YouGov boss Peter Kellner has clarified this morning’s poll putting UKIP on a suspiciously low 17% for the Euro elections. With ComRes placing UKIP’s European Parliament ratings at 23% and Survation at 22% over the past week, the YouGov poll seemed considerably off. Kellner explains that the 17% figure was arrived at using the “two-stage” prompting method where the initial choice is only between the main three parties. When UKIP were prompted, YouGov found they had a rating of 19%. As Kellner says: “To put it another way, on a like-with like basis, we all put UKIP’s EP support at 21% plus or minus two”. And it’s only going to go one way from here…
Tory MPs are spluttering into their afternoon tea over this:
Sinn Fein Briefing meeting for Members
Michelle Gildernew MP, 12.30pm, Room T, Portcullis House, Wednesday 16 January
I am writing to remind you of the invitation to attend invite tomorrow’s briefing with Sinn Fein MP Michelle Gildernew next Wednesday, 16 January. The meeting will be an opportunity to discuss the current political situation and in particular concern over the ongoing violence and protest in the north.
Many thanks to those who have already responded. If you are unable to attend but would like to send a member of staff to represent you, they would be most welcome.
If have any queries, please contact me on 07XXX XXXXXXX.
We very much hope to see you.
Sinn Fein MPs
Despite refusing to be MPs they’re happy to use Parliament’s facilities to grandstand then…
Guardian CEO Andrew Miller has just announced to staff that they are going under and launching an Australian version sponsored by shadowy antipodean billionaire Graeme Wood. The on-line entrepreneur was investigated in a political corruption case in 2011 after giving the largest ever political donation in the country’s history: $1.6 million to the Greens. Guardian Deputy Editor Katherine Viner is being transported as the “losing ten pounds a minute” pom. Another rival of Ian Katz conveniently cleared out of the way…
Dave and Nick have taken the politically extraordinary step to “set aside” collective responsibility over the boundary reform vote. The move will allow LibDem ministers to rebel against the government without having to resign. This has raised all sorts of constitutional discussion among politicos, but it’s not the first time this has happened.
Previous governments have suspended collective responsibility before in slightly differing ways, for example the 1930s National Government over tariff reform, Harold Wilson over Europe in 1975, and Tony Blair’s failure to sack Claire Short over Iraq. With this hardly being an issue of conscience, however, it is hard to argue against the claim that our – albeit uncodified – constitutional commitment to collective responsibility is being severely eroded under the Coalition. What would Erskine May say…
Two-faced Chuka Umunna told Jo Coburn that he had visited an HMV store over Christmas, but when pressed on what he had bought, replied:
“Er…I actually didn’t buy anything.”
No pressure for Friday Dave. A damning new poll has found that one in three Conservative voters in 2010 would currently vote UKIP in the Euro elections. The YouGov poll has the Tories in second place but still haemorrhaging support to UKIP. ComRes had them in second over the weekend.
If anything it seems like an under-estimate…
Despite the Cabinet Office trying to keep them secret, Whitehall papers show that the Queen and Prince Charles have effectively been given a veto on a range of bills. This morning’s Guardian has gone big on the story that ministers have been seeking royal approval for government legislation on the quiet. Guido can now reveal that the Household of the Prince of Wales currently has an employee on secondment in the Cabinet Office. Two Cabinet Office sources Guido has spoken to were not aware of the mysterious staffer’s presence, and pressed for an official response they have so far yet to think up an explanation. Maybe he’s there to censor FoI requests about Charles’ secret lefty lobbying letters sent to ministers…
Small State Keynesians, Anti-Corporate Hayekians? | Chris Dillow
Ruffley Shows Why We Need a Proper Recall Bill Now | Alex Wickham
How is Miliband’s ‘New Politics’ Working Out? | Speccie
State Should Send More Poor Children Private | Sam Bowman
£1 Million Cost of Ed Balls’ Ego | Laura Perrins
William Hague’s Sausage Fest | Rochdale Online
Public Doesn’t Prioritise Housing | Mark Pack
Mysterious Case of Ruffley’s Missing Letter | Speccie
All the Single Ladies (And Lords) | Bloomberg
How Ruffley’s Resignation Became Inevitable | ConservativeHome
We Need a Recall Bill Now | Speccie
Damian McBride writes in the epilogue to his memoir…
“At the time of writing, nine months from the election, I’ve concluded that Labour currently has no positive messages to communicate to anyone about why they should vote for the party, no policies which will persuade them, and is being run in a totally dysfunctional way.”
What time will dinner be ready this evening?
Rob Wilson MP
In the interests of me I am placing a copy of this email in the public domain.