
    Reply
    92
    YepBlowing Whistles says:
    April 29, 2014 at 9:42 pm

    Has Rupe surrounded himself with Israeli firsters or has he allowed himself to be surrounded by Israeli firsters ‘cos he is ‘owned’?
    Reply

    Like

  40. 105
    Al*x Wickham says:

    Nigel Farage needs to grow a set and stand at the Newark by election put up or shut up.

    Like

  41. 108
    Don't blow it now says:

    No. I advise Farage not to stand. Selet a local.

    Like

    • 153
      General Mercer of the Fijian Alpine Regiment says:

      Farage for Eastleigh perhaps at the GE. Local for this one. Tory isn’t a local. But, worth a punt for Farage if somebody knows something we don’t.

      Like

  42. 111
  43. 113
    Fishy says:

    Liar Farage to stand? Evens.

    Like

  44. 121
    Nigel Farage says:

    This will be incorporated in the UKIP manifesto,have no fear.

    Eurojokes (Eurovision Song Contest Piss Take).: http://youtu.be/OHeogqCdCcQ

    Like

  45. 126
    Blind_leading_the_blind says:

    I´m sure Jenrick could easily be persuaded to step aside for some quid pro quo – this has never been a problem in the past when some grandee needs a seat

    Like

  46. 129
    Green Party says:

    Vote Green!

    Like

  47. 132
    adams says:

    I have just read exactly (word for word ) the same anti Farage , Ukip comments on the D Telegraph site . My goodness they are dedicated , or paid ? Not sure which . Farage does not need to stand in Newark, UKIP can do just as much damage to the scum Tories with another candidate . The lesson of Buckingham will be remembered .

    Like

  48. 133
    The fucking little weasel known as David Steel says:

    I put forward a serial child molester for a knighthood. Its not my job to investigate him.

    Like

  49. 137
    Leon Brittan says:

    You ain’t seen me. Right?

    Like

  50. 141
    The British media are cunts says:

    How magnanimous of Mercer to decide to stand down….um except why didn’t he do this when he got fingered?

    Like

    • 175
      Mr Evans says there are a lot more perverts in Westminster says:

      Maybe he likes it

      Like

    • 177
      Handypara says:

      Notice that the BBC front page story on Mercer, an Independent MP, is quick to refer to him as “former Tory MP” and “former Conservative MP “.
      Can’t find where they refer to him as a former BBC journalist!

      Like

  51. 145
    Fishy says:

    Ha. (Homer Simpson) Farage today, in his mustard coloured jacket and yellow trousers, looks like a walking dose of diarrhoea.

    Like

    • 146
      No idea says:

      Whatever.

      Like

    • 149
      The Ghost of Maggie Thatcher says:

      Your personal attacks show that you are another lefty twat, in along line of lefty twats, who have lost the argument; again.

      Like

      • 176
        Fishy says:

        Not at all. I’m a righty twat if you will. I can simply see what the blind Farage followers cant; UKIP was formed as a left wing organisation aimed at destroying the Tories.

        Why do you think that Farage has NEVER gone after Labour and Brown for reneging on the referendum HE promised…then signed the Lisbon Treaty?

        Why do you think it is that Farage has always targeted the Tories

        Why do you think that UKIP in Norfolk deposed the major party (the Tories) to team up with Labour and put them in power.

        Why do you think that Farage lies about the ‘Cast Iron Guarantee’?

        I’m not a lefty at all, I hate Socialists and resent the way that the EU has usurped our democracy, but Farage is not the answer – far from it. Farage flies a false flag

        Mark my words. The way it’s going, we’ll all be sorry.

        Like

        • 181
          No idea says:

          The Tories have done their best to destroy the Tories, UKIP deposed the Tories to team up with Liebour, we need Nell to ask about that one, you vote for who you want and I will use UKIP to help get us out of the EU, step by step the people of the country will get it’s way.

          Like

        • 184
          'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

          Good, and you can fuck off while you’re about it.

          Like

        • 189
          Knob says:

          You think too much about everything being ‘left and right’. There is no real left and there is no real right. Not in Westminster. They are all just the same and fill their days by taking up poses. Cameron is a sleek but fundamentally weak, pro-gay anti-British Europhile big state authoritarian social engineer. Miliband is a self-entitled and treacherous anti-British pro-gay authoritarian anti-democratic anti-British big state social engineer. Clegg is a confused and probably profoundly psychologically damaged weasel who wants to be a pro-gay Europhile anti-British anti-democratic social engineer but also wants people to think he’s something else entirely. Whatever it is he wants to be is unimportant because his credibility of shot to hell. As is Cameron’s and Miliband’s.

          Like

          • Pookie Snackumberger says:

            Hmmm, I’ll go with that.

            All three are big state – big corporatism, who do not, I repeat, do not give a toss about the proletariat.

            Our only hope is Farage is not one of them (and he seems genuine to me), at least for a while until we undo some of the fucked up state this country is in.

            .

            Like

        • 205
          Handypara says:

          Even if some of what you say was true, it would hardly matter. UKIP is entirely useful for focusing attention on the EU and immigration and for exposing the LibLabCon’s suppression of the will of the majority.

          Like

          • Pookie Snackumberger says:

            Remember he is anit fake green bollocks as well.

            That’s a big plus for individuals and industry in this country.

            Like

    • 172
  52. 147
    Candidateometer says:

    Not local. Cardboard cut out bubble clone. Might be worth a punt for Farage.

    Like

  53. 148
    Braveheart says:

    It’s a shoo-in for Labour and Michael Payne. It requires a 15.8% swing but there was a fairly substantial Lib Dem vote which will collapse in Labour’s favour and maybe 5 or 10 complete jerks will switch from Conservative to UKIP. Most Tories will just stay at home after the Mercer episode. They mostly have some pride and some sense. Labour Gain.

    Like

  54. 151
    Colpo Grosso says:

    Like

  55. 167
    Labour says:

    We’d rather Farage doesn’t stand. If he does, we’ll need to rustle up an extra 50,000 postal votes. I suppose Mr Ibrahim down the road could register 15,000 cousins to start with.

    Like

    • 186
      Mr Ibrahim down the road says:

      Pleased to be telling you my 15’000 cousins all be having four wives and six bothers.

      Like

      • 188
        Not sure says:

        I’m sure that’s a racist comment.

        Isn’t it?

        Like

        • 193
          No idea says:

          Don’t think it’s truthful, but racism is only in vile peoples mind they are the racists, not to sure what the six bothers are tho, lets face it 4 wives the guy must be rich, I don’t think the princes in Saudi Arabia have as many cousins a bit high number even for a large family.

          Like

      • 191
        Mr Ibrahim down the road says:

        Pleased to be telling you I don’t give a shit.

        Like

      • 207
        Handypara says:

        And all at the same address .. . . . . . . . but the ERO doesn’t want to know that!

        Like

  56. 183
    The underclass problem says:

    I’m watching Coppers on Channel 4 and on full gory display is the human detritus of the country. In particular they just showed a grotesque creature who was supposedly a woman. She was obese, foul mouthed and screaming like a lunatic.

    What I’m going to say is taboo but the only way to solve the problem of welfare dependency and the cause of so much crime in the country would be the wholesale eradication of this scum. I’m not talking about the genuine working class who do work for a living and strive. I’ve known ordinary working class folk who have the work ethic and loved Mrs Thatcher. I’m talking about the underclass who are human sewage, the “evil poor” as Nightjack called them. These repugnant creatures are feral, intellectually sub-normal monstrosities who live on the fringes of society, have legions of children and live off the state while committing crimes and producing the next generation of unemployed thugs who don’t go to school and terrorise locals.

    This strata of society expanded exponentially under Labour. The reason Labour and the left in general are screaming about the new rules requiring long term unemployed to sign on every day and do free work is because it’s this element that’s finally being forced to look for work, people who’ve got multiple generations in the same house not working and have got used to free handouts. These are who Labour rely upon and the party’s panic is palpable because their voter base is being made to do something it’s never done.

    When you have Labour, SWP and the unions screaming about something being evil or unfair, you know it must be the right thing.

    Like

    • 185
      'Gypsy' Dave Cooper says:

      You already know the answer then, vote Ukip and tell all your mates and family to.

      Stop bleating on here and do something about it.

      Like

    • 192
      Kipper says:

      What about the feral overclass ?
      When you have the Tories, the EU and the IOD telling you that you are evil you must be right.

      Like

    • 195
      Kipper says:

      There’s more human sewage travelling between The City, The Palace of Westminster and Pall Mall and St, James’s than there is in any council estate in Britain.

      Like

    • 196
      JH343456353245234 says:

      There is indeed a burgeoning underclass which have the following characteristics:

      1. Don’t work, won’t work. Hint: they’re not ‘working class’.
      2. Poor future-time orientation
      3. Poor impulse control, esp. in regards to sex and violence
      4. Poisonously high self-esteem; even begin to outline their situation and how it could possibly be the result of their own bad decisions and they get all super-offended.

      A horrible, dangerous mix.

      Like

      • 200
        Rickytshirt says:

        They exist because the State has brought them into being through an ever expanding benefits system. Fathers are superfluous, they no longer have to put bread on the table for their offspring. They have 24 hour kid’s telly to keep the kids placid and surestart to teach them how to love the State.

        I think you are incorrect in saying they have high self esteem. Many of them, especially fathers, will have incredibly low self esteem. They are defensive, yes, and will defend what they have been told is their 100% entitlement to their very own teat on the State’s udder. They have zero sense of history, and how things are supposed to work. The debt-sustained welfare state and the black economy are all they know and to contemplate another path makes no economic sense to them. In most cases they are right. They will not be significantly better off, so why struggle?

        In essence, they are a symptom of the failure of socialism. If we want good, working people in this country, we must make work pay by removing the option of welfarism as a lifestyle choice (it must be a less than comfortable last resort that people really don’t want to have to rely on), we must stop driving down averages wages by making immigration work for us, we must break down barriers to entry for entrepreneurs, reduce costs and regulation of business (leave the EU, minimize the state at all levels and have a truly competitive energy market – without the green crap) and, above all, stop Government from bribing voters with future taxpayers money – make all governments live within their means and watch their appetite for war disappear.

        Like

        • 201
          JH343456353245234 says:

          Let’s call it ‘touchiness’ – in reality they have justifiably low self-esteem but they behave as if they are really, really proud of themselves and heaven help anyone who rocks that boat.

          Like

        • 211
          Handypara says:

          Their sense of entitlement is matched only by immigrants.

          Like

      • 224
        Spot on spotter says:

        Thank you JH etc., spot on

        Like

    • 209
      DC this is your Bye Bye By Election says:

      I want to remove welfare dependency from our national life as much as anyone but this is just hysterical stuff.

      Labour won’t get elected if it relies purely on overweight unemployables. They probably amount to no more than 2-3 million people in this country.

      Labour and the SWP screamed about the poll tax being evil…eventually the Tories removed it. Are you saying that the Tories ought to reintroduce the poll tax?

      Like

      • 234
        SIZE 14 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

        Only those who can produce a P60 Tax form, unless retired or disabled, should have a right to vote.

        Like

    • 225
      Anonymous says:

      Excellent

      Like

  57. 194
    Pro EU shitebag says:

    Let the pro EU shilling commence.
    #EUnify

    https://twitter.com/search?f=realtime&q=%23EUnify&src=typd

    Like

  58. 210
    John Bull says:

    Cor blimey und love a duck. Ze fact zat ze EU is payink people to promote ze EU on internet forums is ein disgrace. Help ma boab. Neverzeless, I vill be voting for Nick Clegg in ze Euro elections, just as all patriotic Britishers like me should. Zank you.

    Like

  59. 213
    Jason King says:

    Perhaps the political pundits know that it is not unknown for a candidate selected for the general election to be moved aside in the event of a by election?

    Like

  60. 223
    A message to ‘Dave’, the LibLabCon Mafioso, and all Metropolitan Hand-Wringing Shitheads says:

    Hi! (thought you’d like that)

    It’s my perfect right to dislike bumfuckers, pervs, and any other ‘Community’ I damn well please!

    So fuck off!

    And STOP telling me what to think!

    Like

  61. 226
    Pookie Snackumberger says:

    Don’t stand Nige, do not stand.

    Give it to a good commonsense candidate, pref’ a man of color; that would knock them flat.

    Because, even if your man did not win, it is such a high profile case that it would render the EU/Liblabcon/BBC’s main wepon of attack dead in the water.

    Like

  62. 227
    Fruitcake and swivel eyed loony enjoying the utter panic says:

    The MSM & Establishment are absolutely desperate to bury UKIP. Is it possible that they’ve engineered the timing of the by election to smoke out Farage? If he stands they’ll throw every bit of shit they have at him in a bid to discredit him personally and by association, the party. Cut off the head type thing. If he doesn’t stand it’ll be ‘frightened’ ‘what’s he got to hide’ method of attack.

    Nigel needs to be extremely careful, this feels very much like an ambush in a desperate attempt to wrest the agenda back.

    The bonus of standing & winning is that the ‘they have no MPs so should have no representative in the TV debates’ is shot down in flames.

    On balance I’d say don’t stand. It’ll be easier to rebut the ‘frightened’ accusations than deal with the inevitable torrent of smears.

    Like

    • 228
      another loon says:

      Completely agree – hope he doesnt stand

      Like

    • 230
      SIZE 14 CARBON FOOTPRINT says:

      The whole gang will turn their firepower on him , BBC,Guardian ,Mirror,Torygraph Labour, Libdems Tories ,they will be able to co ordinate their efforts on one by election instead of them being dissipated over a general election.
      UKIP would be better advised to select a good local candidate ,enabling Farage to concentrate on the more immediate task of winning the Euro election.

      Like

      • 232
        disenfranchised says:

        Completely agree with your assessment of the situation, reitterated in my 2 fingered typing attempt below.
        Let others scr’ape the bottom of the barrel in their attempts at undermining and smearing him. Another 12 months might be frustrating for all demanding a change now in the status quo but will be worth it in the end.

        Like

    • 231
      disenfranchised says:

      Completely agree with your assessment of the situation, reitterated in my 2 fingered typing attempt below.
      Let others scrape the bottom of the barrel in their attempts at undermining and smearing him. Another 12 months might be frustrating for all demanding a change now in the status quo but will be worth it in the end.

      Like

  63. 229
    disenfranchised says:

    Will he , won’t he?
    Personally I think Farrage can better avoid standing unless he is partial to being ambushed by concerted opposing parties grouping together.
    Mercer choosing now to relinquish his seat? Raising 2 fingers to Dave who needs a byelection now as the last thing around to expose faltering Tory support? Popcorn time!
    Keep your powder dry Nigel. This is just a small skirmish.
    The major battle after EU successes lies just ahead and this temporary distraction should not sway you from your ultimate goal of showing up the other ‘major’ parties for what they are at a general election.

    Like

  64. 233
    Fruitcake and swivel eyed loony enjoying the utter panic says:

    All the MSM working themselves into a frenzy ‘will he, won’t he’.

    Just say no, burst their bubble.

    A nice local candidate who, most importantly, lives in the constituency and knows the local issues is the way to go.

    Like

  65. 241
    Anonymous says:

    “A little bit of investigative Googling”
    can allegedly prove difficult to fit in. Between a need to visit those ‘special’ sites, and messing up Wikipedia entries.

    Like

  66. 245
    (I've been renamed) DA-Notice says:

    Any twat describing themselves as an entrepreneur probably isn’t one and is to be trusted even less than your average politician.

    Like


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Douglas Carswell’s side-kick Dan Hannan MEP pours water on the obvious question:

“I won’t be joining UKIP, though I wish Douglas Carswell all the best. He has been a superb MP, and it’s honourable to stand for re-election.”



Owen Jones says:

We also need Zil lanes.


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