Wednesday, January 6, 2010

YouGov : 9% Gap, CON 40%(-), LAB 31%(+1), LD 17%(-)

YouGov’s poll for the Sun was obviously taken this was before today’s fun and games…

Guy News : Hoon, Hewitt & Hubris

Harriet Still Silent…

Ed Balls just said he was “getting on with the job”, which today was meeting with the Fonz.  The PM we are told was also “getting on with the job”. Mandelson unenthusiastically says “No-one should overreact to this. The Prime Minister continues to have the support of colleagues”.  Alan Johnson said “Gordon Brown is the best man to lead the Labour Party.” No word so far from the woman yet…

Quote of the Day

Iain Dale tweets

“I love snow, but not when it prevents me going on Sky, C4 News, GMTV and BBC Breakfast!”

Did Dave Deliberately Pull His Punches at PMQs?

CCHQ is watching developments with a mixture of excitement and fear.  The last thing they want is to see Gordon ousted before the election…

Guido strongly believes that one of the strategic calculations made by the Tories that determined their decision to start the election campaign on Monday was to deliberately make it more difficult to dump Gordon. It would be argued internally in the Labour Party, Tory strategists hoped, that they couldn’t dump Gordon in the middle of an election campaign.  It was not as if Clarke’s crew hadn’t clearly signalled at Christmas their intention to make one last attempt to oust Brown…

Back in 2008 after a few bruising PMQs when Gordon was looking wobbly, Team Cameron deliberately pulled their punches for fear of destabilising Gordon too early before an election.  They know that their best hope of a landslide is if Gordon leads the Labour Party to a crushing defeat at the general election.  Gordon will cost Labour MPs their marginal seats which could be otherwise be saved with any other Labour leader…

Robinson Late to the Party, Calls Rumours “Blog Madness”

Guido was reporting rumours that a cabinet minister was going to call for Brown to go last night.  Bad day for Nick Robinson, at midday he dismissed the rumours as “the madness we might get into with blogging and tweeting” on the Daily Politics.

With all his authority he definitively told viewers that there was no plot and nothing going on. The Guardian‘s Andrew Sparrow had the first squeak of the story at quarter past, Guido had the letter just after half past and yet it takes another half an hour for the BBC‘s Political Editor to break the fact that MPs might be texting each other:

The BBC’s News & Current Affairs operation costs taxpayers billions…

+++ The Letter +++

You read it here first:

Dear Colleague,

As we move towards a General Election it remains the case that the Parliamentary Labour Party is deeply divided over the question of the leadership. Many colleagues have expressed their frustration at the way in which this question is affecting our political performance. We have therefore come to the conclusion that the only way to resolve this issue would be to allow every member to express their view in a secret ballot.

This could be done quickly and with minimum disruption to the work of MPs and the Government. Whatever the outcome the whole of the party could then go forward, knowing that this matter had been sorted out once and for all.

Strong supporters of the Prime Minister should have no difficulty in backing this approach. There is a risk otherwise that the persistent background briefing and grumbling could continue up to and possibly through the election campaign, affecting our ability to concentrate all of our energies on getting our real message across.
Equally those who want change, should they lose such a vote, would be expected by the majority of the PLP to devote all of their efforts to winning the election. The implications of such a vote would be clear – everyone would be bound to support the result.

This is a clear opportunity to finally lay this matter to rest. The continued speculation and uncertainty is allowing our opponents to portray us as dispirited and disunited. It is damaging our ability to set out our strong case to the electorate. It is giving our political opponents an easy target.

In what will inevitably be a difficult and demanding election campaign, we must have a determined and united parliamentary party. It is our job to lead the fight against our political opponents. We can only do that if we resolve these distractions. We hope that you will support this proposal.

Yours fraternally,

Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt

+++ Guardian : Hoon & Hewitt to Speak Out on Brown +++

PMQs Live – Dodgy Dossier Edition

Mandy Back to Reassure Gilt Market

MandyAt 10.30 this morning we will have the first auction of government debt this year.  Gilts are ticking down* a little as the market awaits the outcome of the sale.  Mandelson is being wheeled out today to say that – shock, horror – the First Lord backs government policy; emphasising spending reductions, tax increases and reducing the deficit, all to reassure the bond markets.

At the same time Alastair Darling is introducing a Fiscal Responsibility Bill, to be debated  today, in the latest effort to reassure investors after Darling in 2008 scrapped rules to contain the deficit, he now repents:

“Whatever the economic circumstances, whatever the government, we need rules and objectives to govern fiscal policy… It is important we have that discipline.”

You can say that again.  Spending prolifically in the credit-boom years wasn’t prudent, it was reckless fiscal madness.  It was Brown’s delusion.  We really need to go further and introduce a balanced budget law, forcing the government to live within its means.  Today’s auction of £4 billion of gilts will cover a week of government overspending under the Brown and Balls economic plan.  The reality is we need to control spending as soon as possible. 

Creating spend / cut dividing lines is crass partisanship, not working in the national interest…

*Guido is short the market.


Seen Elsewhere

Why Pollsters Could Be Wrong | John McDermott
Cameron Faces Vote of No Confidence or Rebellion | FT
Cameron Faces Revolt Over ‘Vow’ | Sun
It’s Time to Speak for England | John Redwood
It Was Me Who Taped Howard Flight | John Woodcock
Indy Editor: We Will Stay Afloat | Press Gazette
English Don’t Want Scotland to Stay at Any Price | Dan Hodges
England Must Have Self-Government Too | Mark Wallace
Next Year’s Election Will Be the Dirtiest Ever | Speccie
Chicken Salmond Runs Away From Sun Cabbie | Sun
Scary No Messages Don’t Add Up | Sun


VOTER-RECALL
Find out more about PLMR


Gyles Brandreth writes in his memoirs:

“Sunday, May 10, 1998

Early start: appearing on Breakfast With Frost, to be broadcast from 11 Downing Street. The Chancellor [Gordon Brown] is grouchily amiable, but so earnest — and still biting his fingernails to the quick.

After the show, he took us upstairs to his flat. He lives above No 10, while Blair and family are in the No 11 duplex, which is bigger and more like a proper house.

I was intrigued that, when he took us into his bedroom, the Chancellor rather ostentatiously opened the built-in wardrobes, as if he wanted us to see the women’s frocks that were hanging in there.

They looked quite large, but I don’t think they belong to Gordon. I assume they belong to his girlfriend [Sarah Macaulay, who he later married].

I presume he was keen for us to know that he has one — and that she’s not a ‘beard’. I don’t think he does anything without calculation.”



The British media are Hunts says:

Now the SNP know how UKIP voters feel all the time.


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