February 21st, 2008

EXCLUSIVE : The Numbers Are InThe Myth of the "Quality Loan Book"

Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown chant the same mantra, the government’s investment is backed by the assets of the bank, “a high quality loan book”, which they claim has been verified by the FSA – as if the FSA employs surveyors and has the competence to take a view. Anecdotaly this untruth was unraveling, Anatole Kaletsky said this week that it was a delusion to believe that “Northern Rock had a “sound book of assets” when it was the country’s biggest lender of mortgages worth more than the houses on which they are secured.” Guido now has the hard numbers to prove it:These figures were compiled yesterday and are taken from analysis of the Courts Service, Possession Claims Online Database. Guido has obtained the list of 690 individual Northern Rock Possession Claims, averaging some 40 every working day. Of all mortgage lenders Northern Rock has the absolute highest rate of possession claims. Hardly evidence of a sound loan book…

UPDATE : As of midnight last night Northern Rock has withdrawn from offering 125% mortgages.

UPDATE :
In the comments a co-conspirator has made an effort to normalise the results by market share using market leader HBOS against Northern Rock:

HBOS has 20.4% of the market, with 520 reposessions in Feb = 25 repos per 1% of market

Northern Rock has 7.2% of the market, with 690 reposessions in Feb = 95 repos per 1% of the market.

In short, Northern Rock repossesses almost 4 houses to every one repossesed by HBOS, when market share is factored into the equation.

Hat-tip : HousePriceCrash.co.uk via LabRat



Seen Elsewhere

Could UKIP Keep Britain in the EU? | Iain Martin
Why Piketty is Wrong | ConHome
Guido Whips Politicians Into Shape | Guardian
Milburn Levelling Down | Kathy Gyngell
Crosby and Carswell Make Friends at Guido’s Dinner | Mail
Mrs Danczuk Beats Mensch to Win Guido | Telegaph
PM Congratulates Blogger Who Destroyed Minister | Mail
UKIP’s Promise to Defectors | Alex Wickham
Juncker: No Compromise on EU Immigration | Telegraph
Labour’s Numbers Don’t Add Up | Left Foot Forward
LibDems’ Loss is UKIP’s Gain | Telegraph


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Find out more about PLMR


Chris Bryant talks to the Times Diary about a famous gay actor:

“I don’t think I’ve had sex with him. He says we had sex in Clapham. I’m fairly certain I’ve never had sex south of the river”



Mycroft says:

Have you read the last bit of Animal Farm?

You know where the animals are looking through the Farmhouse window?

My TV screen was that window at lunch-time today.

Be careful, the sudden self-congratulatory tone, the slightly pudgy outline of indulgence and you become exactly what you should despise.

The jolly face of the Quisling Cameron poses for your camera has mesmerised and deceived you, you who were once not so deceived.

You were no firebrand, you were a damp squib in my opinion, sorry.

You need a damned good kick up the ahse!


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