Congratulations to George

Guido’s favourite leftie, George Galloway became a father on Sunday.

Another Poll Confirms the Brown Deficit

On the weekend the YouGov poll in the Sunday Times emphasised the electoral liability that Gordon is to Labour. When asked to choose between Cameron and Brown the voters prefer Dave more than when asked to choose between Labour and the Tories.
Today Populus in the Times* re-confirms the finding, when asked to choose between the parties it has the Tories 4% ahead, when asked to choose between the leaders the Tories are 10% ahead – exactly the same result as YouGov.

Putting the crude numbers into the electoral calculus translates that differential, the Brown Deficit, into 60 lost Labour marginal seats. Now you know why Guido says it is lemming-like to dispatch Blair for Brown…

*How the hell Peter Riddell and Philip Webster can spin the poll as positive for Brown is beyond Guido. What people will do for access. The headline isA Bounce for Brown. Maybe they mean a lemming-like bounce, with people even less likely to vote Labour when Brown is leader.

Will Benn Be Toast at Tea-Time?

Whether or not Hilary Benn has only the rumoured twenty or so nominations will be known for a fact this tea-time (6pm) when the list of nominations received will be posted on the Labour party website. Expect leaks this afternoon…

We will also find out if Meacher’s backers are willing to switch to McDonnell. His price on Betfair has come in to 80/1. Guido backed him at 250/1, has covered all of it and some, with a free bet left if he gets through to cover. That is still a big if…

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Benn Struggling

Benn is rumoured to have less than two-dozen MP backers – well short of the required nominations – expect him to be the first to drop out before nominations close. Spin that he will get the foreign secretaryship seem ambitious…

Rich & Mark’s Monday Morning View

Latest Poll Confirms Labour’s Lemming “Bounce”

Voters are going to miss Blair when he is gone, the latest YouGov poll for the Sunday Times says the people rate him a good prime minister by a narrow 3% margin, by a bigger 45% margin they believed he did what he thought to be right.
With Blair, Labour is 4% behind the Tories, when voters are asked how they will vote when Brown becomes leader the gap widens to 10%. Brown is simply less likeable than Blair. By 50% to 31% people say they do not like him, Blair scores better.

The polling data confirms what we know intuitively, Labour have acted like lemmings, dispensing with their most successful leader of all time for a less popular, less likeable replacement. The more the voters see of Gordon, the worse it will get. It is all very well Brown getting his anti-war activist base back on side, but that doesn’t help in middle England.

Cameron has lifted his party’s poll numbers over the last year as voters have come to know and like him, Brown is well known and voters dislike him. Gordon Brown’s recent Scottish campaign confirms his electoral value.

Aussie Labor Party Doomed

At the swearing in ceremony at the Scottish Parliament a few days ago John McTernan, fresh from organising the Scottish Labour party election campaign, was overheard saying he was off to Australia to help the Australian Labor Party in the upcoming elections.

Considering his track record that should make Howard a sure thing to win a record fifth term. Consider John McTernan’s record as an adviser:

  • Special Advisor to Harriet Harman at DSS – Harman was sacked
  • Helped run Frank Dobson’s Mayoral Campaign – Dobson lost
  • Special Advisor to Scottish First Minister Henry McLeish – McLeish had to resign over an expenses “muddle”.
  • Helped run Labour’s Scottish Parliament Campaign in 2007 – Labour were
  • beaten in Scotland for the first time in 50 years

Considering the file currently at the CPS aren’t they meant to be convicted before going to Australia?

Friday Caption Competition (Save the Children Edition)



Gordon’s Campaign Site

As Dizzy first broke (and Gordon’s people denied and lied about) the Silverfish owned site has been launched. It has as always, pictures of Gordon with children and a Where is Gordon? google map. A Where’s Gordon?™ Google map is not an innovative idea.[…]


Going Down With Gordon Brown


Gordon : No Change on Iraq

He told a US interviewer “I take responsibility, as does the whole of the cabinet, for decisions we made on Iraq. There will be no sense in which we seek to walk away from decisions we made.” That should be worth a few votes for John McDonnell.[…]


Lynne Spends £22,000 on Stationery in March

LibDem MP Lynne Featherstone’s office was exposed trying to beat a new budget deadline for stationery by ordering £22,000 of supplies in March. When an email leaked out what did the campaigner for Freedom of Information do? She got the Liberal Democrat’s chief whip to take up the matter of the leaked e-mail with the Speaker’s Office.[…]


WebCameron 2.0

“And frankly, there are many aspects of our society today which are hardly inspiring – the drinking, the drug-taking, the rudeness and incivility, the lack of consideration for others, anti-social behaviour…” So says Dave, not about the Bullingdon Society, but about British society, on his new Webcameron site.



If you thought blogging had already gone mass market before, what do you think of the Telegraph offering free blog hosting? It is technically far ahead of the Guardian’s Comment is Free “blog”. Which always struck me as
(a) not a blog
(b) a mish-mash of variable quality writers.


Here’s Gordon…

The Dead-Tree-Press in the shape of the Guardian’s Martin Kettle and even the Daily Mail have hopped on the Where’s Gordon?™ Meme. Particularly enjoyed this morning’s Where’s Gordo game featuring a naked Gordon- which seems to have been pulled from their website this afternoon.[…]


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Quote of the Day

Philip Hammond at Treasury questions:

“I’m sorry to be boring.”

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