Wednesday, January 6, 2010

YouGov : 9% Gap, CON 40%(-), LAB 31%(+1), LD 17%(-)

Guy News : Hoon, Hewitt & Hubris

Harriet Still Silent…

Ed Balls just said he was “getting on with the job”, which today was meeting with the Fonz.  The PM we are told was also “getting on with the job”. Mandelson unenthusiastically says “No-one should overreact to this. The Prime Minister continues to have the support of colleagues”.  Alan Johnson said “Gordon Brown is the best man to lead the Labour Party.” No word so far from the woman yet…

Quote of the Day

Did Dave Deliberately Pull His Punches at PMQs?

CCHQ is watching developments with a mixture of excitement and fear.  The last thing they want is to see Gordon ousted before the election…

Guido strongly believes that one of the strategic calculations made by the Tories that determined their decision to start the election campaign on Monday was to deliberately make it more difficult to dump Gordon. It would be argued internally in the Labour Party, Tory strategists hoped, that they couldn’t dump Gordon in the middle of an election campaign.  It was not as if Clarke’s crew hadn’t clearly signalled at Christmas their intention to make one last attempt to oust Brown…

Back in 2008 after a few bruising PMQs when Gordon was looking wobbly, Team Cameron deliberately pulled their punches for fear of destabilising Gordon too early before an election.  They know that their best hope of a landslide is if Gordon leads the Labour Party to a crushing defeat at the general election.  Gordon will cost Labour MPs their marginal seats which could be otherwise be saved with any other Labour leader…

Robinson Late to the Party, Calls Rumours “Blog Madness”

Guido was reporting rumours that a cabinet minister was going to call for Brown to go last night.  Bad day for Nick Robinson, at midday he dismissed the rumours as “the madness we might get into with blogging and tweeting” on the Daily Politics.

With all his authority he definitively told viewers that there was no plot and nothing going on. The Guardian‘s Andrew Sparrow had the first squeak of the story at quarter past, Guido had the letter just after half past and yet it takes another half an hour for the BBC‘s Political Editor to break the fact that MPs might be texting each other:

The BBC’s News & Current Affairs operation costs taxpayers billions…

+++ The Letter +++

You read it here first:

Dear Colleague,

As we move towards a General Election it remains the case that the Parliamentary Labour Party is deeply divided over the question of the leadership. Many colleagues have expressed their frustration at the way in which this question is affecting our political performance. We have therefore come to the conclusion that the only way to resolve this issue would be to allow every member to express their view in a secret ballot.

This could be done quickly and with minimum disruption to the work of MPs and the Government. Whatever the outcome the whole of the party could then go forward, knowing that this matter had been sorted out once and for all.

Strong supporters of the Prime Minister should have no difficulty in backing this approach. There is a risk otherwise that the persistent background briefing and grumbling could continue up to and possibly through the election campaign, affecting our ability to concentrate all of our energies on getting our real message across.
Equally those who want change, should they lose such a vote, would be expected by the majority of the PLP to devote all of their efforts to winning the election. The implications of such a vote would be clear – everyone would be bound to support the result.

This is a clear opportunity to finally lay this matter to rest. The continued speculation and uncertainty is allowing our opponents to portray us as dispirited and disunited. It is damaging our ability to set out our strong case to the electorate. It is giving our political opponents an easy target.

In what will inevitably be a difficult and demanding election campaign, we must have a determined and united parliamentary party. It is our job to lead the fight against our political opponents. We can only do that if we resolve these distractions. We hope that you will support this proposal.

Yours fraternally,

Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt

+++ Guardian : Hoon & Hewitt to Speak Out on Brown +++

PMQs Live – Dodgy Dossier Edition

Mandy Back to Reassure Gilt Market

MandyAt 10.30 this morning we will have the first auction of government debt this year.  Gilts are ticking down* a little as the market awaits the outcome of the sale.  Mandelson is being wheeled out today to say that – shock, horror – the First Lord backs government policy; emphasising spending reductions, tax increases and reducing the deficit, all to reassure the bond markets.

At the same time Alastair Darling is introducing a Fiscal Responsibility Bill, to be debated  today, in the latest effort to reassure investors after Darling in 2008 scrapped rules to contain the deficit, he now repents:

“Whatever the economic circumstances, whatever the government, we need rules and objectives to govern fiscal policy… It is important we have that discipline.”

You can say that again.  Spending prolifically in the credit-boom years wasn’t prudent, it was reckless fiscal madness.  It was Brown’s delusion.  We really need to go further and introduce a balanced budget law, forcing the government to live within its means.  Today’s auction of £4 billion of gilts will cover a week of government overspending under the Brown and Balls economic plan.  The reality is we need to control spending as soon as possible. 

Creating spend / cut dividing lines is crass partisanship, not working in the national interest…

*Guido is short the market.


Seen Elsewhere

Cam Cannot Stem EU Immigration | David Keighley
9 Mansion Tax Questions for Ed Balls | TPA
Politicians are Lying to You About Immigration | Alex Wickham
Give Journalists Public Interest Defence in Law | Guardian
Cameron is Going to Have to Deal With UKIP | Dan Hodges
Opinions on Key Issues By Constituency | Red Box
Britain Irrelevant Inside EU | Dan Hannan
Cameron Heading for Fall on Europe | Rachel Sylvester
Lords Speaker Spends £350 on Two Mile Limo Ride | Sun
Shapps Slaps Down Barroso “Propaganda” | City AM
Bookies v Pollsters: What We Learned From IndyRef | Paddy Power


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Chris Bryant talks to the Times Diary about a famous gay actor:

“I don’t think I’ve had sex with him. He says we had sex in Clapham. I’m fairly certain I’ve never had sex south of the river”



Progressive Inclusion Champion says:

Great to hear Carswell call for inclusive policies and that UKIP must stand for first and second generation immigrants as much as the English.


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