January 8th, 2014

Manchester By-Election: The Numbers

Sadly Labour MP Paul Goggins has died. The former Home Office Minister’s held the safe-Labour Manchester seat of Wythenshawe and Sale East with a majority of 7,575:

2010 Result:
Conservative: 10412 (25.6%)
Labour: 17987 (44.1%)
Lib Dem: 9107 (22.3%)
BNP: 1572 (3.9%)
UKIP: 1405 (3.4%)
MAJORITY: 7575 (18.6%)

UKIP will be wanting that second place…

Graph via UK Polling Report.

99 Comments

  1. 1
    Bugner says:

    I wonder if BNP have enough cash left to pay the deposit to stand again.

  2. 2
    Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

    RIP Paul Goggins.

    Now: Game on.

    Vote UKIP :-)

  3. 3
    Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

    RIP P’aul Goggins.

    Now: Game on.

    Vote UKIP

  4. 4
    I hate socialists. says:

    A good case for some tactical voting here ,but even then It will be difficult because of
    Labours speciality of postal voting fraud.

  5. 5
    The Stilton Eater says:

    I expect the Wikipedia pages about Wythenshawe and Sale and suddenly getting lots of hits across north London as various Labour stooges suddenly take an interest in this place with the hope of being nominated.

  6. 6
    Anoldun says:

    Go for it UKIP

  7. 7
    Anonymous says:

    the man has just died, leave it a day or so Guido…

  8. 8
    Reform! says:

    Scandalous. Labour get 44% of the vote, but still win. What kind of a mickey-mouse system is that?

  9. 9
    Bilda Berger says:

    Yes, but how do you know he died sadly?

  10. 10
    Ma­qbo­ul says:

    Which of the posh dynastic Labour offspring will be parachuted into this safe seat or will it be one of McLuskey’s ex-girlfriends?

  11. 11
    Ma­qbo­ul says:

    Bit late for that.

  12. 12
    Bennie Fits-Claimant says:

    Which one will be giving me me Kestrel Super-Strength, 20 Mayfair kingsize and food for me Staff’?

  13. 13
    the volunteer says:

    Ahh, Manchester the whore of the north

  14. 14
    Peter Kay says:

    Now that Manchester is Beeboid City, won’t the Liberals do better this time?

  15. 15
    Anonymous says:

    Sadly??

  16. 16
    NHS hospitals are Andy Burnham's deathcamps. says:

    Do you think he was happy about it?

  17. 17
    Ben says:

    UKIP will be after FIRST place Guido!

  18. 18
    Anonymous says:

    Just following the example of our lovely nice lefties. ‘Tramp the dirt’ is most appropriate in this case.

  19. 19
    Keep Calm, Vote UKIP says:

    In one sense, if UKIP beat down the BeandP in that town, that would be a good victory.

    Will be much more interesting to see what happens with Labour’s position.

    This is likely to be a final nail for Ed Miliband story, rather than UKIP success story, but best to stay positive for UKIP :-)

  20. 20
    NHS hospitals are Andy Burnham's deathcamps. says:

    Manchester’s quite nice when it’s not raining.

    Is what people might say if it ever stopped raining in Manchester.

  21. 21
    Robert says:

    Actually the Tories should consider not fielding a candidate in that election. They stand no chance of winning so why not see what happens to Labour’s numbers in a Labour area when Ukip has a free run

  22. 22
    Casual Observer 5 says:

    A day is a long time in politics.

    Once the pulse has gone and breathing stopped, the seat is available.

    It is not about the man, this is about the seat.

  23. 23
    #The Grim Mili Reaper says:

    Ed Miliband has turned into the Twitter Harbinger of Death.

    All his recent tweets are about the dead.

    https://twitter.com/Ed_Miliband

  24. 24
    Squeezing pimples says:

    I reckon it will be another seed from the loins of the Benn’s dynasty. That family shells out very rich socialists to enter Parliament without a hint of shame but of course we do know they have the ordinary working class in mind…Ha.

  25. 25
    A clean pair of hands says:

    Labour may (or likely) select one of their own(lives in Westminister or Mom or Dad do) as a candidate. Must be able to spout the Mantras in all sentences?

  26. 26
    Red Bull says:

    So who is donning the red parachute and flying up from London to the drop zone?

  27. 27
    Lynton Crosby says:

    I like the cut of your jib.

    But Red Dave wants socialist utopia under a blue flag (with little yellow stars) in that town, so he will be running another token enrichment to wind up the right wingers…

  28. 28
    OUT DAVE OUT DAVE OUT DAVE OUT says:

    Paul Nuttall could do it.

    Go on Nige. Tell him to give it a go.

  29. 29
    Owen Jones for MP says:

    I CAN DO THIS.

  30. 30
    The final Curtain says:

    Why? He’s not coming back you know.

  31. 31
    Pick litter for bennies says:

    Channel 4 program last night about scammers all non natives,Kent police crime figures 87% non natives,Jamaican drug dealer not deported due to Human Right Act to a family life.Lets get out of the EU and become a trading partner only-which party supports that line?.

  32. 32
    Questions of our time says:

    Did he watch Raiders over the Christmas break ?

  33. 33
    OUT DAVE OUT DAVE OUT DAVE OUT says:

    Come on Wythenshawe tories — vote UKIP — stick a rocket up Dave’s arse.

  34. 34
    Commie McCluskey, leader of the Labour Party, says:

    An excellent opportunity for one of my comrades to become an MP. I will instruct my pet Milipoodle to fill out the necessary forms.

  35. 35
    Bilda Berger says:

    Depends what he was doing at the time.

    My post really deplores the absence of a comma after the adverb; I did not mean to be disrespectful, and though I do not know this chap or his nearest and dearest I have no wish to be flippant about their loss.

  36. 36
    Mitch says:

    It’s the system we voted to keep just a few years ago.

  37. 37
    Jasmin Beckett says:

    Here I come!

  38. 38
    I prefer Temple of Doom says:

    Kali ma!

  39. 39
    @JasminAmelia says:

    Actually just cried. I want every producer at C4 dead. #innocentface

  40. 40
    Mitch says:

    You obviously have not been to Leeds.

  41. 41
    Bojo could have also said says:

    Nigel Farage is the prophylactic device which enables the electorate to do things.

  42. 42
    Owen Jones's special-needs teacher says:

    Are you sure? It involves a lot of lying and cheating. Are you up to that?

  43. 43
    STONEFAIL says:

    Gay? It’s a bit gay isn’t it?

  44. 44
    Euan Blair says:

    Poor chap..dead!
    Still…nice safe seat…Every cloud has a silver lining. One coffin lid closes, another door on the gravy train opens…

  45. 45
    Ed Moribund says:

    Please…please…stop pinching me. It hurts

  46. 46
    He was on side with the right on one thing says:

    Ironically, it sounds like he was right up most righties’ street:

    Goggins opposed same sex marriage, stating that he would vote against the government’s bill to introduce same-sex marriage in England and Wales.[

  47. 47
    Mustapha Djinn says:

    There are lots of labour sprogs who have never worked who would qualify.

  48. 48
    Mitch says:

    If Bottler Farage had stood in Eastbourne he would already be an MP and UKIP would have the momentum to win another seat. Unfortunately, they’re not quite brave enough.

  49. 49
    Mr Paro Dee says:

    Just watched Bambi. Actually just cried. I want every animator dead.

  50. 50
    Luciana Berger says:

    You had best change your name though. Hugh Anne Booth?

  51. 51
    Mitch says:

    Oops – meant Eastleigh, of course.

  52. 52
    the volunteer says:

    Leeds is a working man’s scrubber on a saturday night whereas manchester is a professional

  53. 53
    Fair Game principal... says:

    Her real name is Jasmine Beckett:

    Here she is talking at the Labour party conference, as a plant in the audience.

    This is the profile of a would be killer.

  54. 54
    British PM admits his mind his not on the job. says:

  55. 55
    Chunnel 4 says:

    Channel 4 is experiencing technical difficulties. Some unacceptable programs have not been properly censored.

    Please stay with us as our engineers reprogram our heads of department back to their wishy-washy, bleeding heart, PC, bed wettingly liberal drippy normality.

    in th meantime here is the Labour party conference from 2002.

  56. 56
    Mitch says:

    What about Liverpool, then?

  57. 57
    Will Straw says:

    Oi! Hands off! I saw it first!

  58. 58
    Spartacus says:

    it is a big stretch for ukip from last election 4 pct to get second at 20 odd pct.

    no doubt everyone will say they failed and will be written off if they dont get second place.

    suppose that is the bbc and politics . . . sighs

  59. 59
    Anonymous says:

    +1

  60. 60
    HEARDITALLSEENITALLBEFORE says:

    Wythenshaw will vote for it’s rightful share of other peoples money, it beats working !

  61. 61
    HEARDITALLSEENITALLBEFORE says:

    Lying twat!!

  62. 62
    Anonymous says:

    Do me a fucking favour!

  63. 63
    Billy Big says:

    I am sure C4 producers will shadow your every tear – silly cow!

  64. 64
    Billy Big says:

    Liverpool is like a Romanian hooker – cheap and on benefits

  65. 65
    Tin foil top hat says:

    Game on. Start the rebellion.

    Vote UKIP.

  66. 66
    A Kipper. says:

    UKIP want first place!

  67. 67
    the volunteer says:

    Liverpool is the brain damaged junky that you wish you had stayed well clear of

  68. 68
    Tin foil top hat says:

    Stop splitting our vote you mass immigration loving tories!

  69. 69
    UKIP to the max says:

    1st UKIP MP?

    You can bet that operation postal vote is now being planned by labour, UKIP will get the most votes on the day but the postal votes will probably tip the balance in favour of labour. Its easy to imagine more postal votes coming in that voters through the doors, the electoral commission will of course look the other way and pretend everything is fine and dandy. UKIP will come first with actual real votes and labour will come win with fake postal votes.

  70. 70
    Fudgepuncher Supreme says:

    Nah Bojo got it right, the limpdimmers are definitely a pain in the arse.

  71. 71
    Bent state says:

    What we can expect in the by-Election:

    1) Plenty of anti UKIP hatchet jobs, smears, ambushes and set ups from the MSM.

    2) State funded UAF goons disrupting UKIP meetings and canvassing/electioneering activities.

    3) Plenty of election and voter irregularities from the liblabcon.

    4) A liblabcon victory through the ‘magic’ of postal voting, and a compliant @rslicking MSM looking the other way.

  72. 72
    Jimmy says:

    Sir Alex Ferguson MP has a nice ring to it.

    Make it happen.

  73. 73
    Fudgepuncher Supreme says:

    He has thoughts? Who’dve thunk it, I thought he was an EU automaton.

  74. 74
    ben moss says:

    PM is full of BS

  75. 75
    ben moss says:

    Stick to football SAF

  76. 76
    Jimmy says:

    Lots of whiney righties complaining that the Lemon Party’s poor showing was due to ballot riggiing rather than the fact that north of the Trent they’re less popular than herpes.

  77. 77
    Jimmy says:

    You really are a sad little man.

  78. 78
    M o P says:

    Probably be able to get a spare one in from Birmingham.

  79. 79
    M o P says:

    He will be standing in Glasgow East after the independence vote comes through.

  80. 80
    Anonymous says:

    vote for honest Dave, bullshiter extrodinare

  81. 81
    Bob Fleming says:

    never heard of him until today..

  82. 82
    JH34989342529345 says:

    Awwww Jimmy. Are you protecting her? Do you WUV her?

    Jasmine and Jimmy, sitting in a tree. K.I.S.S.I.N.G.

    Imagine the histrionics if a Young Conservatives drone had called for the death of some producer for highlighting an issue you wanted to ignore…

  83. 83
    The Labour Party says:

    SSSSHHH! Don’t remind people of the years 1997-2010!

    They might remember we were in power and fucked things up as usual!

  84. 84
    JH3942394-2300 says:

    er, No.

    We take delight in how shit the so-called Liberals are.

  85. 85
    JH3942394-2300 says:

    An MP who is actually made a living being good at something outside politics for a while.

    What a novelty.

  86. 86
    Naughty Nev says:

    Sale. What a fucking dump. I got a blowjob there once for £5.

  87. 87
    Alexsandr says:

    I wonder if Lib Dems have enough cash left to pay the deposit to stand again.

  88. 88
    Anonymous says:

    Manchester is a Labour fiefdom, it is corrupt to the core, expect a Labour win.

  89. 89
    Melissa Benn says:

    Oh La! – me, me, me————

  90. 90
    nick says:

    It is likely to be Tory win!!!

  91. 91
    Anonymous says:

    Real you for real? Given your unreasoning blind-hate for anything left-wing, is there no amount of evidence that would convince you the Labour Party could win fairly?

  92. 92
    Anonymous says:

    A strong statement – hope you have lots of hard-evidence to back it. Silly me, forgot – facts don’t account for much on this site.

  93. 93
    Anonymous says:

    At last, something most of the country can agree on.

  94. 94
    Anonymous says:

    Clearly, that should have read: Are you for real? Must be getting late.

  95. 95
    lojolondon says:

    BUT – They can do it!! Enough people will say F the establishment, go for the party that supports normal, working people. (I hope)!

  96. 96
    Winston Silcott says:

    UKIP, dem are not nice people – you ask de BBC.

  97. 97
    Eddie Mair says:

    Yes, show some decorum -,Ding dong the witch is dead

  98. 98
    Jack 'wrong tweet' Dromey says:

    I would recommend my son, but he isn’t a well endowed black boy.

  99. 99
    domino says:

    Like Dave’s Cast Iron Guarantee…or Bliars 45 minutes..or are you a Clegophile?


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