January 8th, 2014

Manchester By-Election: The Numbers

Sadly Labour MP Paul Goggins has died. The former Home Office Minister’s held the safe-Labour Manchester seat of Wythenshawe and Sale East with a majority of 7,575:

2010 Result:
Conservative: 10412 (25.6%)
Labour: 17987 (44.1%)
Lib Dem: 9107 (22.3%)
BNP: 1572 (3.9%)
UKIP: 1405 (3.4%)
MAJORITY: 7575 (18.6%)

UKIP will be wanting that second place…

Graph via UK Polling Report.

99 Comments

  1. 1
    Bugner says:

    I wonder if BNP have enough cash left to pay the deposit to stand again.

    Like

    • 58
      Spartacus says:

      it is a big stretch for ukip from last election 4 pct to get second at 20 odd pct.

      no doubt everyone will say they failed and will be written off if they dont get second place.

      suppose that is the bbc and politics . . . sighs

      Like

    • 80
      Anonymous says:

      vote for honest Dave, bullshiter extrodinare

      Like

    • 87
      Alexsandr says:

      I wonder if Lib Dems have enough cash left to pay the deposit to stand again.

      Like

  2. 2
    Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

    RIP Paul Goggins.

    Now: Game on.

    Vote UKIP :-)

    Like

  3. 3
    Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

    RIP P’aul Goggins.

    Now: Game on.

    Vote UKIP

    Like

    • 9
      Bilda Berger says:

      Yes, but how do you know he died sadly?

      Like

      • 16
        NHS hospitals are Andy Burnham's deathcamps. says:

        Do you think he was happy about it?

        Like

        • 35
          Bilda Berger says:

          Depends what he was doing at the time.

          My post really deplores the absence of a comma after the adverb; I did not mean to be disrespectful, and though I do not know this chap or his nearest and dearest I have no wish to be flippant about their loss.

          Like

    • 14
      Peter Kay says:

      Now that Manchester is Beeboid City, won’t the Liberals do better this time?

      Like

      • 19
        Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

        In one sense, if UKIP beat down the BeandP in that town, that would be a good victory.

        Will be much more interesting to see what happens with Labour’s position.

        This is likely to be a final nail for Ed Miliband story, rather than UKIP success story, but best to stay positive for UKIP :-)

        Like

      • 25
        A clean pair of hands says:

        Labour may (or likely) select one of their own(lives in Westminister or Mom or Dad do) as a candidate. Must be able to spout the Mantras in all sentences?

        Like

    • 21
      Robert says:

      Actually the Tories should consider not fielding a candidate in that election. They stand no chance of winning so why not see what happens to Labour’s numbers in a Labour area when Ukip has a free run

      Like

  4. 4
    I hate socialists. says:

    A good case for some tactical voting here ,but even then It will be difficult because of
    Labours speciality of postal voting fraud.

    Like

    • 91
      Anonymous says:

      Real you for real? Given your unreasoning blind-hate for anything left-wing, is there no amount of evidence that would convince you the Labour Party could win fairly?

      Like

  5. 5
    The Stilton Eater says:

    I expect the Wikipedia pages about Wythenshawe and Sale and suddenly getting lots of hits across north London as various Labour stooges suddenly take an interest in this place with the hope of being nominated.

    Like

  6. 6
    Anoldun says:

    Go for it UKIP

    Like

  7. 7
    Anonymous says:

    the man has just died, leave it a day or so Guido…

    Like

    • 11
      Ma­qbo­ul says:

      Bit late for that.

      Like

    • 18
      Anonymous says:

      Just following the example of our lovely nice lefties. ‘Tramp the dirt’ is most appropriate in this case.

      Like

      • 46
        He was on side with the right on one thing says:

        Ironically, it sounds like he was right up most righties’ street:

        Goggins opposed same sex marriage, stating that he would vote against the government’s bill to introduce same-sex marriage in England and Wales.[

        Like

    • 22
      Casual Observer 5 says:

      A day is a long time in politics.

      Once the pulse has gone and breathing stopped, the seat is available.

      It is not about the man, this is about the seat.

      Like

    • 30
      The final Curtain says:

      Why? He’s not coming back you know.

      Like

    • 97
      Eddie Mair says:

      Yes, show some decorum -,Ding dong the witch is dead

      Like

  8. 8
    Reform! says:

    Scandalous. Labour get 44% of the vote, but still win. What kind of a mickey-mouse system is that?

    Like

  9. 10
    Ma­qbo­ul says:

    Which of the posh dynastic Labour offspring will be parachuted into this safe seat or will it be one of McLuskey’s ex-girlfriends?

    Like

  10. 12
    Bennie Fits-Claimant says:

    Which one will be giving me me Kestrel Super-Strength, 20 Mayfair kingsize and food for me Staff’?

    Like

  11. 13
    the volunteer says:

    Ahh, Manchester the whore of the north

    Like

  12. 15
    Anonymous says:

    Sadly??

    Like

  13. 17
    Ben says:

    UKIP will be after FIRST place Guido!

    Like

  14. 23
    #The Grim Mili Reaper says:

    Ed Miliband has turned into the Twitter Harbinger of Death.

    All his recent tweets are about the dead.

    https://twitter.com/Ed_Miliband

    Like

  15. 26
    Red Bull says:

    So who is donning the red parachute and flying up from London to the drop zone?

    Like

  16. 29
    Owen Jones for MP says:

    I CAN DO THIS.

    Like

  17. 31
    Pick litter for bennies says:

    Channel 4 program last night about scammers all non natives,Kent police crime figures 87% non natives,Jamaican drug dealer not deported due to Human Right Act to a family life.Lets get out of the EU and become a trading partner only-which party supports that line?.

    Like

    • 39
      @JasminAmelia says:

      Actually just cried. I want every producer at C4 dead. #innocentface

      Like

      • 49
        Mr Paro Dee says:

        Just watched Bambi. Actually just cried. I want every animator dead.

        Like

      • 53
        Fair Game principal... says:

        Her real name is Jasmine Beckett:

        Here she is talking at the Labour party conference, as a plant in the audience.

        This is the profile of a would be killer.

        Like

        • 77
          Jimmy says:

          You really are a sad little man.

          Like

          • JH34989342529345 says:

            Awwww Jimmy. Are you protecting her? Do you WUV her?

            Jasmine and Jimmy, sitting in a tree. K.I.S.S.I.N.G.

            Imagine the histrionics if a Young Conservatives drone had called for the death of some producer for highlighting an issue you wanted to ignore…

            Like

    • 55
      Chunnel 4 says:

      Channel 4 is experiencing technical difficulties. Some unacceptable programs have not been properly censored.

      Please stay with us as our engineers reprogram our heads of department back to their wishy-washy, bleeding heart, PC, bed wettingly liberal drippy normality.

      in th meantime here is the Labour party conference from 2002.

      Like

      • 83
        The Labour Party says:

        SSSSHHH! Don’t remind people of the years 1997-2010!

        They might remember we were in power and fucked things up as usual!

        Like

  18. 34
    Commie McCluskey, leader of the Labour Party, says:

    An excellent opportunity for one of my comrades to become an MP. I will instruct my pet Milipoodle to fill out the necessary forms.

    Like

  19. 43
    STONEFAIL says:

    Gay? It’s a bit gay isn’t it?

    Like

  20. 44
    Euan Blair says:

    Poor chap..dead!
    Still…nice safe seat…Every cloud has a silver lining. One coffin lid closes, another door on the gravy train opens…

    Like

  21. 54
    British PM admits his mind his not on the job. says:

    Like

  22. 65
    Tin foil top hat says:

    Game on. Start the rebellion.

    Vote UKIP.

    Like

  23. 66
    A Kipper. says:

    UKIP want first place!

    Like

  24. 69
    UKIP to the max says:

    1st UKIP MP?

    You can bet that operation postal vote is now being planned by labour, UKIP will get the most votes on the day but the postal votes will probably tip the balance in favour of labour. Its easy to imagine more postal votes coming in that voters through the doors, the electoral commission will of course look the other way and pretend everything is fine and dandy. UKIP will come first with actual real votes and labour will come win with fake postal votes.

    Like

    • 71
      Bent state says:

      What we can expect in the by-Election:

      1) Plenty of anti UKIP hatchet jobs, smears, ambushes and set ups from the MSM.

      2) State funded UAF goons disrupting UKIP meetings and canvassing/electioneering activities.

      3) Plenty of election and voter irregularities from the liblabcon.

      4) A liblabcon victory through the ‘magic’ of postal voting, and a compliant @rslicking MSM looking the other way.

      Like

  25. 72
    Jimmy says:

    Sir Alex Ferguson MP has a nice ring to it.

    Make it happen.

    Like

  26. 86
    Naughty Nev says:

    Sale. What a fucking dump. I got a blowjob there once for £5.

    Like

  27. 88
    Anonymous says:

    Manchester is a Labour fiefdom, it is corrupt to the core, expect a Labour win.

    Like

    • 92
      Anonymous says:

      A strong statement – hope you have lots of hard-evidence to back it. Silly me, forgot – facts don’t account for much on this site.

      Like

  28. 90
    nick says:

    It is likely to be Tory win!!!

    Like


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