March 1st, 2013

GRAPH: Eastleigh in Numbers

Significantly fewer people turned out for both the Tories and LibDems yesterday compared with 2010; the blues down 14% and the yellows by 14.5%. Labour’s vote was largely unchanged. A huge swing to UKIP…


110 Comments

  1. 1
    Dave the Rave has lost the plot says:

    The LibDems assault their own wimminfolk

    It assault my own electors

    Simples…

    Like

    • 7
      Dave. Man or mouse? says:

      So is Dave going to tell the EU that they can NOT dictate to Britain how Britain runs its banks?

      Like

      • 21
        Putr1d, spiteful Labour ruined my Country says:

        Dave is being bunged by the eu and also promised a megabuck job when he’s voted out. No way will he stand up for the UK.

        Like

        • 60
          Arsefuck for freedom says:

          It just goes to show how desperate the Tories were in copying UKIPS’s colours on their candidate’s election leaflets over the last few days leading up to the by-election.

          Deperate is understating it!

          Like

      • 42
        EU banking commissioner says:

        Britain ran its banks so well

        That it almost brought the whole fucking financial system to its knees

        Hardly a recommendation old son…

        Like

        • 70
          The British Public says:

          Go back to sucking the mafia’s cock and leave our country alone

          Like

        • 75
          Extremely ancient seafarer says:

          But but but!! Most of the banks and other financial institutions that caused the meltdown were American were they not, merely based in the UK.

          Like

        • 106
          lojolondon says:

          The Banks worked very well, all the way from the last crash in 1694 until Gordon Brown destroyed governance. EVERY member of the Commonwealth runs their banks on the BOE principles and regulations, and not one was bailed – that is not ONE bank in ANY Commonwealth country. Except the UK. And Crash Gordon says it was an international problem that affected everyone and it wasn’t him. And he repeats it and the media repeats it and the fools believe it (see above).

          Like

      • 58
        One-term Dave, dragging the Tories to their grave, says:

        Oh by Jove, no! The EU is lovely and spiffing and I know you all admire and love it just as much as I do!

        Don’t forget, as William Hague always says, “Britain is a sovereign nation!”

        Spiffing, what what?

        Tally ho!

        Like

      • 91
        Average Joe says:

        The Tories are completely fcuked and will not win the 2015 election. Deservedly so.

        The 2015 election will be all about which party is going to take us ‘out of the EU’. As much as the LibLabCon would like it not to be !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

        Clearly the Tories are incapable of doing it. UKIP are the only party offering that choice which is why they are winning votes. Simples.

        Couple of points which demonstrate how Tories are deluding themselves:

        1) Tories have been claiming for weeks how Eastleigh is all about “local issues” and come 2015 the election will be about national issues.

        But Eastleigh is 98% white and English first language speaking – they don’t have an uncontrolled immigration problem !

        So why did 27.8% of the electorate vote for UKIP on the ‘national’ problem of immigration if it was supposed to be all about local issues !?!?

        The Tories can’t have it both ways, it was either about local issues or it wasn’t.

        2) Tories claimed to great fanfare that CaMorons EU speech would spike and kill UKIP’s Eurosceptic support.

        Clearly this has failed spectacularly.

        CaMorons speech was a massive own goal – He set out very clearly he supports the EU 100%, he will campaign to stay in, and believes we should stay in… and he might give us a referendum if a,b,c,d,e,f,g happen. FAIL !!!

        UKIP will simply take us out of the EU….
        The Tories simply don’t get that Voters want out, not the promise of a referendum from lying Dave who will campaign to stay in, they want out.

        If the Tories won’t offer that choice, the public will support the party that will offer that choice. Simples.

        3) Anti EU sentiment and voting across Europe gathers pace – Syriza in Greece polled less than 5% 5 years ago, as did Beppe Grillo in Italy. Now both Syriza and Grillo, the Eurosceptic parties, are the largest parties in their respective country.

        4) Conservatives will be unable to renegotiate the UK’s relationship with the EU.
        Any pretence they can is misguided, foolish and delusional.

        Van Rompuy very helpfully spelled it out for the plebs and politicians yesterday in case they still don’t get it…

        He said “leaving the European Union could cost Britain dear and that the bloc’s other leaders do not want to renegotiate Europe’s founding treaties.”

        There you have it, the Conservatives are impotent and cannot change our relationship with the EU. If they promise otherwise, they are liars..

        Farage summed it up perfectly last night when he said – “The Tories split the UKIP vote”.

        Like

    • 15
      Vote Dave- Vote Same Sex Marriage says:

      The pink vote really helped me in Eastleigh, didn’t it?

      Like

      • 28
        Putr1d, spiteful Labour ruined my Country says:

        How would you know, they’re only 1% of the population and in a few centres of fudge packing?

        Like

      • 46
        A pollster says:

        Dave mistook Eastleigh for Brighton

        Like

        • 71
          The British Public says:

          He mistook the United Kingdom for San Francisco

          Like

        • 76
          Theydon Lykitt, Upham says:

          Correct. Dave bombed.

          Like

          • Con Artists says:

            The 1922 Committee has an 18-member executive committee, the chairman of which must oversee any election of a new party leader, or any Conservative party-led vote of confidence in respect of the current one; such a vote can be triggered by 15 percent of Conservative MPs writing a letter to the chairman asking for such a vote. This process was invoked most recently on 28 October 2003, when 25 MPs requested a vote of confidence in Iain Duncan Smith by writing to the chairman.

            Duncan Smith lost the vote the next day.

            Like

  2. 2
    Anonymous says:

    What was the percentage of postal votes for each party?

    Like

    • 6
      Ref says:

      in the media there is more than a hint this morning of libdem postal vote skullduggery. Apparently controlling the entire area gives you big opportunity to fiddle.

      Like

    • 8
      Banana Republic Britain says:

      LibDems only won with the benefit of all their postal votes, the bent b@stards.

      Like

      • 45
        Axe The Telly Tax says:

        Unless UKIP take control of local councils in their target seats, they will get nowhere. Even if they manage a by-election victory they would fail to hold the seat at the general election.

        You have to show locals you can deal with their problems before they will trust you as their MP.

        Like

        • 63
          Iloathlefties says:

          No MPs help now as they only have influence at best and follow their leader on how to vote in Westminster. Totally useless……

          Like

  3. 3
    The man at the back with the awful jumper - yes you sir says:

    And UKIP would have won! If more people had voted for them than for the Lib Dems… Apparently second is the new first.

    Like

    • 108
      Great Granddad:Prime Minister in Waiting, New Utopia Party says:

      You are missing the point. Where you see a mid term protest vote (a cop out excuse if ever there was one) I see a tipping point. This contest could go down in history as the prime example to politicos, to do some serious heart searching when a surprising and seemingly anomalous voting result turns up.

      Like

  4. 4
    Ref says:

    so while they proclaim victory and its good for them, frankly its a disaster for all 3, if you get a ukip swing that big over the country, the GE would be unpredictable.

    Like

  5. 5
    Back In The USSR says:

    You getting the message yet Dave ? When I get the chance I’ll be voting UKIP as well and seeing Van Rumpy pontificating to us on TV yesterday just re inforces my resolve.

    Like

    • 97
      Con Artists says:

      When the Conservatives “promise” to renegotiate our relationship with the EU, they are clearly lying…

      Van Rompuy helpfully spelled it out yesterday for us….

      One of Europe’s most powerful officials cautioned Prime Minister David Cameron on Thursday that leaving the European Union could cost Britain dear and that the bloc’s other leaders do not want to renegotiate Europe’s founding treaties.

      Van Rompuy laced his speech in London’s financial district with a clear warning to Cameron: Europe will not countenance any attempt by Britain to win an a-la-carte membership, picking and choosing which of the European Union’s rules it will follow and which to reject.

      http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/02/28/uk-europe-britain-idUKBRE91R1KB20130228

      Like

  6. 9
    Rupert says:

    A wonderful display of the electorates opinion of the major parties.
    Just a pity that many of the voters wasted their votes on them.

    Like

  7. 10
    Anonymous says:

    Is there any breakdown by numbers of the postal votes? I can’t believe O’Farrell increased labour’s share of the vote without a big chunk of that being postal votes that were cast prior to people knowing that he was a treasonous, terrorist supporting scumbag.

    Like

    • 23
      Please God says:

      Can somebody find out who to ask?

      Like

    • 27
      FonyBlair says:

      I heard LD’s had around 10k postal votes on LBC the other day

      Like

      • 55
        Please God says:

        a constituent needs to ask the returning officer.

        Like

      • 64
        English democrat says:

        The postal votes go the Party that controls the local authority you know

        It is called the incumbent’s advantage

        Long Live Democracy in the UK…

        Like

        • 74
          Please God says:

          if there is any possibility that that might be true then somebody needs to start knocking on the doors of the postal voters.

          Like

    • 96
      The man at the back with the awful jumper - yes you sir says:

      Put in a Freedom of Information request. Councils hate them but they have to respond.

      Like

  8. 11
    UKIP supporter says:

    Swing high, swing low…

    Like

  9. 12
    Dave insults all natural Torys says:

    So Dave. How does it feel to be beaten by a bunch of fruitcakes?

    Like

    • 24
      Billingdon Dave says:

      I will be reting soon to be paid off by one of the Morgan banks

      Like my right hand man Heywood

      And of ciurse my inluence peddlar heros Blair and Mandy

      Like

  10. 13
    Russian oligarch says:

    Excellent

    This all makes Britain ungovernable

    No rule of law in sight, then

    Like

    • 79
      Extremely ancient seafarer says:

      Learning on the job from the Italians, Spanish, Greeks, Bulgarians, Portuguese etc. Good teachers too!

      Like

  11. 14
    rebekah aka nellnewman says:

    Well the one thing those numbers show beyond doubt is that although libdem and tory voters are sick to the back teeth of the coalition they did not see labour as an attractive option for a protest vote. That went to UKIP. so much for militwit’s one nation message!

    Well done UKIP!

    Like

    • 26
      albacore says:

      Last night was unmitigated disaster
      You can’t kill cancer with a sticking plaster
      The LibLabCon terminal malignancy
      Doesn’t need hi-tech X-ray vision to see

      Like

    • 31
      Bullingdon Dave says:

      Hello Rebekah

      Are you not in jail yet?

      Like

  12. 16
    Joe Public says:

    Fuck off now Dave

    Like

  13. 18
    Person from Porlock says:

    I am a fruitcake, a loony and a closet racist.

    Bye Dave!

    Like

  14. 19
    Call me Dave says:

    Anyone know how to get past the third boss in fruit ninja?

    Like

  15. 20
    Where are Tony Blair's expenses says:

    Postal voting has been an issue for the last couple of elections and Cameron has done nothing to resolve it – he deserves all he gets.

    He has no chance of winning in 2015 until the postal voting issues are resolved.

    What was it Farage said in Rotherham ; ” we were doing just fine until the postal vote came in”

    No boundary changes, no control of postal votes and no chance in 2015.

    Like

    • 25
      Thick Eastleigh Sheeple voter says:

      Why would anyone vote for a postal?

      Like

    • 37
      Ref says:

      postal vote needs dumping, totally unsecure and they can stuff it full all they like whoever runs the areas..good old mafia style.

      Like

      • 82
        Extremely ancient seafarer says:

        Somebody set up a parliamentary petition we can all sign – then, once we get the 100k signatures needed, they will have to address it in the House.

        Like

        • 101
          metaltrack says:

          I’ve set one up. I’m awaiting TPTB to check it and make it available on the epetitions website.

          Like

          • Old Dog No Tricks says:

            Good – well done !

            No doubt Millipede will call for an inquiry and then sit down. Cameron will offer a vote on it some time after he is dead (if we still vote for him) and the Clogg will promise to do something – whatever you want until he doesn’t want to do it any more.

            Like

  16. 29
    Fishy says:

    Shows the danger of the Right / Centre right vote being split.

    More than 50% voted fro the right wing parties, less than 10% for labour who are keeping their heads down this morning.

    If QT, as they say select their audiences to represent the area they are in…they got it badly wrong again last night.

    Like

    • 36
      Empty front man Ed says:

      I m keeping my arse low in the grass for now

      My master Lord Cashpoint has told me to

      Like

  17. 30
    Fruitcake, Nutter, Racist and Bloody Proud says:

    Cameron you are toast.

    Like

  18. 32
    Person from Porlock says:

    Ken Livingstone: There was a point during the last mayoral election when I was saying “your [Boris’] tax affairs are the same as mine” and I was being denounced.

    Oh yes, Ken! Have you got those accounts yet which you promised before the Mayoral election, by the way?

    Like

  19. 33
  20. 34
    Paniagua Dos says:

    Anyone heard from Jimmy or Wotta Tosser Mk6 yet this morning?

    Like

  21. 35
    Take a chill pill says:

    Protest votes usually went to one of the other main players and the Torys are missing the fact that people see UKIP as a viable alternative in which to bank their permanent support. Complacency will be Cameron’s downfall. The closer we get to 2015 the more jittery the markets will get like the wobble last time when there was a possibility Labour might just get re-elected. Would it be possible to bring the referendum forward to this parliament period? Would go some way to deflating the UKIP surge. Thats if Cameron is genuine in the offer in the first place.

    Like

    • 40
      Ref says:

      he may not get a choice, his party may make it for him. Never underestimate the personal survival of rats backed into a corner. One suspects the wagons are circling right now.

      Like

      • 99
        Con Artists says:

        The 1922 Committee has an 18-member executive committee, the chairman of which must oversee any election of a new party leader, or any Conservative party-led vote of confidence in respect of the current one; such a vote can be triggered by 15 percent of Conservative MPs writing a letter to the chairman asking for such a vote. This process was invoked most recently on 28 October 2003, when 25 MPs requested a vote of confidence in Iain Duncan Smith by writing to the chairman. Duncan Smith lost the vote the next day.

        Like

  22. 38
    Person from Porlock says:

    What used to be the party of Margaret Thatcher is now

    
    


    F U C K E D

    
    
    
    

    Like

  23. 39
    Anonymous says:

    What an astonishing comment from Sarah Newton! The voters will decimate these ostriches at the next election.

    Like

  24. 43
    Hampshire Hog says:

    Sadly the over zealous campaigning and constant hammering on days and leaflet dropping a number of people had election fatigue and were numb to it all .Sadly the tory candidate was too well known and a number of tory voters did not vote for the tories because of her .
    The local lib dem canvassers were offering to take your postal votes for you without telling people what that truly meant …..

    Like

  25. 48
    Hang The B@stards says:

    In 2014 the UKIP surge will become a tsunami !

    I predict every MEP will be UKIP !

    Like

  26. 49
    There has got to be good news says:

    Dave – Third is not bad is it? It’s trying really hard and we will learn the lessons but it’s not bad. George, you’re good at figures, third’s not bad is it?

    George – Well, Prime Minister, in the same way that increasing the debt by record levels is actually controlling it, third’s pretty good. Look, last time we came second out of four and this time we’re third out of lots more so that is really, really good.

    Like

  27. 50
    Gene Pool attendent says:

    I take it that Sarah is no relation to Isaac.

    Like

  28. 51
    Dave the Terminally Deluded says:

    I am confident we can win back Tory supporters for the 2015 general election.

    Like

  29. 52
    Benthamill says:

    Is it just me, or has Ed Miliband’s nose put on weight?

    Like

    • 93
      Weightwatchers says:

      We have also noticed this and have offered Ed a personalised progamme of nose-fat reduction.

      Like

  30. 53
    Half-term Dave says:

    Cameron’s toast.

    Like

  31. 56
    One Term Dave says:

    I’ve had a whizzo idea. For 2015 we’ll make all voting postal. That’s fair for everybody.

    Like

  32. 57
    MartinW says:

    There must be an inquiry into postal voting in the Eastleigh constituency. Steps must be taken immediately to secure all the voting forms, and all other documentation from all parties. The police must ensure nothing is destroyed. I should hope UKIP are already on to this.

    Like

  33. 59
    Lord Pwescott of High Timbers says:

    We have won again

    We will be the next government of One Nation Britain

    Like

    • 94
      Fishy says:

      I enjoyed you appearance on Brillo last night, Fatso. Particularly your ‘hand wringing’ contribution to the debate on sexual harassment in politics.

      Your insight into powerful politicians getting their end away, and your considerable expertise in the matter was particularly valuable.

      Like

  34. 61
    Joseph Daniel says:

    UKIP are the future they are only party willing to help the British people, get immigration under control and leave the EUSSR

    Sign this petition to restrict Bulgarian and Romanians from entering the UK:

    http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/41492

    Almost 63,000 at 100,000 it goes to Parliament.

    Like

  35. 65
    Mummy Jones says:

    Owen. Get up. There,s a TV Crew outside. The Interviewer wants to hear your comments on the impressive increase in Labour’s share of the vote at Eastleigh

    Like

  36. 69
    I. M.F says:

    Uk ..You’re Unbelievable ..do dod do da da da dah da da

    Like

  37. 72

    Can’t decide if a vote for UKIP was a wasted vote that let the Liberals in or a vote for the Tories was a wasted vote that kept UKIP out.

    Like

    • 80
      Crabtree says:

      Nige got it right on that score.

      Like

    • 81
      The Wisdom of Crowds says:

      Another brilliant decision by the great British public. They want the stability of a government supported by as large as chunk of the population as possible given the skewed Westminster system, which is what the Coalition offers, but they want to kick that government and the EU up the arse without letting Labour in by the back door.

      Like

  38. 78
    Anonymous says:

    She should seek help.

    Like

  39. 83
    On The KewTee Says says:

    To the Gal who just deserted UKIP for Dave and the boys – Rats should abandon a sinking ship, not jump on to one!!!

    Like

  40. 87
    genghiz the kahn says:

    Miliband wants to redouble Labour’s efforts – a 0.4% rise in their share of the vote wouldn’t be a bad start.

    Meanwhile Cameron starts saying: Climb Every Mountain Ford Every Stream, Follow Every Byway…

    Great result for Call Me Dave, pick a right wing candidate only to lose votes to a more right wing candidate.

    Like

  41. 89
    Undeclared Voter says:

    First past the postal vote!

    Like

  42. 92
    where the blind lead says:

    As the postal vote fraud becomes established the liblabcon can secure their share of the vote whatever happens, the government and its electoral commission puppets have zero interest in stopping postal vote fraud, its just too important in the years to come. We are going to find that 75% of the libdem vote was postal and only 25% on the day, now that is scary. Are libdem voters just too lazy to walk a few blocks to vote? In a few short years the UK has turned into a corrupt banana republic ruled over by bent despots.

    Like

  43. 98
    Bruce Forsycthe says:

    A postal vote in time saves nine at the ballot box!

    Like

  44. 102
    All Who Sail In Her says:

    Voters are used to lying, conniving and sleaze when it comes to politicians so the Hune/Rennard affairs were never likely to affect the outcome BUT the LibDems should think themselves lucky that we don’t have PR in this country!

    Like

  45. 105
    Wormtongue says:

    We need to get UKIP back in the tent and temper some of their more unsavoury stances. There is an appetite for right wing politics and europhobia but a lot of what UKIP have in their manifesto is uncosted and plays to prejudice. Beastleigh was a protest vote but also a wake up call.

    BTW – yet another Liebour council saying “we can’t afford” such and such because of the cuts…. yawn. Course they could if they weren’t paying their chief execs such outragious amounts and so poorly managing their contracts.

    Like


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