February 4th, 2010

+ + + Gilts Plunge on End of Q.E. + + +


235 Comments

  1. 1

    That is directly your fault Mr.F.
    You said end QE and now you’ve destroyed the economy!

    • 4
      Greychatter says:

      Who’s destroyed the economy??

      Didn’t know that Gordon started with a “F”

      • 10
        GEORGIE PEORGIE says:

        We’re all printing money together (except, now, we’re not).

      • 18
        City Shitters says:

        Whoah there captain detail!
        plunged how?
        lost half there value? a quarter? a few percent?

        I’m no fucking economist but somehow I think things like the actual numbers might be relevant and useful here

        • 52
          Anonymous says:

          Yeah.. guessing that’s a day graph the headline might be “Plunged 0.5% to a 3 Hour Low”

          Hardly news.

          • too much information says:

            at least he shoved a graph in now

          • Steve Expat says:

            the scale on a graph is all important – and this indeed seems to be unchanged on this morning, down 0.5%.

            Unless the base is 100, in which case the ‘interest’ overage is down 5%

          • MI5 says:

            Actually someone in No 10 tells me Gordon Brown always looks at graphs upside down…so he will interpret the gilts graph as an INCREASE in prices !!

          • Thats not quite true MI5.
            In actuality all government graphs have a large, red arrow with “This way up” printed on the back.
            But that is mostly for the benefit of Ed Balls.

          • Talwin says:

            MI5. Brown reading the grap upside down doesn’t matter. Remember Browns’ 0% growth. This will merely be -0.5% growth.

        • 139
          Anonymous says:

          Guido,

          there are two axes on that graph. One of which does not have a scale.

          Is this “plummet” over several hours? Days? Months?

          With all due respect? How does this compare with Gilt prices over a longer time scale.

      • 82
        South of the M4 says:

        I can assure you that whenever Gordon is mentioned in this family it starts with an ‘ F ‘.

      • 159
        Up sh1t creek says:

        An edit from today’s Daily Politics of what Quantitative Easing has done to the UK economy, even a complete moron can understand it the way Andrew Neil and his guest explains it…..

        • 172
          George W Osborne says:

          Sorry – run that past me again?

          • Did he just say we can all have methadone?

          • Up sh1t creek says:

            Methadone, isn’t that what New Labour voters must be on to not be able to see what Gordon Brown has done to the UK economy. All they care about is their benefits cheque. The BBC has yet to give the news that their benefits will have to be cut, can’t say that before a general election.

            Another round on the UK plc corporate credit card!

          • Sweaty Balls says:

            Can you run that past me three times please ??

          • Allan@Aberdeen says:

            Yeah, but the card which Brown’s using to pay off the debt of the first card charges higher interest rates. The man is out to wreck this country.

        • 220
          CorruptionCentral says:

          Giving methadone to a heretic?

          Did she really say that?

      • 218
        Tony Blair says:

        In my house Gordon starts with an F and continues ucking Gordon Brown

    • 6
      Jimmy says:

      Gordon is right, you right wing loons don’t understand him.

      Fools

      • 13

        I love the leader.

      • 16
        jdennis_99 says:

        http://www.economicshelp.org/2008/04/hyperinflation-causes-costs-and.html

        Gordon was wrong.

        Printing money has a nasty tendency to lead to hyperinflation.

        • 30
          Hugh Janus says:

          McBust is always wrong. If there’s a right way and a wong way, you can always rely on him to pick the wrong ‘un and then really go to town on it.

          • Lord Mandelson of Northern Shithole says:

            He’s always trying for the wrong’un.

          • jgm2 says:

            Yep. That’s it. The Maximum Imbecile when presented with a choice of two possible courses of action will simply plump for the first one that comes into his head. This holds even if one course of action is 95% certain to end in disaster and the other 5% certain to end in disaster. He has just as much likelihood of going for the 95% option.

            The trouble is though – it’s worse than that. Because under that scenario he would at least get half of his ditheringly deferred decisions right in the end.

            Buut with Brown, by the time he even realises there is a choice to be made the Tories are there telling him he should take the course of action with only a 5% chance of going wrong. And because he’s so fucking clever and because his ego won’t allow him to look as though he’s following anybody elses advise he will then nail his colours to the mast of the most idiot option still unclaimed.

            It would be hilarious to watch if it hadn’t destroyed the UK’s economy. I mean if this was Papa Doc or Bob Mugabe we’d be pissing ourself laughing at the eejits and marvelling why nobody shot the fucking imbecile in lieu of any other mechanism to get rid of the nutcase.

          • The right way the wrong way and the Brown way.
            {The Brown way is basically the wrong way but dithered over for a few weeks}

          • Lord Mandelson of Northern Shithole says:

            The Brown way . . . . hmmm . . . that has a certain ring

      • 44
        Gordon Brown stole my pension says:

        Selling Britain’s gold at the bottom of the market was right.

        Raiding pension funds to the tune of £120bn was right.

        Building a 3rd runway at Heathrow is the right approach to creating a low carbon economy.

        Doubling income tax for the poorest workers was right.

        Spending £200bn in order to achieve 0.1% growth was right.

        It might be, if you went to the Marxist Knuckleheaded School of Economics, but here on planet Earth..

        • 47
          Gobshite says:

          I am skeptical about that 0.1% growth, particularly as Xmas falls in the fourth quarter, and you would expect that to to make it beat the third quarter anyhow. Or am I missing something?

          • Steve Expat says:

            Nope, you’re not missing anything – that’s why the smart money is on an election before the Q1 2010 growth figures are released on 23rd April

          • Another Labour Failure says:

            Looks like the recovery has peaked too soon, just like Labour’s opinion poll ratings.

          • Anonymous says:

            Growth figures are seasonally adjusted to take into account little things like Christmas.

        • 210
          TONY BENN'S WILL says:

          in other words you can write your own figures,try and grow up and realise you can’t believe the figures …

      • 112
        Sir Everard Digby says:

        Quiet day at the rapid rebuttal unit today? No Nokias to rebuild?

        • 152

          Phone intercept fragments
          February 4th 2010..11.35pm Downing Street office to Bank of England.

          “you’re dead..you’re fuckin dead yahear ..you piece of m{indecipherable}
          you can’t do it. I order you to run the presses Mervyn.I fuckin’ order you. I’m the Prime minister for fucks sake.i’m in charge now do it.DO IT! I say when QE ends and its not ending!
          If I have to come over there I’ll rip off your balls you useless.. {incoherent}
          ..ser. I don’t give a monks ring Mervyn. MPC are my pawns.I decide. I’ll be Kicking them up your cock. Do as I say!!! Do as I fuck..{sound of phone breaking. Transmission ends}

          Phone intercept fragments
          February 4th 2010..11.45pm Downing Street office to BBC white City.

          “hi, Andrew, Nick.I wanted you to be the first to know. I’ve decided to end QE. Yes..yes..well notionally its a BOE decision but..well..if I can just finish please..I decided that now the UK is well out of recession..well out of it ,yes.. look , Marr, if you keep talking you won’t hear what I have to say..Yes.. So I decided that the time had come…Pardon? Have I seen the gilts today? No why ? Lets see…F………..{sound of phone breaking. Transmission ends}

    • 45

      BROWNRUNNER

      London 2045
      Financial ruin has caused the city to decay. On the rooftop of the crumbling Treasury building amid the twisted and rusting broken, unused wind-turbines Dekard finds an old £50 note, folded into the shape of a unicorn. The odd, grumpy, voice of the replicant he is hunting, Rob-Roy ‘Batty’ Brown, echoes in his mind.
      “The economy – Its too bad she won’t live! But then again, its not my fault!”

      As the polonium rain, caused by all the dodgy nuclear power stations hurriedly built in the 20′s, falls upon him, Dekard knows that the replicant he hunts is trying to prolong his tenure.

      He quickly communicates with the I.D.CCTV.4U.-SayNoToTerrorism police centre.

      “He wants more time. He wants to be in power longer.He wants to restart QE. He must be going to meet his maker. I’m going to head over the Tyrell Corporation’s building for Business, Innovation and Skills and meet with , Mandyrell. ”
      He got into his vehicle and engaged the electric cars weedy motor, but then switched over to bio-diesel. “Is this an emergency?” asked the metallic Harman-V computer system. “Yes” he replied.”This is an emergency. A big one.”

      to be continued

      • 109
        Pris says:

        “Replicants are like any other machine. They’re either a benefit or a hazard.If they’re a benefit then it’s not my problem”

        Unfortunately, this one is the mother of all major hazards.

      • 156
        Sir Barrington Minge says:

        Wake up!

        Time to die… or in the case of Broon…Time to go

  2. 2
    Raving Loon says:

    Of course they did, no one wants to f***ing buy them.

    • 68
      Jonah watch says:

      Now; Glaxo announce 100′s of jobs to go in Uk operation

      Then; Glaxo said last year that there were “wide differences in positions” between the company and HM Revenue & Customs, which might lead to litigation. But in June, the disputes were suddenly resolved “with no material impact on the expected tax rate for the year”.

      This followed shortly after meetings between Glaxo executives and Gordon Brown, and public threats that Glaxo might relocate to the Republic of Ireland.

  3. 3
    mitch says:

    Here it comes . Canut brown thought he had commanded the waves to turn back
    Stupid fuckwit has never seen how a tsunami works

  4. 5
    Ed Balls-up says:

    So what?

  5. 7
    jdennis_99 says:

    No surprise there – the number 1 buyer has just left the market.

    No other fecker wants to buy them. Would you lend money to a company that spends more than it earns, has the highest debt level in the country and no firm plans for controlling it’s spending habits or reducing it’s debt? Oh, and the management’s in a state of flux.

    Hell, no.

    No one’s going to want to lend the Government money until they get a handle on the deficit, and on the national debt.

    • 11
      Gobshite says:

      So were we buying up our own loan notes?

      Now that would be nuts, even for Brown.

      • 22
        jdennis_99 says:

        Oh, yes. The Bank of England was creating money, and then using it to buy gilts and corporate bonds. Hence they kept referring to it as an ‘asset purchase’ scheme. The idea is that at some point in the future, they will sell the assets they have created, and destroy the money.

        Will they? I have my suspicions. QE has done nothing but prop up the Government’s out-of-control spending habit, devalue the pound, and cause a spike in inflation.

      • 23
        Mitch says:

        And illegal, but they still did it.

      • 27
        MI5 says:

        Through QE the Bank of England bought gilts REPRESENTING THE WHOLE DEFICIT FOR 2009…

        • 37
          jdennis_99 says:

          So they’ve been virtually funding the Government’s overspending single-handedly.

          Now that Governor King has seen the light, the Government is staring into the abyss… no more blank cheques.

          Cuts in public spending and tax rises are a little bit closer today.

        • 41
          jgm2 says:

          Yep. It is and was as obvious as that. 200bn quid of our own gilts purchased. Or, more likely 199.4bn quid so that Brown will be able to weasel word that we haven’t used the entire 200bn quid to ‘buy’ our own gilts.

          It’s printing money pure and simple. Diluting everybodies savings and lighting a fire under anybody in a position to choose to buy our gilts that we have a government who will simply print their way out of trouble and trash other peoples savings.

          We’re fucked.

          • Gobshite says:

            How inevitable is it that we will default?

            Is it just a matter of time, or is there even a slim chance we can honour these obligations?

          • Bob the Builder says:

            Governments never go “bankrupt”

            In the way you know it…

            As in Zimbabwe, they just stop paying their employees of providing any services and print money so you need wheelbarrows to transport the cash to buy a loaf of bread …Just as in the Wiemar Republic in Germany…

            Britain will have a severe auterity programme imposes on it bu the IMF or EU which will probally entail immediate 20% acress the board cutrs in government spending, followed by succesive rounds of further cute later to “balance the books”‘ left by the most corrupt, deceitful, treachurous,,nasty and incompetent government Britain has ever seen…

          • jdennis_99 says:

            Oh, we can honour these obligations. The PBR states that our payments on debt are about £30billion a year – compared to tax revenues (even in recession) of £498billion.

            The real problem is not our ability to afford the debt, but whether the Government (whichever party forms it) has the political will to pay it, instead of squandering it. This is what the credit rating agencies are questioning.

            Even now, it is possible to get ourselves out of this mess. But it’s going to require some hard choices about public spending, and probably tax rises as well. Have any of the numpties in Westminster got the guts to see it through?

          • Steve Expat says:

            The only serious way out of this now is inflation –

            MASSIVE FUCKING INFLATION

            The numbers are so far away from being close to thinking about maybe balancing at some time possibly sometime in the far future, we are completely fucked.

            In 3 years’ time we will be spending more on debt interest than of education and defence combined, from the govt’s own figures (PBR), massive inflation and devaluation really is now the only way out

            And to think that two years ago we were laughing at Zimbabwe…

          • Fidel X Penses says:

            When I was a boy, back in the Dark Ages, we used to have a coin worth 2s 6d, known as ‘half a crown’ or ‘half a dollar’. And it’s true – for many years there were 4 US Dollars to the pound. Now, £1 is about $1.50.

            See what just happened there? The Pound fell to nearly a third of its value against the Dollar that it had all those years ago.

            Anyone like to guess what happened to make it that way? Here’s a clue: destruction of assets and savings; government incompetence; an increasing reliance on the state to solve our problems and eye-watering inflation.

            That’s what we had then and that’s what we’re having again right now. And the results will be just the same and just as painful.

      • 98
        Gorgon, Economically Illiterate Moron, Loony Leader of Londistan, author of drivel on ‘Courage’ says:

        Its’ termed investment ya’ cranky loon!

      • 189
        Mr Ned says:

        As I have been saying. Brown has been paying the country’s monthly credit card bill, with the same credit card!

        The man is a fucking idiot!

  6. 8
    MI5 says:

    Guido

    As you and many others here have been saying…

    This is the beginning of the real crisis…

    The Gilts market is likely to collapse…

    and possible freeze so that the UK Government can no longer fund the £20 billion per month necessary to continue government business..

    THEN WHAT ???

    • 13
      Throbber says:

      The true cost of Labour and the National lunacy of the last 13 years will become apparent.
      Or in laymans terms…… WE’RE FUCKED.

    • 29
      I B Seldom-Lucid says:

      Food riots. Martial Law. Elections cancelled TFN. Then Brown can get on with the job of 1000 years of enlightened government. You know it makes sense!

      • 50
        All so predictable says:

        Cost of imported food will rocket, and people will decide to ave a veg patch, then we find 2 Banjoes has built all these houses without gardens, and the allottments have been built on and then there’s the Olympics………..

        • 59
          Gobshite says:

          Also this:

          http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2010-food-crisis-for-dummies.html

          How much of our food is home grown these days?

          • BBC can be trusted (for what I'm not sure) says:

            According to BBC ‘Crop to Shop’ last night 60%
            According to Hilary ‘Dynasty’ Benn last month, also on BBC over 70% and increasing

            NuLabia=Piss and Wind

          • Moley says:

            Just outside my window is a large patch of the finest farmland in England.
            Our local Liberal democrat Council is determined to build a huge estate of poxy boxes on it in accordance with Prescott’s plans to build ten million houses in the S.E.

            It was Green belt but they changed the designation.

            Why was the green belt designation brought in?

        • 78
          Mystic Mogadon says:

          giant ants will roam the streets, Bankers will turn feral and roam in packs hunting jounalists eating their brains and thus dying of starvation fairly quickly, the official currency will be the pot noodle, transport infratructure will collapse forcing everyone to use hoverdonkey’s, Wales will go to War against the Isle of man and the dead will be the lucky ones

          • I B Seldom-Lucid says:

            I’m pretty sure I saw that DVD. They all had bones through their hooters dinnay?

          • South of the M4 says:

            Only if the Manxers come to Wales, otherwise the Welsh will not bother. Too far to travel.

          • Clarence says:

            You forgot the bit about the invading sea tanks and the melting polar glaciers.

            The Krappen Wakes!

          • Fidel X Penses says:

            The dead ARE the lucky ones in Wales already.

          • Mr Ned says:

            According to my daughter at University in Wales, their currency already is the humble pot noodle.

            Although she may be moving over to the weetabix soon.

      • 62
        jdennis_99 says:

        A thousand-year Reich!

      • 72
        Gordon Brown stole my pension says:

        Judging by the queue at the ‘baccy’ counter in Asda, Wednesday is benefit day. I was wondering, when the government can no longer afford to print benefit cheques (er, now) and no-one is prepared to lend them money, at what point do people stop queuing and start rioting? How long would it take? Two or three days?

        • 196
          NotaSheep says:

          I thought “Any nation is three meals from revolution”

        • 199
          Cynical B*****d says:

          It will happen the first giro day after enacting the decision, although an Eastenders omnibus may delay it somewhat..

      • 77
        Mzzz. Evadne Bollocks, Mzzz. HaHaHa-HoHoHoPerson, Princess Polytwaddle 'n ouvva Noo_Lie_Bore Wimmin says:

        Let them eat brioche!

        Or Big . . . . what are those things called….?

        • 86
          MI5 says:

          Now now Miss Pollytwaddle…

          Calm down…

          But you will be in Tuscany when the sh**t hits the fan I assume ?

          • Princess PolyTwaddle, - prating, irrelevant, smug, - talking down at people from her ivory tower, - says:

            I am always right.

            I am never wrong.

            And Gorgon has Britain going for a song.

            But here, in Tus-can-ee,

            Mr BellyScone

            Will look after me.

            but I’ll always have a place in my heart for Gorgon – and his huge . . just the thought drives me ……. Oh I’m going into status polytwadlicus again . . . .. . . no …. don’t help me . . . let me enjoy the sweet agon-eee

          • NuAttack Dog says:

            what is it they say? 8 meals from anarchy I think

    • 81
      Steve Expat says:

      THEN WHAT?

      Well, let’s just say that government spending will be falling somewhat quicker than most had planned for in the next few months!

    • 167

      Now you watch out for the following.

      In order to contain Civil unrest:

      Give the Police and the Armed Forces inflation busting payrises.

      Local government offices begin internal briefings on a triage system for services.

      CPSO are given the powers of arrest, detention and receive riot skills training.

      Stockpiling of natural resources. Look out for mountains of coal outside powerstations.

      Purchase orders of CS gas, water cannon and rubber bullets increase above and beyond levels seen in the past 15 years.

      Government looks into the compulsory purchase of communications assets. BT, VirginMedia and the BBC are called to the Home Office to report on their available assets, redundant systems and disaster recovery planning.

      • 182

        p.s.

        Buy Baked Beans and Gold now.

      • 198
        Mr Ned says:

        PCSO’s traffic wardens and other low-level-state employees already have been given the powers of arrest, detention, entering homes etc… They are just not allowed to use these powers yet. They have been granted and the police is to be militarised and used to assist the Army. These plans are already in motion now.

        • 209

          Thank you Ned for the heads up regarding PCSOs

          After a bit of digging I find that they can detain you for a maximum of 30 minutes, pending the arrival of a Police Officer.

          They can stop a vehicle under the guise of “testing”.

          They can seize vehicles driven carelessly, inconsderately or dangerously, and are cuasing alarm or distress.

          Stop & Search individuals as part of the Terrorism Act 2000.

          etc…

          http://www.asb.homeoffice.gov.uk/members/article.aspx?id=8210

  7. 9
    Paul B says:

    Why does Guido never link? would be quite helpful to link to a news story that supported what he says. Instead no link? Happens all the time – and very annoying (although at least this time I do at least know what story he is referring to)

  8. 12

    Its partly why Iris bought that new bed. To hide under now that the end is coming.
    Partly..

  9. 20
    David Cameron says:

    I was giving a speech at The House Of Commons last night, when Mrs Commons stood up and told me to get out of their house.

  10. 25
    Brown's Buggered Britain says:

    Might be a better strategy if Gordon switched to selling Big Issues?

    • 31
      I B Seldom-Lucid says:

      If he could get a grasp of big issues.

    • 95
      jdennis_99 says:

      Well, he’s good at selling things at the bottom of the market.

    • 116
      Gordon Brown stole my pension says:

      Gordon’s strategy to sell the Big Issue:

      1. Borrow £100bn.

      2. Spend Invest the £100bn on a Department of Big Issue Purchasing.

      3. Department buys 50 copies of the Big Issue.

      4. Department sells two of them.

      4. Gordon tells everyone it’s been a big success.

      • 120
        Gordon Brown stole my pension says:

        I know there are two step 4s. Like Gordon, I can’t count.

        But I’m drunk. What’s his excuse?

  11. 33
    Red Rag says:

    Plunge ?

    I do believe Camerons satisfaction rating has plunged further in the last few months as a percentage.

    Damn those facts!

    • 66
      concrete pump says:

      And Browns has risen has it?

      Damn those facts!

    • 75
      Steve Expat says:

      Guido’s said here before that he has a short position on gilts – maybe he’s trying to talk up his own bet??

    • 101
      Lord Mandelson of Northern Shithole says:

      FOAD twat

    • 171
      Jimmy says:

      RR is beneath contempt. His lonely blog is full of creepy brown nosings of the likes of Mandleson etc.

      He also posts his sub Daily Mirror penis drips on Labour home. He even gets ridiculed over there. A bargain basement lickspittle.

  12. 35
    Busted Nokia says:

    hey Guido, any chance of a labeled x-axis (over what time period did this occur?)

  13. 39
    sockpuppet #4 says:

    Thats wierd. Surely everyone knew that QE was very likely to come to an end, so the prices would go down.

    I look at the £/€ graph occaisionally, and that’s very wiggly today (technical term), but on the whole nothing they didnt anticipate.

  14. 40
    Gordon Brown says:

    THE UK IS OUT OF RECESSION

    THE UK IS OUT OF RECESSION

    BRITISH GAS ARE CUTTING THEIR PRICES

    BRITISH GAS ARE CUTTING THEIR PRICES

    LABOUR WILL WIN THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION AND THAT IS A CAST IRON GUARANTEE

    • 46
      Red Rag says:

      I hope your cast iron guarantee is better than Cam the Shams.

      • 186
        Red Rooster says:

        Rag twat. Get back to your lonely blog. You are the Farm Foods of New Labour twats, creeping up the hierarchy’s arse.

    • 124
      South of the M4 says:

      Yep. British Gas are cutting prices at 1/3 of the benefit they have received on the reduction of their costs – and after all the Nov-Dec-Jan quarterly bills have been levied. They are not doing anyone any favours.

  15. 49
    Damian McBride says:

    Nothing to do with me.

    Give me a job .

    • 57
      Bob the Builder says:

      You are going to be tied to the railings of no 10 when the rioters arrive Damien…

      To get a taste of your own filthy medicine….

  16. 58
    Sir William Waad says:

    No scale on the x-axis. Two out of ten.

  17. 64
    The Director of Politically Correct ‘n Convenient Troof at AlJaBeeba, - the Brhoon Bullshit Corp. says:

    I detest this blog!

    People who write on here contradict what we say, …. and can string more than two words together. Where is Mr Pestillon?

    Oh for the day when the sheeple are properly dumbed down by the Leader’s Education Reforms!

  18. 73
    Steve Expat says:

    Pound jumped half a cent against the dollar at midday too – surely any unease would have sent it down rather than up, or was the hold of QE already priced into the rates?

    • 104
      grobdj says:

      Aussie dollar is now dropping at a rate of 1% per week against sterling, I’ve always suspected that Oz is where the bankers are stashing the cash

    • 108
      purpleline says:

      It pulled back from a daily oversold position to a level lower than yesterdays close. This fucker is going south big time.

      1.55 TOMORROW AFTERNOON then 1.35 by March. You heard it here first, a couple months ago. Then it will be down to par with the dollar.

      Buy US dollars wear diamonds.

      I believe the Bank of England building should be sold off to become a boutique Hotel

      • 125
        Steve Expat says:

        just as well I get paid in US dollars then!! ;-)

        • 204
          SpoofReader says:

          My US SSA pension is looking pretty good these days. Not as good as a year ago, though, when exchange rate was 1.38. Still, 1.58 is pretty good. Thank fu*k I’m not in the States with a UK pension.

      • 136
        Caligula says:

        A boutique hotel for Nulabour homosexual gang bangs while Rome burns ?

        • 190
          stilyagi_air_corps says:

          Ahh, Berlin, 1945… plus la change. I’m sure Ed Balls could help with the outfits.

    • 128
      Captain Black says:

      …’coz the end of QE means that interest rate rises are closer…

    • 134
      The country can no longer afford Labour says:

      Is it perhaps because Obama’s in a bigger bloody mess than McBust ?

      • 207
        English Liberation Front says:

        There is some truth in that. Obama wasted his first year in office receiving Nobel prizes, instead of rolling up his shirt sleeves to tackle the terrible US deficits. Until bloated, consumer economies like the US and UK start to rebalance their economies to live within their budgets, private and public, global imbalances and instabilities will continue.

        Of course, as a massive entrepreneurial economy, the US is much better placed than the UK, but even so it cannot have a sustainable future based on public and private debt. As for the UK – we are totally so in a mess!

  19. 76
    Wurst Jockey says:

    now Brown has had his money gun taken off him, he is going to have to get other weapons dusted off from his arsenal

    I am not sure what he has left

    • 80
      Bum Plunger says:

      His arse?

    • 145
      English Liberation Front says:

      QE is only suspended, the corpse is not yet interred and could be resurrected at any point. My point? Brown could go for a March election, before the proverbial hits the fan on trying to sell 20 billion of Government Debt every month. Alternatively, if Brown delays until May or June, the BoE could suddenly and magically restart QE to keep Brown’s debt mountain bankrolled until after the election.

      Only problem for Brown would be if he won the election – at some time all that shit will hit the fan, whether he likes it or not. Unfortunately for Cameron, if he becomes PM after the election, his Government will have to deal with the terrible legacy left by McDoom!

      • 235
        ID 10T says:

        There is no winner, the parliament will be hung but not drawn and quartered unfortunately. [Although power sharing in the light of all that has gone on could only be a good thing..right? All will have to fix Broon's Mcmess.
        Why can't someone from Burnley [if there are so many Jihadists] pop down to London and slot the Scottish f*ckwit?
        On the other hand, I do have it in mind and I’d like you to join me in making the biggest sign you can, stand outside a polling station and hold it there proudly, without jest.

        “VOTE LABOUR”

  20. 87
    Steve Expat says:

    O/T

    Guido, it looks like Ms Dorries is looking for a hand from a friendly blogger. Take a look at her blog for details…

    • 158
      Symmetry says:

      “I am making this case known on behalf of someone else as my concern is that as long as it takes to reach a legal solution, others may be suffering the loss of their life savings at the hands of a company I believe to possibly be corrupt through to its very core”.

      Talking of corrupt to the core,Nadine,we know of another place like that……..

  21. 92

    Wow – look at this – I have a pound coin on my desk and a minute ago it was worth a pound (adjusted figure, ignoring last couple of year’s CRASH), but nw it’s changed and is worth 99P! Amazing!

  22. 106

    is the lunch still on tomorrow

  23. 115
    purpleline says:

    Glenn Beck yesterday was very interesting telling the story of when America bankrupted the UK after WW1 to become number one. His analogy of China replacing the US as world number one is spot on.

    Bank of England to become Chinese Take-away. Because it is the right thing to do. No more Gilts we will service our debt by selling Lanterns. But do not fret, they will send us copious amounts of Heroin for our people to reduce the pain.

  24. 116
    Mr Tetley says:

    Looks like a flaccid hockey stick graph

  25. 123
    Govt by Cluster-Fuck says:

    Looks like crunch time for McSnots economic policies then.

    Saved the world, and abolished boom and bust ?

    Lets see what the world thinks of our economy now……..

    • 126
      Some things never change says:

      “It does not mean that the pound here in Britain, in your pocket or purse or in your bank, has been devalued.”

      Harold Wilson LABOUR Prime Minister 19 November 1967

    • 132
      jgm2 says:

      Well it’s open in New York and we’re still ‘only’ down 0.3c on the dollar and level on the Euro.

      Looks like it was priced in already. I must admit I thought he’d simply continue printing cash. Perhaps I need to read the small print of the BoE’s announcement. He has no choice but to print cash or increase interest rates with a deficit like that to fund.

      • 143
        .243 Win says:

        Couple of things here : My first best guess is that the markets are still holding out the hope that McDoom’s not going to be around post-election. That and the fervent hope that the election’s going to come sooner rather than later (given that Q1 figures aren’t going to look too clever)

        They’re also not going to go for a defacto devaluation of their Sterling-valued assets by sinking the pound short-term until they’ve covered the risks elsewhere.

        • 162
          Steve Expat says:

          Most of the markets are already pricing in that there will be a change of government on May 7th

          Anything that changes that narrative (no matter how the press want to see a hung Parliament) will cause chaos – watch for the pound crashing through parity with the Euro and being close to parity with the US$ if Labour are re-elected!

          • Spank Sinatra says:

            Parity with euro I can go with – your projections on dollar are on high side. Am more inclined to think $1.30 but time will tell.

      • 168
        Mr Tetley says:

        Rumour has it that the mint had run out of paper and ink, it could not afford to buy anymore

      • 174

        The Spain/Portugal /Greece debt bomb is keeping the Euro down. Obama’s feeble stimulus response is keeping the dollar down.
        Its happy time for McBroon.

  26. 127
    George Osborne says:

    After throwing me out last week, my wife has agreed to let me move back in, as long as I promise to re-do my English GCSE, as I kept getting things I was saying muddled up.

    I’m glad she’s given me a second bite of the whip.

  27. 135
    The IMF is coming says:

    No wonder they have extended the car scrappage scheme.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/high-street-feels-the-chill-after-worst-january-since-2005-1888894.html

    Growth anyone?

    Presumably the banks are doing well out of this sub prime car financing

    • 151
      .243 Win says:

      Er, no, apart from what they can eke out from top-up finance packages.

      The real benefit is going to all the overseas-domiciled car manufacturers – more of our cash haemorrhaging offshore. Bit of fringe benefit to the assemblers in the UK and that’s it.

      • 166
        The IMF is coming says:

        But if you have a car that is worth less than £1k, how do you find £10k for a new shiny motor other than finance
        Dealer network has been saved from shedding jobs I guess, but as you say major benefactors are the manufacturers and the lack of growth figures

      • 176
        Gordon Brown marxist stooge says:

        January 2010 UK new car registrations:

        Hyundai +285%
        Kia +195%
        Renault +90%
        Skoda +85%
        Volkwagen +70%
        Fiat +70%
        Jaguar -10%

        Champagne corks popping in Korea, Germany, France, Italy… You’re fucked, you dumb chumps.

        • 213

          Why the fuck are people still buying Renaults? I mean for fucks sake, they’re shit!

          The only thing more likely to go wrong than a Renault is a BL Allegro!

          And at least buy a car with a warrnaty as long as the finance deal. Jeez. Thank fuck some people can understand that buying a Kia isn’t such a bad idea!

    • 155
      Wrong on carpets,wrong on everything says:

      Interesting article – quoted Lord Pecker of Harris – owner of Carpetwrong.

      This is the outfit we ordered your normal light beige carpet from…and got a red one.

      They then tried to get us to keep the pile of crap in red that they had delivered.

      It’s a wonder they are selling any carpets these day’s – does anyone know someone who has actually moved house?

      • 177

        Gordon’ about to move house.

      • 228
        Lord Pecker of Harris says:

        Look

        For Christ’s sake, I was the 101st of Tony’s cronies appointed to the House of Lords…

        I only paid £ 50 grand for the title

        I got that back in 6 months in expenses..

        You do not understand what kind of world we are in…

        So please stop being rude about me

    • 227
      Moley says:

      They get back more in VAT than the scheme costs, it was making money even when VAT was 15%.

  28. 137
    .243 Win says:

    FFS. Pravda still trying to spin that QE is a good, good thing even while explaining that the gummint’s buying it’s own debt via printed money.

    Not one feckin’ mention of inflation or the drop in gilts.

  29. 141
    MAD MOO ARMOUREDDINNERJACKET says:

    Were doomed doooomed i tell ye !
    at the end of Q1 brown will now claim the credit for a O.O005% rise in growth !
    and as anybody knows a 5 is greater than a 1

  30. 144
    Apocalypse When? says:

    the markets have barely moved kiddies

    • 160
      jgm2 says:

      Yep. Looks like it’s already ‘priced in’.

      Now, for our next trick – maintaining the ‘recovery’ without printing and squandering 200bn quid a year.

      Oh yeah – and paying off that additionla 500bn quid in debt.

      Good luck with that.

      • 188
        Pigs in your face says:

        well unless you are an MP and get everything paid by the Taxpayer
        it would be all of us who need Good Luck with that
        we know there’s going to be no masive cuts in public spending this year
        so it’ll be our raised Taxes paying that debt very shortly

      • 214

        And the additional £500bn?

        And the additional PFI-swollen £2Tn shurely.

  31. 149
    MAD MOO ARMOUREDDINNERJACKET says:

    Guido has drawn a sports car on his etch-a- sketch

  32. 153
    Dave"Ive Got A Red Face" Cameron says:

    Martin O’Neill, Arsene Wenger, Alex Ferguson and Rafa Benitez are in a pub. O’Neill gets up and gets a round in. Shortly after Wenger makes his way to the bar and gets them all another drink. The pattern continues as Benitez and even Ferguson buy a round of drinks. Once everybody has finished Ferguson’s drinks O’Neill heads to the bar for a second time but only buys one drink which he begins drinking. The other managers, confused, ask O’Neill what’s going on? To which the Irishman replies: “This is the 5th round lads and none of you are fucking in it.”

  33. 161
    Mathers says:

    Won’t the government just change bank monetary requirements to hold a certain percentage of gilts ? Make it a few billion per bank and that’s a few months worth of gilts purchased. Just in time for an election.

    There is NO way we’re having a gilt crisis before the election. NO WAY.

    • 215

      Why not? How many of the electorate have even a basic grasp of economics?

      More circuses and bread all round!

      Give them housing, beer and Sky TV and they will vote.

  34. 163
    DisgustedOfMitcham2 says:

    Moved from 116 to 155.5? Does that count as “plunged”?

    What happened to RBS shares a little while back was some serious plunging. This doesn’t really seem to be in the same league, does it?

    • 169
      Sir William Waad says:

      115.5 not 155.5. It is a lot for a security whose value is based on supposedly certain cash-flows.

      Why has the market reacted to something it knew was going to happen? Shouldn’t the end of QE have been priced in already?

      • 187
        DisgustedOfMitcham2 says:

        Sorry, you’re quite right, I did mean 115.5.

        But there’s still not a whole lot of difference between 116 and 115.5.

  35. 165
    Jackart says:

    You would need to be VERY geared to notice this plunge! It’s less than a day’s trading.

    • 221
      freethinkingeconomist says:

      Exactly. Let’s change the scale, shall we? Gilts are 2 big points higher than 19th Jan. The latest auction was well subscribed. We have plenty to worry about in the UK, but not this.

  36. 181
    ronnie and reggie says:

    portugal/greece/hungary…………

    bonds all getting hammered…….

    reason? budget deficit…………..

    we know a country like that don’t we?

    (u.s. downgrading mooted……..reason? debt!!!!!!!!)

    the western world is heading 4 disaster………
    that’s what you get when people in charge haven’t got a clue!

  37. 205
    Polonius says:

    Buckle up the seat belts: FTSE looks as if it could be doing some freefall …

  38. 206
    Biased But Convincing says:

    Guido

    Just getting back from lunch, and slightly OT, but I’m surprised to find you haven’t got Fraser Nelson’s Times piece today in “Seen Elsewhere”. Somewhat more incisive than Brogan’s piece in the Bellylaugh – although, of course, neither are quite to our taste here at the Beeb.

  39. 216
    Javelin says:

    Non farm pay roll tomorrow..

  40. 217

    [...] end of QE happened today.  Much righthandwringinging over this.  But this is hardly a gilt ‘plunge’, Guido, and you know it.   What a [...]

  41. 232
    ich bin nicht ein ekonomyst, dude says:

    Dude, gilts are like totally awesome

    but surely the real danger is inflation after the latest record 1% jump

    Perhaps QE was kept on too long.

  42. 234
    JB says:

    Data spike down to a support level. I bought at the bottom and am now showing a nice profit. Gilts now rallying with treasuries as risk assets sell off globally.



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DisgustedOfMitcham2 says:

Maybe if they really wanted to “decontaminate the Labour brand” with business people, they shouldn’t have totally buggered up the economy?

Just a thought.


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