January 20th, 2014

Labour Opt for Snap By-Election – Feb 13

Labour are clearly worried about the UKIP surges in recent by-elections – they have opted for snap poll in Wythenshawe and Sale East after the death of the well liked Labour MP Paul Goggins. The polling day of February 13 gives the parties just over three weeks to try dent the notionally safe Labour majority. After UKIP put the frighteners on in Rotherham and Eastleigh, it will be interesting to see what momentum they can pick up in such a short period of time.

Labour are defending a majority of 7,575:

2010 Result:
Conservative: 10412 (25.6%)
Labour: 17987 (44.1%)
Lib Dem: 9107 (22.3%)
BNP: 1572 (3.9%)
UKIP: 1405 (3.4%)
MAJORITY: 7575 (18.6%)

UKIP will be wanting that second place…

Graph via UK Polling Report.

75 Comments

  1. 1
    Sunny Jim says:

    Bring it on…

    Like

  2. 2
    jgm2 says:

    UKIP will want first place.

    Like

    • 22
      The British Public says:

      The country needs Labour to be humiliated.

      Like

    • 51
      Where are Tony Blair's Expenses says:

      They will only get first place if the postal vote is monitored correctly

      UKIP should spend a great deal of their campaigning effort keeping an eye on the local council offices and make it clear they will want the postal vote to be scrutinised correctly

      Can someone enlighten us as to what rights a political party has to monitor the postal vote

      Like

      • 60
        JH309845384932 says:

        It should be public, one of the caveats of postal voting should be that your vote will be visible on a public web site, with names of the postal voters for each address and who they voted for. No more 25 M.Mohammads voting from one shitty flat.

        Of course, the council tax people should be straight in there like rats up drainpipes if there are adults voting at a property and not paying tax.

        That will sort any fraud. Don’t like it? Haul your arse to the voting booth. We’ll need to start doing the finger-in-ink at the polling booth soon if we slip any further towards banana republic status.

        Like

        • 62
          Local Authority Shirker says:

          It’s a secret ballot so won’t be made public.

          As to your point about council tax, you need to remember that local authority employees are drawn from the local community. They are therefore part of the problem. Why do you think Ealing has so many ‘beds in sheds’ and the LA not doing a damn thing about it? Because LA employees are in some cases the landlords and they aren’t going to shop themselves!

          Like

        • 72
          John Bellingham says:

          Finger in Ink and transparent plastic ballot boxes made no diff in South Africa where I worked as an observer for the Independent Election Commission. Voting stations are open for as long as neccesary for the ruling party to get 66% of the vote. Dead voters welcome. Awkward ballot boxes left in cupboards, chucked into the Jukskei River or just “lost” until after the final count.

          Like

      • 75
        (That's enough Eds, Ed!) says:

        Agreed. It’s not the votes that count but who counts the votes!

        Like

  3. 3
    Chris Patten says:

    The BBC will guarantee its impartial coverage of the Labour campaign here in a sympathetic and detailed manner as always

    Like

    • 7
      jgm2 says:

      Labour retaining a safe seat will be reported as a ‘Labour win’ by the BBC rather than a ‘Labour hold’.

      Headlines will include, ‘Labour wins fifth (or whatever) by-election on the trot’. Rather than ‘Labour holds fifth safe seat in by-election’.

      Like

      • 28
        JH2940923-005 says:

        I think the BBC’s ‘Labour says Labour says Labour says’ department will be in overdr#ve as we come up to the election. If a cat gets stuck up a tree they’ll wheel out Simple Ed or Balls to state how under Labour the cat would not be stuck, and this is clearly due to Tory cuts.

        However, they are pathologically unable to realise that the people they keep wheeling out are complete and utter spazmos. Simple Ed in particular just looks and sounds really, really weird and I look forward to the inevitable gaffes which will cost them votes. I wonder if there will be another ThatBigotedWomanGate? God, that was milk and honey.

        In short, the more the voter becomes aware of what constitutes the current Labour party, the less votes they will get. Tricky for the Labour propaganda machine.

        Like

  4. 4
    Sunderland is a Labour ghetto thats why it shyte says:

    The reult will depend on whether Labour parachute someone in to the constituency.

    Like

  5. 5
    Di Rear says:

    Vote UKIP in Wythenshawe & Sale East. You know it makes sense. What have the other three ever done for the working class?

    Like

    • 37
      Jabba Le Chat says:

      Given there’s a large majority of idiots in Wythenshawe & Sale East thick enough to have consistently voted for a donkey with a red rosette on its arse over the years, it follows that they may equally be thick enough to vote for a donkey with a gay weather purple rosette on its arse…

      Like

  6. 6
    Orson Cart says:

    That graph will sure as hell need a new colour.

    Like

  7. 8
    Di Rear says:

    Limp Dims to come fifth!

    Like

  8. 9
    bergen says:

    On the other hand a short campaign will mean a lower turnout and will make it less likely that the “I suppose we’d better go and vote” habitual Labour voter will stir on a cold dark evening in mid February.

    Like

  9. 11
    M102 says:

    Kay Burley stirring the shit over Farage and asking Hattie Harmanhater what she thinks. What a cuunt.

    Like

  10. 12
    Scary Biscuits says:

    UKIP need to win, not to come second. That would really frighten the LibLabCon ruling cartel.

    Like

    • 17
      Mitch says:

      Farage bottled it in Eastleigh where he would have won. Expect more of the same spinelessness. They don’t *really* want to win, just to make childish noises off.

      Like

      • 52
        Where are Tony Blair's Expenses says:

        Farage knew he couldn’t win due to the LibDems hold on the postal vote, which was in and counted before the campaign really got going

        Like

  11. 13
    Only fools and horses vote Labour says:

    We want the people to vote Labour and we don’t care if these people have lived here all their lives or just fallen out the back of a lorry.

    Like

  12. 14
    A Psephologist says:

    those scrounging cu’nts will vote Labour in every day of the fucking mumff

    cu’nts

    Like

  13. 20
    Sheila says:

    Long range weather forecast for Wythenshawe and Sale East is grim, as gay activists promise to flood the constituency – could be good news for UKIP – or not, depending on which side of the fence they straddle …

    Like

  14. 21
    UKIP councillor planted by the Tories says:

    It’s raining cats and mongs.

    Like

  15. 24
    Jimmy says:

    Not too many golf clubs in Wythenshawe.

    Like

  16. 25
    Lord Rennard says:

    I’ll be running the Lib Dem election campaign. Female volunteers please come straight to my office.

    Like

  17. 26
    Labour says:

    Suckers.

    And you lot thought we were in mourning for P@ul Goggins.

    Fooled you all

    Like

  18. 29
    John Bellingham says:

    Let’s all count how many anti-UKIP “fruitcake” stories that appear between now and polling day.
    First one today–an obscure Parish Councillor (not even a district councillor) makes National Press front pages, second item on all TV and BBC radio channels and talking point on political discussion programmes totally obscuring “major” policy speech by Labour’s Business foghorn.

    Like

  19. 30
    My Daughter says:

    If UKIP win it will because people vote for them. UKIP seem to be the only illustrious omnipotent absolute rulers observing this quirk of our version of democracy.

    Like

  20. 31
    Ed Miliband says:

    Hello is that Jack Straw? Yes, hello Jack can you tell me where Wythenshawe and Sale are?

    Like

  21. 33
    Wanted says:

    One plane, one parachute and a red rosette.

    Please contact the Labour party, London, SE England.

    Like

  22. 34
    Mark Wouters says:

    Sovietsalami63 here !!,
    William “FLYCATCHER”Hague can now be dismissed as a total fraud and incompetent loser,as can Norman “DOMESTOS”Tebbit,kills himself and his party for a quick headline.
    If there is no significant change in Comdom govt policy then The Government will reap the Wrath of Me “”,with no Mercy.
    The “Knockers and knickers “parties are not welcome

    Like

  23. 39
    Still a banana republic says:

    Can someone tell us the closing date for postal vote applications and how many of them were cast last time?
    The Electoral Commission says the changes any sensible person would all want cannot be made in time for 2015

    Like

  24. 50
    (Rarely) Dangerous Brian says:

    Everyone with a brain in Wythenshawe & Sale must vote UKIP or Independent if only for the sheer hell of it!

    Like

  25. 55
    EU Funded Pro-EU Troll says:

    Vote UKIP

    Like

  26. 59
    Tin foil top hat says:

    Come on Mancs do us proud! VOTE UKIP!

    Like

    • 67
      tigerowl says:

      Come on Mancs. Ask UKIP what they stand for. Then no one will vote for them who has at least one brain cell.

      Like

  27. 63
    Northerner says:

    Labour will hold the seat comfortably, the battle is for 2nd place, UKIP aren’t as strong in the North West compared to other areas but dopey UKIPPERS are betting on a win, it’s why the bookies stay rich

    Like

  28. 68
    sproggingforbenefits says:

    Labour for a tonking

    Like

  29. 70
    Anonymous says:

    Woo Hoo lets all hope that labour get smacked then Wallace can appear on TV trying to blame other people when he s the one who is a spineless, clueless twat

    Like

  30. 71
    Sunny Jim says:

    Well, UKIP gave the red scum a big fright in the ‘safe’ Labour seat of South Shields; things have got worse since then, so this one could be very interesting :)

    Like

  31. 74
    Adam says:

    Just remember that the sitcom ‘The Royal Family’ is set in Wythenshawe, so that gives you an idea of what folk are like around here.

    Like


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Progressive Inclusion Champion says:

Great to hear Carswell call for inclusive policies and that UKIP must stand for first and second generation immigrants as much as the English.


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