+++ 2/3rds of Tory Grassroots Want Tax Cuts +++

ConservativeHome’s monthly survey is out.

LibDem’s Choose Dullest Candidate to be Party President Lembit Goes Nuclear

Guido despairs of the sandalistas sometimes. Why choose someone so dull and weak? Ros Scott burst into tears at one hustings because the questioning was mildly tough. They had a choice between someone who has a high media profile, someone energetic and someone who is nice but completely in the LibDem comfort zone. They opted for the latter when the problem is the LibDems are in serious trouble electorally. They have just lost their deposit in a by-election. Membership is at the lowest it has been in living memory, down to just a mere 60,357.

Presidential Election Votes Cast
Ros Scott: 20,736 votes (72%)
Lembit Öpik: 6247 votes (22%)
Chandila Fernando: 1799 votes (6%)

Lembit now says is going to campaign for some of his hobby horses – one of which is a “reassessment of our [LibDem] attitude towards nuclear power”. Presumably he wants to move the LibDems towards supporting nuclear power.

Lessons for Gordon and Dave

NZ Labour ran on exactly Gordon’s U.S.P.*, and it didn’t work. The voters in New Zealand overwhelmingly disagreed with Labour’s message, change and tax cuts won big in New Zealand. The “novice” promising tax cuts won.

Danny Finkelstein says voters don’t believe politician’s promises of tax cuts, Fink argues there is a credibility issue. John Key’s first manifesto pledge gave the three actual dates he would cut personal taxes for New Zealanders, a promise to take to the bank. His party won big.

Obama, another novice, ran promising tax cuts for 95% of Americans. The “novice” promising tax cuts won.

The incoherent Tory response to the financial crisis is manifestly weak, Osborne’s performance has disheartened even his own supporters, the lack of a clear message has weakened their credibility on economic issues significantly in the polls. Maybe Michael Ashcroft will have learnt something useful during his recent time with the NZ Nats that will influence the Tories for the better.

Times have changed, voters want the pendulum to swing back from spending towards tax cuts. Rumours are circulating in the Westminster Village that Gordon and Alastair are preparing to announce tax cuts. Which will, even if they are only rhetorical tax cuts, in a stroke make Dave and George look ridiculous as both Labour and the LibDems promise tax cuts and the Tories are left high and dry stranded on the high tax centre ground with only Danny Finkelstein for company. The old strategy may have been strategically right during the decontamination phase of Cameron’s leadership, it is so wrong for now. The recent electoral lessons from the rest of the English speaking world show that to “seal the deal” people now need a positive reason to vote for the Tories.

See also: NZ Nats Tax Calculator.

*Unique Selling Point



Tip offs: 0709 284 0531
team@Order-order.com

Quote of the Day

Sky News ask a “Labour representative” where the local St George’s Day events are. He replies:

“You’re better off asking the UKIP candidate” 

Top Posts This Week

Guidogram: Sign up

Subscribe to the most succinct 7 days a week daily email read by thousands of Westminster insiders.

Facebook

Flashback: Labour’s Shadow Housing Minister Opposed Rent Controls Flashback: Labour’s Shadow Housing Minister Opposed Rent Controls
What’s Claret and Blue? What’s Claret and Blue?
Media Idiocy Media Idiocy
Tom Baldwin Wrote Toxic Migrant Briefing Tom Baldwin Wrote Toxic Migrant Briefing
Ed Weaponises Dead Migrants Ed Weaponises Dead Migrants
Taking the P**s: ANDROID IN APPLE UROLAGNIA SHOCKER Taking the P**s: ANDROID IN APPLE UROLAGNIA SHOCKER

TELEGRAPH TELLING FRACKING PORKIES TELEGRAPH TELLING FRACKING PORKIES
ED MILIBAND IS READY ED MILIBAND IS READY
MILIBAND’S IDEOLOGICAL GURU IN PAY OF SAIF GADDAFI MILIBAND’S IDEOLOGICAL GURU IN PAY OF SAIF GADDAFI
PEAK #SEXYMILIBAND REACHED PEAK #SEXYMILIBAND REACHED
A Lifelong Labour Voter Speaks A Lifelong Labour Voter Speaks
NUS Conference Censor UKIP NUS Conference Censor UKIP
Plug Pulled on Labour Interview, Again! Plug Pulled on Labour Interview, Again!
Mrs Danczuk’s St Phwoarr-ge’s Day Message Mrs Danczuk’s St Phwoarr-ge’s Day Message
Lutfur Rahman Guilty of Bribery and Corruption Lutfur Rahman Guilty of Bribery and Corruption
Greens Want to “Keep Global Temperatrures Below 2 Degrees” Greens Want to “Keep Global Temperatrures Below 2 Degrees”
Newsnight Does Kim KarSturgeon Newsnight Does Kim KarSturgeon
MEET GAYZER FRACKMAN, THE ANTI-FRACKING FANBOY MEET GAYZER FRACKMAN, THE ANTI-FRACKING FANBOY
Nigel Farage v Evan Davis Nigel Farage v Evan Davis