GRAPH: Eastleigh in Numbers
Significantly fewer people turned out for both the Tories and LibDems yesterday compared with 2010; the blues down 14% and the yellows by 14.5%. Labour’s vote was largely unchanged. A huge swing to UKIP…
Attorney General Warns Press Over Rebekah & Andy | Media Guido
UKIP Pros and Cons | Allister Heath
“The Double Income No Kids Existence” | Alex Deane
David Nicholson to Quit NHS Next Year | HSJ
We Don’t Have Gatsby-esque Inequality | Tim Worstall
Dave Will Still Win in 2015 | Toby Young
Activists Should Ignore the Sneerers | Jacob Rees-Mogg
NHS Can Kill Tories | James Kirkup
Dave Lets Labour Take Credit For Gay Marriage | FT
UKIP Set to Out-Poll Tories | Telegraph
UKIP Spokesperson Slaps Down BBC | The Commentator
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Lord Tebbit has his say on ‘aggressive homosexuals’:
“Why shouldn’t a mother marry her daughter? Why shouldn’t two elderly sisters living together marry each other? I quite fancy my brother!”
Ah! Monika says:
Google-eyed-Dave
The LibDems assault their own wimminfolk
It assault my own electors
Simples…
So is Dave going to tell the EU that they can NOT dictate to Britain how Britain runs its banks?
Dave is being bunged by the eu and also promised a megabuck job when he’s voted out. No way will he stand up for the UK.
It just goes to show how desperate the Tories were in copying UKIPS’s colours on their candidate’s election leaflets over the last few days leading up to the by-election.
Deperate is understating it!
Britain ran its banks so well
That it almost brought the whole fucking financial system to its knees
Hardly a recommendation old son…
Go back to sucking the mafia’s cock and leave our country alone
But but but!! Most of the banks and other financial institutions that caused the meltdown were American were they not, merely based in the UK.
The Banks worked very well, all the way from the last crash in 1694 until Gordon Brown destroyed governance. EVERY member of the Commonwealth runs their banks on the BOE principles and regulations, and not one was bailed – that is not ONE bank in ANY Commonwealth country. Except the UK. And Crash Gordon says it was an international problem that affected everyone and it wasn’t him. And he repeats it and the media repeats it and the fools believe it (see above).
Oh by Jove, no! The EU is lovely and spiffing and I know you all admire and love it just as much as I do!
Don’t forget, as William Hague always says, “Britain is a sovereign nation!”
Spiffing, what what?
Tally ho!
The Tories are completely fcuked and will not win the 2015 election. Deservedly so.
The 2015 election will be all about which party is going to take us ‘out of the EU’. As much as the LibLabCon would like it not to be !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Clearly the Tories are incapable of doing it. UKIP are the only party offering that choice which is why they are winning votes. Simples.
Couple of points which demonstrate how Tories are deluding themselves:
1) Tories have been claiming for weeks how Eastleigh is all about “local issues” and come 2015 the election will be about national issues.
But Eastleigh is 98% white and English first language speaking – they don’t have an uncontrolled immigration problem !
So why did 27.8% of the electorate vote for UKIP on the ‘national’ problem of immigration if it was supposed to be all about local issues !?!?
The Tories can’t have it both ways, it was either about local issues or it wasn’t.
2) Tories claimed to great fanfare that CaMorons EU speech would spike and kill UKIP’s Eurosceptic support.
Clearly this has failed spectacularly.
CaMorons speech was a massive own goal – He set out very clearly he supports the EU 100%, he will campaign to stay in, and believes we should stay in… and he might give us a referendum if a,b,c,d,e,f,g happen. FAIL !!!
UKIP will simply take us out of the EU….
The Tories simply don’t get that Voters want out, not the promise of a referendum from lying Dave who will campaign to stay in, they want out.
If the Tories won’t offer that choice, the public will support the party that will offer that choice. Simples.
3) Anti EU sentiment and voting across Europe gathers pace – Syriza in Greece polled less than 5% 5 years ago, as did Beppe Grillo in Italy. Now both Syriza and Grillo, the Eurosceptic parties, are the largest parties in their respective country.
4) Conservatives will be unable to renegotiate the UK’s relationship with the EU.
Any pretence they can is misguided, foolish and delusional.
Van Rompuy very helpfully spelled it out for the plebs and politicians yesterday in case they still don’t get it…
He said “leaving the European Union could cost Britain dear and that the bloc’s other leaders do not want to renegotiate Europe’s founding treaties.”
There you have it, the Conservatives are impotent and cannot change our relationship with the EU. If they promise otherwise, they are liars..
Farage summed it up perfectly last night when he said – “The Tories split the UKIP vote”.
The pink vote really helped me in Eastleigh, didn’t it?
How would you know, they’re only 1% of the population and in a few centres of fudge packing?
Dave mistook Eastleigh for Brighton
He mistook the United Kingdom for San Francisco
Correct. Dave bombed.
The 1922 Committee has an 18-member executive committee, the chairman of which must oversee any election of a new party leader, or any Conservative party-led vote of confidence in respect of the current one; such a vote can be triggered by 15 percent of Conservative MPs writing a letter to the chairman asking for such a vote. This process was invoked most recently on 28 October 2003, when 25 MPs requested a vote of confidence in Iain Duncan Smith by writing to the chairman.
Duncan Smith lost the vote the next day.
What was the percentage of postal votes for each party?
in the media there is more than a hint this morning of libdem postal vote skullduggery. Apparently controlling the entire area gives you big opportunity to fiddle.
Got a link, Ref??
I should cocoa. They learned the postal vote scam from us here in Portsmouth.
Where the dead also vote LibDem.
LibDems only won with the benefit of all their postal votes, the bent b@stards.
Unless UKIP take control of local councils in their target seats, they will get nowhere. Even if they manage a by-election victory they would fail to hold the seat at the general election.
You have to show locals you can deal with their problems before they will trust you as their MP.
No MPs help now as they only have influence at best and follow their leader on how to vote in Westminster. Totally useless……
And UKIP would have won! If more people had voted for them than for the Lib Dems… Apparently second is the new first.
You are missing the point. Where you see a mid term protest vote (a cop out excuse if ever there was one) I see a tipping point. This contest could go down in history as the prime example to politicos, to do some serious heart searching when a surprising and seemingly anomalous voting result turns up.
so while they proclaim victory and its good for them, frankly its a disaster for all 3, if you get a ukip swing that big over the country, the GE would be unpredictable.
Golly, an unpredicatable General Election. How will we manage?
You getting the message yet Dave ? When I get the chance I’ll be voting UKIP as well and seeing Van Rumpy pontificating to us on TV yesterday just re inforces my resolve.
When the Conservatives “promise” to renegotiate our relationship with the EU, they are clearly lying…
Van Rompuy helpfully spelled it out yesterday for us….
One of Europe’s most powerful officials cautioned Prime Minister David Cameron on Thursday that leaving the European Union could cost Britain dear and that the bloc’s other leaders do not want to renegotiate Europe’s founding treaties.
Van Rompuy laced his speech in London’s financial district with a clear warning to Cameron: Europe will not countenance any attempt by Britain to win an a-la-carte membership, picking and choosing which of the European Union’s rules it will follow and which to reject.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/02/28/uk-europe-britain-idUKBRE91R1KB20130228
A wonderful display of the electorates opinion of the major parties.
Just a pity that many of the voters wasted their votes on them.
Their the states clients.
They will not budge.
Is there any breakdown by numbers of the postal votes? I can’t believe O’Farrell increased labour’s share of the vote without a big chunk of that being postal votes that were cast prior to people knowing that he was a treasonous, terrorist supporting scumbag.
Can somebody find out who to ask?
I told you yesterday, God’s asleep on the job.
I’ve had enough. I’ve fucked off.
I heard LD’s had around 10k postal votes on LBC the other day
a constituent needs to ask the returning officer.
The postal votes go the Party that controls the local authority you know
It is called the incumbent’s advantage
Long Live Democracy in the UK…
if there is any possibility that that might be true then somebody needs to start knocking on the doors of the postal voters.
Put in a Freedom of Information request. Councils hate them but they have to respond.
Swing high, swing low…
So Dave. How does it feel to be beaten by a bunch of fruitcakes?
I will be reting soon to be paid off by one of the Morgan banks
Like my right hand man Heywood
And of ciurse my inluence peddlar heros Blair and Mandy
Excellent
This all makes Britain ungovernable
No rule of law in sight, then
Learning on the job from the Italians, Spanish, Greeks, Bulgarians, Portuguese etc. Good teachers too!
Well the one thing those numbers show beyond doubt is that although libdem and tory voters are sick to the back teeth of the coalition they did not see labour as an attractive option for a protest vote. That went to UKIP. so much for militwit’s one nation message!
Well done UKIP!
Last night was unmitigated disaster
You can’t kill cancer with a sticking plaster
The LibLabCon terminal malignancy
Doesn’t need hi-tech X-ray vision to see
Hello Rebekah
Are you not in jail yet?
Fuck off now Dave
I am a fruitcake, a loony and a closet racist.
Bye Dave!
Quite.
Unless you are a Gay import then you can do one.
Bye Pfp
Anyone know how to get past the third boss in fruit ninja?
Postal voting has been an issue for the last couple of elections and Cameron has done nothing to resolve it – he deserves all he gets.
He has no chance of winning in 2015 until the postal voting issues are resolved.
What was it Farage said in Rotherham ; ” we were doing just fine until the postal vote came in”
No boundary changes, no control of postal votes and no chance in 2015.
Why would anyone vote for a postal?
postal vote needs dumping, totally unsecure and they can stuff it full all they like whoever runs the areas..good old mafia style.
Somebody set up a parliamentary petition we can all sign – then, once we get the 100k signatures needed, they will have to address it in the House.
I’ve set one up. I’m awaiting TPTB to check it and make it available on the epetitions website.
Good – well done !
No doubt Millipede will call for an inquiry and then sit down. Cameron will offer a vote on it some time after he is dead (if we still vote for him) and the Clogg will promise to do something – whatever you want until he doesn’t want to do it any more.
Shows the danger of the Right / Centre right vote being split.
More than 50% voted fro the right wing parties, less than 10% for labour who are keeping their heads down this morning.
If QT, as they say select their audiences to represent the area they are in…they got it badly wrong again last night.
I m keeping my arse low in the grass for now
My master Lord Cashpoint has told me to
Cameron you are toast.
Ken Livingstone: There was a point during the last mayoral election when I was saying “your [Boris’] tax affairs are the same as mine” and I was being denounced.
Oh yes, Ken! Have you got those accounts yet which you promised before the Mayoral election, by the way?
What’s wrong with Maria?
http://www.itv.com/news/meridian/update/2013-03-01/conservative-candidate-is-speechless/
I love her dress…
Made out of the old curtains I would say…
She no speaky Engleeesh
Anyone heard from Jimmy or Wotta Tosser Mk6 yet this morning?
Protest votes usually went to one of the other main players and the Torys are missing the fact that people see UKIP as a viable alternative in which to bank their permanent support. Complacency will be Cameron’s downfall. The closer we get to 2015 the more jittery the markets will get like the wobble last time when there was a possibility Labour might just get re-elected. Would it be possible to bring the referendum forward to this parliament period? Would go some way to deflating the UKIP surge. Thats if Cameron is genuine in the offer in the first place.
he may not get a choice, his party may make it for him. Never underestimate the personal survival of rats backed into a corner. One suspects the wagons are circling right now.
The 1922 Committee has an 18-member executive committee, the chairman of which must oversee any election of a new party leader, or any Conservative party-led vote of confidence in respect of the current one; such a vote can be triggered by 15 percent of Conservative MPs writing a letter to the chairman asking for such a vote. This process was invoked most recently on 28 October 2003, when 25 MPs requested a vote of confidence in Iain Duncan Smith by writing to the chairman. Duncan Smith lost the vote the next day.
What used to be the party of Margaret Thatcher is now
That may be wishful thinking I’m afraid.
What an astonishing comment from Sarah Newton! The voters will decimate these ostriches at the next election.
You are a gay loving failure.
I divorce thee. I divorce thee. I divorce thee.
Sadly the over zealous campaigning and constant hammering on days and leaflet dropping a number of people had election fatigue and were numb to it all .Sadly the tory candidate was too well known and a number of tory voters did not vote for the tories because of her .
The local lib dem canvassers were offering to take your postal votes for you without telling people what that truly meant …..
In 2014 the UKIP surge will become a tsunami !
I predict every MEP will be UKIP !
Dave – Third is not bad is it? It’s trying really hard and we will learn the lessons but it’s not bad. George, you’re good at figures, third’s not bad is it?
George – Well, Prime Minister, in the same way that increasing the debt by record levels is actually controlling it, third’s pretty good. Look, last time we came second out of four and this time we’re third out of lots more so that is really, really good.
I take it that Sarah is no relation to Isaac.
I am confident we can win back Tory supporters for the 2015 general election.
Fuck off
Is it just me, or has Ed Miliband’s nose put on weight?
We have also noticed this and have offered Ed a personalised progamme of nose-fat reduction.
Cameron’s toast.
I’ve had a whizzo idea. For 2015 we’ll make all voting postal. That’s fair for everybody.
What do you mean it is! We have the ballot papers completed already.
There must be an inquiry into postal voting in the Eastleigh constituency. Steps must be taken immediately to secure all the voting forms, and all other documentation from all parties. The police must ensure nothing is destroyed. I should hope UKIP are already on to this.
Sorry but in line with Libdem green policies, these have already been shredded and recycled.
… along with the Register, naturally. Bi-election? What bi-election….
A bi-election is when the swingometer goes both ways.
We have won again
We will be the next government of One Nation Britain
I enjoyed you appearance on Brillo last night, Fatso. Particularly your ‘hand wringing’ contribution to the debate on sexual harassment in politics.
Your insight into powerful politicians getting their end away, and your considerable expertise in the matter was particularly valuable.
UKIP are the future they are only party willing to help the British people, get immigration under control and leave the EUSSR
Sign this petition to restrict Bulgarian and Romanians from entering the UK:
http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/41492
Almost 63,000 at 100,000 it goes to Parliament.
We urgently need one on dispensing with postal voting too.
Owen. Get up. There,s a TV Crew outside. The Interviewer wants to hear your comments on the impressive increase in Labour’s share of the vote at Eastleigh
Just wait until I have one more mum then I’ll get up.
Whoever writes this nasty mean-mined BS – they need their heads tested.
Uk ..You’re Unbelievable ..do dod do da da da dah da da
You ain’t seen nuttin’ yet
Can’t decide if a vote for UKIP was a wasted vote that let the Liberals in or a vote for the Tories was a wasted vote that kept UKIP out.
Nige got it right on that score.
Another brilliant decision by the great British public. They want the stability of a government supported by as large as chunk of the population as possible given the skewed Westminster system, which is what the Coalition offers, but they want to kick that government and the EU up the arse without letting Labour in by the back door.
She should seek help.
To the Gal who just deserted UKIP for Dave and the boys – Rats should abandon a sinking ship, not jump on to one!!!
Got to think of her EU taxfree pension…..
Miliband wants to redouble Labour’s efforts – a 0.4% rise in their share of the vote wouldn’t be a bad start.
Meanwhile Cameron starts saying: Climb Every Mountain Ford Every Stream, Follow Every Byway…
Great result for Call Me Dave, pick a right wing candidate only to lose votes to a more right wing candidate.
First past the postal vote!
As the postal vote fraud becomes established the liblabcon can secure their share of the vote whatever happens, the government and its electoral commission puppets have zero interest in stopping postal vote fraud, its just too important in the years to come. We are going to find that 75% of the libdem vote was postal and only 25% on the day, now that is scary. Are libdem voters just too lazy to walk a few blocks to vote? In a few short years the UK has turned into a corrupt banana republic ruled over by bent despots.
A postal vote in time saves nine at the ballot box!
I think you mean a postal vote is worth a thousand ……………………………..
Voters are used to lying, conniving and sleaze when it comes to politicians so the Hune/Rennard affairs were never likely to affect the outcome BUT the LibDems should think themselves lucky that we don’t have PR in this country!
We need to get UKIP back in the tent and temper some of their more unsavoury stances. There is an appetite for right wing politics and europhobia but a lot of what UKIP have in their manifesto is uncosted and plays to prejudice. Beastleigh was a protest vote but also a wake up call.
BTW – yet another Liebour council saying “we can’t afford” such and such because of the cuts…. yawn. Course they could if they weren’t paying their chief execs such outragious amounts and so poorly managing their contracts.