January 20th, 2014

Labour Opt for Snap By-Election – Feb 13

Labour are clearly worried about the UKIP surges in recent by-elections – they have opted for snap poll in Wythenshawe and Sale East after the death of the well liked Labour MP Paul Goggins. The polling day of February 13 gives the parties just over three weeks to try dent the notionally safe Labour majority. After UKIP put the frighteners on in Rotherham and Eastleigh, it will be interesting to see what momentum they can pick up in such a short period of time.

Labour are defending a majority of 7,575:

2010 Result:
Conservative: 10412 (25.6%)
Labour: 17987 (44.1%)
Lib Dem: 9107 (22.3%)
BNP: 1572 (3.9%)
UKIP: 1405 (3.4%)
MAJORITY: 7575 (18.6%)

UKIP will be wanting that second place…

Graph via UK Polling Report.

75 Comments

  1. 1
    Sunny Jim says:

    Bring it on…

  2. 2
    jgm2 says:

    UKIP will want first place.

  3. 3
    Chris Patten says:

    The BBC will guarantee its impartial coverage of the Labour campaign here in a sympathetic and detailed manner as always

  4. 4
    Sunderland is a Labour ghetto thats why it shyte says:

    The reult will depend on whether Labour parachute someone in to the constituency.

  5. 5
    Di Rear says:

    Vote UKIP in Wythenshawe & Sale East. You know it makes sense. What have the other three ever done for the working class?

  6. 6
    Orson Cart says:

    That graph will sure as hell need a new colour.

  7. 7
    jgm2 says:

    Labour retaining a safe seat will be reported as a ‘Labour win’ by the BBC rather than a ‘Labour hold’.

    Headlines will include, ‘Labour wins fifth (or whatever) by-election on the trot’. Rather than ‘Labour holds fifth safe seat in by-election’.

  8. 8
    Di Rear says:

    Limp Dims to come fifth!

  9. 9
    bergen says:

    On the other hand a short campaign will mean a lower turnout and will make it less likely that the “I suppose we’d better go and vote” habitual Labour voter will stir on a cold dark evening in mid February.

  10. 10
    jgm2 says:

    Two words:

    Postal votes.

  11. 11
    M102 says:

    Kay Burley stirring the shit over Farage and asking Hattie Harmanhater what she thinks. What a cuunt.

  12. 12
    Scary Biscuits says:

    UKIP need to win, not to come second. That would really frighten the LibLabCon ruling cartel.

  13. 13
    Only fools and horses vote Labour says:

    We want the people to vote Labour and we don’t care if these people have lived here all their lives or just fallen out the back of a lorry.

  14. 14
    A Psephologist says:

    those scrounging cu’nts will vote Labour in every day of the fucking mumff

    cu’nts

  15. 15
    A Psephologist says:

    Labour will get fucking postal votes than there are scrouing Hunts in that shitole

  16. 16
    John Bellingham says:

    Already stitched up. I wonder how many people in old-age homes and hospices will vote Labour after they die?

  17. 17
    Mitch says:

    Farage bottled it in Eastleigh where he would have won. Expect more of the same spinelessness. They don’t *really* want to win, just to make childish noises off.

  18. 18
    Captain Pugwash says:

    Hear ! Hear !

  19. 19
    Killer Bercow says:

    Let me get some poles in first.

  20. 20
    Sheila says:

    Long range weather forecast for Wythenshawe and Sale East is grim, as gay activists promise to flood the constituency – could be good news for UKIP – or not, depending on which side of the fence they straddle …

  21. 21
    UKIP councillor planted by the Tories says:

    It’s raining cats and mongs.

  22. 22
    The British Public says:

    The country needs Labour to be humiliated.

  23. 23
    bergen says:

    But a short campaign means they have less time to organise a postal vote scam for anyone who hasn’t already registered for one generally.

  24. 24
    Jimmy says:

    Not too many golf clubs in Wythenshawe.

  25. 25
    Lord Rennard says:

    I’ll be running the Lib Dem election campaign. Female volunteers please come straight to my office.

  26. 26
    Labour says:

    Suckers.

    And you lot thought we were in mourning for P@ul Goggins.

    Fooled you all

  27. 27
    Jimmy says:

    The tories usually stitch up the coffin dodger postals

  28. 28
    JH2940923-005 says:

    I think the BBC’s ‘Labour says Labour says Labour says’ department will be in overdr#ve as we come up to the election. If a cat gets stuck up a tree they’ll wheel out Simple Ed or Balls to state how under Labour the cat would not be stuck, and this is clearly due to Tory cuts.

    However, they are pathologically unable to realise that the people they keep wheeling out are complete and utter spazmos. Simple Ed in particular just looks and sounds really, really weird and I look forward to the inevitable gaffes which will cost them votes. I wonder if there will be another ThatBigotedWomanGate? God, that was milk and honey.

    In short, the more the voter becomes aware of what constitutes the current Labour party, the less votes they will get. Tricky for the Labour propaganda machine.

  29. 29
    John Bellingham says:

    Let’s all count how many anti-UKIP “fruitcake” stories that appear between now and polling day.
    First one today–an obscure Parish Councillor (not even a district councillor) makes National Press front pages, second item on all TV and BBC radio channels and talking point on political discussion programmes totally obscuring “major” policy speech by Labour’s Business foghorn.

  30. 30
    My Daughter says:

    If UKIP win it will because people vote for them. UKIP seem to be the only illustrious omnipotent absolute rulers observing this quirk of our version of democracy.

  31. 31
    Ed Miliband says:

    Hello is that Jack Straw? Yes, hello Jack can you tell me where Wythenshawe and Sale are?

  32. 32

    If you support Labour, at least your vote is assured an afterlife.

  33. 33
    Wanted says:

    One plane, one parachute and a red rosette.

    Please contact the Labour party, London, SE England.

  34. 34
    Mark Wouters says:

    Sovietsalami63 here !!,
    William “FLYCATCHER”Hague can now be dismissed as a total fraud and incompetent loser,as can Norman “DOMESTOS”Tebbit,kills himself and his party for a quick headline.
    If there is no significant change in Comdom govt policy then The Government will reap the Wrath of Me “”,with no Mercy.
    The “Knockers and knickers “parties are not welcome

  35. 35
    JH2940923-005 says:

    Nope, just the usual Labour shithole.

    Plenty of betting shops about though.

  36. 36
    Taxpayer says:

    Lab + B&P* still isn’t a majority surprisingly.

    *1970s Labour

  37. 37
    Jabba Le Chat says:

    Given there’s a large majority of idiots in Wythenshawe & Sale East thick enough to have consistently voted for a donkey with a red rosette on its arse over the years, it follows that they may equally be thick enough to vote for a donkey with a gay weather purple rosette on its arse…

  38. 38
    Di Rear says:

    And the alternative is?

  39. 39
    Still a banana republic says:

    Can someone tell us the closing date for postal vote applications and how many of them were cast last time?
    The Electoral Commission says the changes any sensible person would all want cannot be made in time for 2015

  40. 40
  41. 41
    Jimmy says:

    Pretty grim I grant you. It’s where they film Shameless I believe.

  42. 42
    Jimmy says:

    As is your reward.

  43. 43
    Di Rear says:

    I really don’t understand how anyone with Boris and Dorries in their party, has got the nerve to refer to others as fruitcakes. The House of Clowns is full of fruitcakes.

  44. 44
    Abdul the Envelope Stuffer in Lahore (Advance Orders Taken) says:

    So might think…

  45. 45
    Di Rear says:

    Closing date for all overseas postal votes to register was December 31st 2013

  46. 46
    (Rarely) Dangerous Brian says:

    While you come IN your office?

  47. 47
    Jabba Le Chat says:
  48. 48
    (Rarely) Dangerous Brian says:

    Yes I can Ed, nowhere near Doncaster, but then you dont know where that is either.
    (Clue all 3 places are north of Promrose Hill you mu**et).

  49. 49
    (Rarely) Dangerous Brian says:

    Sorry, Primrose.

  50. 50
    (Rarely) Dangerous Brian says:

    Everyone with a brain in Wythenshawe & Sale must vote UKIP or Independent if only for the sheer hell of it!

  51. 51
    Where are Tony Blair's Expenses says:

    They will only get first place if the postal vote is monitored correctly

    UKIP should spend a great deal of their campaigning effort keeping an eye on the local council offices and make it clear they will want the postal vote to be scrutinised correctly

    Can someone enlighten us as to what rights a political party has to monitor the postal vote

  52. 52
    Where are Tony Blair's Expenses says:

    Farage knew he couldn’t win due to the LibDems hold on the postal vote, which was in and counted before the campaign really got going

  53. 53
    One man one vote says:

    Then electoral commission are a bunch of idiots.

  54. 54
    Stella Creasy says:

    I love fruitcake.

  55. 55
    EU Funded Pro-EU Troll says:

    Vote UKIP

  56. 56
    snigger says:

    LibDems come?

    Ooh Lordy.

  57. 57
    No loser says:

    If you mean Kay, agreed.
    If you mean Harriet, agreed.

  58. 58
    Jack, jack it in mate says:

    I’m about to get one of my depressons. I hope people are sympathetic.

  59. 59
    Tin foil top hat says:

    Come on Mancs do us proud! VOTE UKIP!

  60. 60
    JH309845384932 says:

    It should be public, one of the caveats of postal voting should be that your vote will be visible on a public web site, with names of the postal voters for each address and who they voted for. No more 25 M.Mohammads voting from one shitty flat.

    Of course, the council tax people should be straight in there like rats up drainpipes if there are adults voting at a property and not paying tax.

    That will sort any fraud. Don’t like it? Haul your arse to the voting booth. We’ll need to start doing the finger-in-ink at the polling booth soon if we slip any further towards banana republic status.

  61. 61
    Rennard says:

    I am in my office after 7PM every evening if available to the younger ladies in need of a pick-me-up.

  62. 62
    Local Authority Shirker says:

    It’s a secret ballot so won’t be made public.

    As to your point about council tax, you need to remember that local authority employees are drawn from the local community. They are therefore part of the problem. Why do you think Ealing has so many ‘beds in sheds’ and the LA not doing a damn thing about it? Because LA employees are in some cases the landlords and they aren’t going to shop themselves!

  63. 63
    Northerner says:

    Labour will hold the seat comfortably, the battle is for 2nd place, UKIP aren’t as strong in the North West compared to other areas but dopey UKIPPERS are betting on a win, it’s why the bookies stay rich

  64. 64
    Anonymous says:

    ;3-& /.
    ;^/

    Joca..lJİiI

  65. 65
    Roy Orsibon says:

    They’re running scared ♬

  66. 66
    tigerowl says:

    It is a criteria for voting UKIP. Each week another UKIP, either MEP, or councillor is forced to resign for stupid comments and crazy views. Must appeal to others with the same ability to make stupid comments and have crazy views.

  67. 67
    tigerowl says:

    Come on Mancs. Ask UKIP what they stand for. Then no one will vote for them who has at least one brain cell.

  68. 68
    sproggingforbenefits says:

    Labour for a tonking

  69. 69
    broderick crawford says:

    You can use his real surname now …. he s dead poor bugger.

    Fantastic underrated singer . Better than Presley any day .

  70. 70
    Anonymous says:

    Woo Hoo lets all hope that labour get smacked then Wallace can appear on TV trying to blame other people when he s the one who is a spineless, clueless twat

  71. 71
    Sunny Jim says:

    Well, UKIP gave the red scum a big fright in the ‘safe’ Labour seat of South Shields; things have got worse since then, so this one could be very interesting :)

  72. 72
    John Bellingham says:

    Finger in Ink and transparent plastic ballot boxes made no diff in South Africa where I worked as an observer for the Independent Election Commission. Voting stations are open for as long as neccesary for the ruling party to get 66% of the vote. Dead voters welcome. Awkward ballot boxes left in cupboards, chucked into the Jukskei River or just “lost” until after the final count.

  73. 73
    John Bellingham says:

    OFFICIAL LABOUR PARTY (http://www.labour.org.uk/home) DEFINITION OF THE ELDERLY IN HOSPICES AND OLD AGE HOMES. “Coffin Dodgers”

    Let me get that out in a press release, twitter and mass- e-mail.

  74. 74
    Adam says:

    Just remember that the sitcom ‘The Royal Family’ is set in Wythenshawe, so that gives you an idea of what folk are like around here.

  75. 75
    (That's enough Eds, Ed!) says:

    Agreed. It’s not the votes that count but who counts the votes!


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